Ligue 1· Kick-off : Sunday, August 30, 2026, 14:00 (UK time)
Paris FC vs Nice: 3-0 result and AI prediction review
Review: prediction vs result
Final score: Paris FC 3-0 Nice. The 1X2 prediction came good: victory for Paris FC was the model's favourite outcome (47%). The final score ranked 5th among the most likely scorelines (6.7%), behind 1-0. On goals, the model expected both teams to score (53%): missed; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (56%): correct.
Match analysis
Paris FC vs Nice was played on Sunday, August 30, 2026 (Ligue 1, matchday 2). Venue: Stade Jean Bouin, Paris. Before kick-off, our model gave Paris FC a 47% chance of winning, the draw 29% and Nice 25%. The most likely correct score is 1-0 (10.5%), ahead of 2-0 (10.3%) and 1-1 (10.2%).
Paris FC have not won any of their last 5 matches (3 draws, 2 defeats), scoring 6 and conceding 11. Nice have won just one of their last 5 matches (3 draws, 1 defeat), scoring 3 and conceding 2. On recent form, there is little to separate the two teams. On average Paris FC score 1.20 and concede 2.20 goals per game; Nice score 0.60 and concede 0.40. In the table, Paris FC sit 14th with 1 points from 1 games, Nice 13th with 1 points from 1. The two teams are close in the standings. Over their recent games, Paris FC have averaged 1.80 xG (expected goals) per match, against 1.05 for Nice.
In the last 2 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Paris FC, 0 for Nice and 1 draw. The most recent ended Paris FC 1-0 Nice (Mar 1, 2026). Paris FC out or doubtful: J. Ikone, L. Koleosho, E. Mbemba and N. Sangui. Nice: A. Abdi, L. Abergel, M. Bombito and M. Sanson. In double chance terms, "Paris FC or draw" stands at 75%, "Nice or draw" at 54% and "no draw" at 71%.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Paris FC – Nice. 1-0 is the single most likely scoreline (10.5%); the 5 scores below add up to 48% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Paris FC 1-0 Nice | 10.5% |
| Paris FC 2-0 Nice | 10.3% |
| Paris FC 1-1 Nice | 10.2% |
| Paris FC 2-1 Nice | 9.9% |
| Paris FC 3-0 Nice | 6.7% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
The model expects 2.92 goals in total (1.95 for Paris FC, 0.97 for Nice): over 2.5 goals has a 56% probability and both teams to score 53%. Paris FC keep a clean sheet in 38% of scenarios, Nice in 14%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Paris FC expected goals | 1.95 |
| Nice expected goals | 0.97 |
| Both teams to score | 53% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 79% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 56% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 34% |
| Paris FC clean sheet | 38% |
| Nice clean sheet | 14% |
Recent form
Latest matches played before this game in the competitions Elofoot covers.
Paris FC
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Estac Troyes · Ligue 1 | 0-0 | D |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Angers · Club Friendlies | 2-3 | L |
| Aug 8, 2026 | FSV Mainz 05 · Club Friendlies | 0-4 | L |
| Aug 1, 2026 | VfB Stuttgart · Club Friendlies | 2-2 | D |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Como · Club Friendlies | 2-2 | D |
Nice
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Lorient · Ligue 1 | 0-0 | D |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Hull City · Club Friendlies | 0-0 | D |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Cagliari · Club Friendlies | 0-0 | D |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Juventus · Club Friendlies | 0-2 | L |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Marseille · Club Friendlies | 3-0 | W |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Paris FC | 14 | 1 | 1 |
| Nice | 13 | 1 | 1 |
Head-to-head
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2026 | Paris FC 1-0 Nice | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 28, 2025 | Nice 1-1 Paris FC | Ligue 1 |
Out and doubtful
Paris FC
- J. Ikone (out)
- L. Koleosho (out)
- E. Mbemba (out)
- N. Sangui (out)
Nice
- A. Abdi (out)
- L. Abergel (out)
- M. Bombito (out)
- M. Sanson (out)
Other matches in this competition
- Lille 2-2 Paris Saint GermainAug 28, 2026
- Strasbourg 2-1 LensAug 29, 2026
- Lorient 1-2 Estac TroyesAug 29, 2026
- Lyon 1-1 Le HavreAug 29, 2026
- Auxerre 1-3 AngersAug 29, 2026
- Stade Brestois 29 2-2 ToulouseAug 29, 2026
- Rennes 3-2 Le MansAug 30, 2026
- Monaco 2-0 MarseilleAug 30, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the Paris FC vs Nice prediction?
Before the match, our AI gave Paris FC a 47% chance of winning, the draw 29% and Nice 25%. Paris FC are therefore favourites. Final score: 3-0.
What is the most likely correct score for Paris FC vs Nice?
1-0 (10.5%), followed by 2-0 (10.3%), 1-1 (10.2%), 2-1 (9.9%) and 3-0 (6.7%).
Will both teams score in Paris FC vs Nice?
The probability that both Paris FC and Nice score is 53%. Paris FC have a 38% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Nice 14%.
How many goals should we expect in Paris FC vs Nice?
The model expects 2.92 goals (1.95 for Paris FC, 0.97 for Nice). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 79%, over 2.5 goals 56%, over 3.5 goals 34%.
When and where is Paris FC vs Nice played?
Sunday, August 30, 2026 at 14:00 (UK time), Ligue 1, matchday 2. Venue: Stade Jean Bouin, Paris.
What form are Paris FC and Nice in?
Paris FC: 0 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (6 scored, 11 conceded). Nice: 1 win, 3 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (3 scored, 2 conceded).
What is the head-to-head record between Paris FC and Nice?
In the last 2 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Paris FC, 0 for Nice and 1 draw. The most recent ended Paris FC 1-0 Nice (Mar 1, 2026).
What was the Paris FC vs Nice result, and was the prediction right?
Final score: Paris FC 3-0 Nice. The 1X2 prediction came good: victory for Paris FC was the model's favourite outcome (47%). The final score ranked 5th among the most likely scorelines (6.7%), behind 1-0. On goals, the model expected both teams to score (53%): missed; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (56%): correct.
How is the Paris FC vs Nice prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.95 for Paris FC, 0.97 for Nice) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.