Premier League· Kick-off : Saturday, September 12, 2026, 15:00 (UK time)
Liverpool vs Fulham: 0-0 result and AI prediction review
Review: prediction vs result
Final score: Liverpool 0-0 Fulham. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Liverpool (67%), while a draw was rated at only 19%. The model considered this score unlikely (1.2%). On goals, the model expected both teams to score (72%): missed; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (82%): missed.
Match analysis
Liverpool vs Fulham was played on Saturday, September 12, 2026 (Premier League, matchday 4). Venue: Anfield, Liverpool. Before kick-off, our model gave Liverpool a 67% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Fulham 14%. The most likely correct score is 2-1 (7.7%), ahead of 3-1 (7.7%) and 4-1 (5.7%).
Liverpool are unbeaten in their last 5 matches (2 wins, 3 draws), scoring 8 and conceding 5. Over their last 5 matches, Fulham have 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats, scoring 8 and conceding 7. Recent momentum is clearly with Liverpool. On average Liverpool score 1.60 and concede 1.00 goals per game; Fulham score 1.60 and concede 1.40. In the table, Liverpool sit 6th with 5 points from 3 games, Fulham 19th with 0 points from 3. 13 places separate the two sides. Over their recent games, Liverpool have averaged 1.76 xG (expected goals) per match, against 2.41 for Fulham.
In the last 2 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Liverpool, 0 for Fulham and 1 draw. The most recent ended Liverpool 2-0 Fulham (Apr 11, 2026). Liverpool out or doubtful: C. Bradley, F. Chiesa, H. Ekitike, G. Leoni and C. Gakpo. Fulham: T. Cairney. In double chance terms, "Liverpool or draw" stands at 86%, "Fulham or draw" at 33% and "no draw" at 81%.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Liverpool – Fulham. 2-1 is the single most likely scoreline (7.7%); the 5 scores below add up to 32% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Liverpool 2-1 Fulham | 7.7% |
| Liverpool 3-1 Fulham | 7.7% |
| Liverpool 4-1 Fulham | 5.7% |
| Liverpool 2-2 Fulham | 5.5% |
| Liverpool 3-2 Fulham | 5.5% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
The model expects 4.41 goals in total (2.99 for Liverpool, 1.42 for Fulham): over 2.5 goals has a 82% probability and both teams to score 72%. Everything points to an open game. Liverpool keep a clean sheet in 24% of scenarios, Fulham in 5%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Liverpool expected goals | 2.99 |
| Fulham expected goals | 1.42 |
| Both teams to score | 72% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 93% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 82% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 64% |
| Liverpool clean sheet | 24% |
| Fulham clean sheet | 5% |
Recent form
Latest matches played before this game in the competitions Elofoot covers.
Liverpool
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 9, 2026 | Atletico Madrid · UEFA Champions League | 2-1 | W |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Ipswich · Premier League | 2-0 | W |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Nottingham Forest · Premier League | 2-2 | D |
| Aug 23, 2026 | Newcastle · Premier League | 2-2 | D |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Como · Club Friendlies | 0-0 | D |
Fulham
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 5, 2026 | Crystal Palace · Premier League | 2-3 | L |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Sunderland · Premier League | 0-1 | L |
| Aug 27, 2026 | AFC Wimbledon · EFL Cup | 3-0 | W |
| Aug 24, 2026 | Chelsea · Premier League | 2-3 | L |
| Aug 15, 2026 | VfB Stuttgart · Club Friendlies | 1-0 | W |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Liverpool | 6 | 5 | 3 |
| Fulham | 19 | 0 | 3 |
Head-to-head
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2026 | Liverpool 2-0 Fulham | Premier League |
| Jan 4, 2026 | Fulham 2-2 Liverpool | Premier League |
Out and doubtful
Liverpool
- C. Bradley (out)
- F. Chiesa (out)
- H. Ekitike (out)
- G. Leoni (out)
- C. Gakpo (out)
Fulham
- T. Cairney (out)
Other matches in this competition
- Chelsea 2-2 Hull CitySep 12, 2026
- Crystal Palace 2-3 IpswichSep 12, 2026
- Aston Villa 1-2 Nottingham ForestSep 12, 2026
- Bournemouth 2-2 BrentfordSep 12, 2026
- Tottenham 0-0 EvertonSep 12, 2026
- Sunderland 0-2 ArsenalSep 12, 2026
- Coventry 0-5 BrightonSep 13, 2026
- Manchester United 0-1 Manchester CitySep 13, 2026
- Leeds 4-1 NewcastleSep 14, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the Liverpool vs Fulham prediction?
Before the match, our AI gave Liverpool a 67% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Fulham 14%. Liverpool are therefore favourites. Final score: 0-0.
What is the most likely correct score for Liverpool vs Fulham?
2-1 (7.7%), followed by 3-1 (7.7%), 4-1 (5.7%), 2-2 (5.5%) and 3-2 (5.5%).
Will both teams score in Liverpool vs Fulham?
The probability that both Liverpool and Fulham score is 72%. Liverpool have a 24% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Fulham 5%.
How many goals should we expect in Liverpool vs Fulham?
The model expects 4.41 goals (2.99 for Liverpool, 1.42 for Fulham). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 93%, over 2.5 goals 82%, over 3.5 goals 64%.
When and where is Liverpool vs Fulham played?
Saturday, September 12, 2026 at 15:00 (UK time), Premier League, matchday 4. Venue: Anfield, Liverpool.
What form are Liverpool and Fulham in?
Liverpool: 2 wins, 3 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches (8 scored, 5 conceded). Fulham: 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches (8 scored, 7 conceded).
What is the head-to-head record between Liverpool and Fulham?
In the last 2 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Liverpool, 0 for Fulham and 1 draw. The most recent ended Liverpool 2-0 Fulham (Apr 11, 2026).
What was the Liverpool vs Fulham result, and was the prediction right?
Final score: Liverpool 0-0 Fulham. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Liverpool (67%), while a draw was rated at only 19%. The model considered this score unlikely (1.2%). On goals, the model expected both teams to score (72%): missed; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (82%): missed.
How is the Liverpool vs Fulham prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (2.99 for Liverpool, 1.42 for Fulham) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All Liverpool predictions
- All Fulham predictions
- Premier League predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology

