Premier League· Kick-off : Saturday, September 12, 2026, 15:00 (UK time)
Crystal Palace vs Ipswich: 2-3 result and AI prediction review
Review: prediction vs result
Final score: Crystal Palace 2-3 Ipswich. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Crystal Palace (44%), while victory for Ipswich was rated at only 32%. The model considered this score unlikely (2.9%). On goals, the model expected both teams to score (61%): correct; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (59%): correct.
Match analysis
Crystal Palace and Ipswich met on Saturday, September 12, 2026, a Premier League, matchday 4 fixture. Venue: Selhurst Park, London. Before kick-off, our model gave Crystal Palace a 44% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Ipswich 32%. On the correct score, 1-1 comes out on top (11.0%), followed by 2-1 (9.1%) and 1-0 (7.9%).
Over their last 5 matches, Crystal Palace have 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats, scoring 7 and conceding 11. Over their last 5 matches, Ipswich have 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats, scoring 11 and conceding 11. Ipswich therefore arrive in far better shape than Crystal Palace. On average Crystal Palace score 1.40 and concede 2.20 goals per game; Ipswich score 2.20 and concede 2.20. In the table, Crystal Palace sit 13th with 3 points from 3 games, Ipswich 14th with 3 points from 3. The two teams are close in the standings. Over their recent games, Crystal Palace have averaged 1.53 xG (expected goals) per match, against 1.50 for Ipswich.
In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 5 wins for Crystal Palace, 0 for Ipswich and 0 draws. Crystal Palace out or doubtful: J. Mateta, C. Riad, I. Sarr and E. Nketiah. Ipswich: A. Matusiwa, J. Philogene and J. Taylor. In double chance terms, "Crystal Palace or draw" stands at 68%, "Ipswich or draw" at 56% and "no draw" at 76%.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Crystal Palace – Ipswich. 1-1 is the single most likely scoreline (11.0%); the 5 scores below add up to 42% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Crystal Palace 1-1 Ipswich | 11.0% |
| Crystal Palace 2-1 Ipswich | 9.1% |
| Crystal Palace 1-0 Ipswich | 7.9% |
| Crystal Palace 1-2 Ipswich | 7.6% |
| Crystal Palace 0-1 Ipswich | 6.6% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
With 1.66 expected goals for Crystal Palace and 1.38 for Ipswich, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 59% and "both teams to score" at 61%. Goals look likely in this one. Crystal Palace keep a clean sheet in 25% of scenarios, Ipswich in 19%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Crystal Palace expected goals | 1.66 |
| Ipswich expected goals | 1.38 |
| Both teams to score | 61% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 81% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 59% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 36% |
| Crystal Palace clean sheet | 25% |
| Ipswich clean sheet | 19% |
Recent form
Latest matches played before this game in the competitions Elofoot covers.
Crystal Palace
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 8, 2026 | Middlesbrough · EFL Cup | 3-0 | W |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Fulham · Premier League | 3-2 | W |
| Aug 28, 2026 | Manchester City · Premier League | 1-4 | L |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Everton · Premier League | 0-2 | L |
| Aug 15, 2026 | SC Freiburg · Club Friendlies | 0-3 | L |
Ipswich
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 4, 2026 | Liverpool · Premier League | 0-2 | L |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Manchester United · Premier League | 2-5 | L |
| Aug 25, 2026 | Leicester · EFL Cup | 3-1 | W |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Sunderland · Premier League | 2-1 | W |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Union Berlin · Club Friendlies | 4-2 | W |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Crystal Palace | 13 | 3 | 3 |
| Ipswich | 14 | 3 | 3 |
Head-to-head
In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 5 wins for Crystal Palace, 0 for Ipswich and 0 draws.
Out and doubtful
Crystal Palace
- J. Mateta (out)
- C. Riad (out)
- I. Sarr (out)
- E. Nketiah (out)
Ipswich
- A. Matusiwa (out)
- J. Philogene (out)
- J. Taylor (out)
Other matches in this competition
- Chelsea 2-2 Hull CitySep 12, 2026
- Aston Villa 1-2 Nottingham ForestSep 12, 2026
- Bournemouth 2-2 BrentfordSep 12, 2026
- Liverpool 0-0 FulhamSep 12, 2026
- Tottenham 0-0 EvertonSep 12, 2026
- Sunderland 0-2 ArsenalSep 12, 2026
- Coventry 0-5 BrightonSep 13, 2026
- Manchester United 0-1 Manchester CitySep 13, 2026
- Leeds 4-1 NewcastleSep 14, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the Crystal Palace vs Ipswich prediction?
Before the match, our AI gave Crystal Palace a 44% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Ipswich 32%. Crystal Palace are therefore slight favourites. Final score: 2-3.
What is the most likely correct score for Crystal Palace vs Ipswich?
1-1 (11.0%), followed by 2-1 (9.1%), 1-0 (7.9%), 1-2 (7.6%) and 0-1 (6.6%).
Will both teams score in Crystal Palace vs Ipswich?
The probability that both Crystal Palace and Ipswich score is 61%. Crystal Palace have a 25% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Ipswich 19%.
How many goals should we expect in Crystal Palace vs Ipswich?
The model expects 3.04 goals (1.66 for Crystal Palace, 1.38 for Ipswich). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 81%, over 2.5 goals 59%, over 3.5 goals 36%.
When and where is Crystal Palace vs Ipswich played?
Saturday, September 12, 2026 at 15:00 (UK time), Premier League, matchday 4. Venue: Selhurst Park, London.
What form are Crystal Palace and Ipswich in?
Crystal Palace: 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches (7 scored, 11 conceded). Ipswich: 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (11 scored, 11 conceded).
What is the head-to-head record between Crystal Palace and Ipswich?
In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 5 wins for Crystal Palace, 0 for Ipswich and 0 draws.
What was the Crystal Palace vs Ipswich result, and was the prediction right?
Final score: Crystal Palace 2-3 Ipswich. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Crystal Palace (44%), while victory for Ipswich was rated at only 32%. The model considered this score unlikely (2.9%). On goals, the model expected both teams to score (61%): correct; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (59%): correct.
How is the Crystal Palace vs Ipswich prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.66 for Crystal Palace, 1.38 for Ipswich) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All Crystal Palace predictions
- All Ipswich predictions
- Premier League predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology