Ligue 1· Kick-off : Sunday, August 30, 2026, 16:15 (UK time)
Rennes vs Le Mans: 3-2 result and AI prediction review
Review: prediction vs result
Final score: Rennes 3-2 Le Mans. The 1X2 prediction came good: victory for Rennes was the model's favourite outcome (41%). The model considered this score unlikely (0.5%). On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (28%): missed; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (20%): missed.
Match analysis
Rennes vs Le Mans was played on Sunday, August 30, 2026 (Ligue 1, matchday 2). Venue: Roazhon Park, Rennes. Before kick-off, our model gave Rennes a 41% chance of winning, the draw 35% and Le Mans 24%. The most likely correct score is 0-0 (21.2%), ahead of 1-0 (19.7%) and 0-1 (13.2%).
Rennes have not won any of their last 5 matches (2 draws, 3 defeats), scoring 9 and conceding 13. Le Mans have won just one of their last 5 matches (3 draws, 1 defeat), scoring 6 and conceding 6. Recent momentum is clearly with Le Mans. On average Rennes score 1.80 and concede 2.60 goals per game; Le Mans score 1.20 and concede 1.20. In the table, Rennes sit 12th with 1 points from 1 games, Le Mans 11th with 1 points from 1. The two teams are close in the standings. Over their recent games, Rennes have averaged 0.87 xG (expected goals) per match, against 0.67 for Le Mans.
In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Rennes, 0 for Le Mans and 1 draw. Le Mans: R. Bamba. In double chance terms, "Rennes or draw" stands at 76%, "Le Mans or draw" at 59% and "no draw" at 65%.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Rennes – Le Mans. 0-0 is the single most likely scoreline (21.2%); the 5 scores below add up to 76% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Rennes 0-0 Le Mans | 21.2% |
| Rennes 1-0 Le Mans | 19.7% |
| Rennes 0-1 Le Mans | 13.2% |
| Rennes 1-1 Le Mans | 12.2% |
| Rennes 2-0 Le Mans | 9.2% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
The model expects 1.55 goals in total (0.93 for Rennes, 0.62 for Le Mans): over 2.5 goals has a 20% probability and both teams to score 28%. A tight, low-scoring game is on the cards. Rennes keep a clean sheet in 54% of scenarios, Le Mans in 40%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Rennes expected goals | 0.93 |
| Le Mans expected goals | 0.62 |
| Both teams to score | 28% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 46% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 20% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 7% |
| Rennes clean sheet | 54% |
| Le Mans clean sheet | 40% |
Recent form
Latest matches played before this game in the competitions Elofoot covers.
Rennes
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Paris Saint Germain · Ligue 1 | 2-2 | D |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Sunderland · Club Friendlies | 1-2 | L |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Brentford · Club Friendlies | 2-4 | L |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Brentford U21 · Club Friendlies | 1-2 | L |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Galatasaray · Club Friendlies | 3-3 | D |
Le Mans
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Stade Brestois 29 · Ligue 1 | 2-2 | D |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Le Havre · Club Friendlies | 0-1 | L |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Saumur · Club Friendlies | 0-0 | D |
| Aug 8, 2026 | UNFP · Club Friendlies | 1-1 | D |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Angers · Club Friendlies | 3-2 | W |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rennes | 12 | 1 | 1 |
| Le Mans | 11 | 1 | 1 |
Head-to-head
In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Rennes, 0 for Le Mans and 1 draw.
Out and doubtful
Rennes
No absences reported.
Le Mans
- R. Bamba (out)
Other matches in this competition
- Lille 2-2 Paris Saint GermainAug 28, 2026
- Strasbourg 2-1 LensAug 29, 2026
- Lorient 1-2 Estac TroyesAug 29, 2026
- Lyon 1-1 Le HavreAug 29, 2026
- Auxerre 1-3 AngersAug 29, 2026
- Stade Brestois 29 2-2 ToulouseAug 29, 2026
- Paris FC 3-0 NiceAug 30, 2026
- Monaco 2-0 MarseilleAug 30, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the Rennes vs Le Mans prediction?
Before the match, our AI gave Rennes a 41% chance of winning, the draw 35% and Le Mans 24%. Rennes are therefore slight favourites. Final score: 3-2.
What is the most likely correct score for Rennes vs Le Mans?
0-0 (21.2%), followed by 1-0 (19.7%), 0-1 (13.2%), 1-1 (12.2%) and 2-0 (9.2%).
Will both teams score in Rennes vs Le Mans?
The probability that both Rennes and Le Mans score is 28%. Rennes have a 54% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Le Mans 40%.
How many goals should we expect in Rennes vs Le Mans?
The model expects 1.55 goals (0.93 for Rennes, 0.62 for Le Mans). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 46%, over 2.5 goals 20%, over 3.5 goals 7%.
When and where is Rennes vs Le Mans played?
Sunday, August 30, 2026 at 16:15 (UK time), Ligue 1, matchday 2. Venue: Roazhon Park, Rennes.
What form are Rennes and Le Mans in?
Rennes: 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches (9 scored, 13 conceded). Le Mans: 1 win, 3 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (6 scored, 6 conceded).
What is the head-to-head record between Rennes and Le Mans?
In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Rennes, 0 for Le Mans and 1 draw.
What was the Rennes vs Le Mans result, and was the prediction right?
Final score: Rennes 3-2 Le Mans. The 1X2 prediction came good: victory for Rennes was the model's favourite outcome (41%). The model considered this score unlikely (0.5%). On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (28%): missed; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (20%): missed.
How is the Rennes vs Le Mans prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (0.93 for Rennes, 0.62 for Le Mans) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.