Premier League· Kick-off : Saturday, September 12, 2026, 17:30 (UK time)
Tottenham vs Everton: 0-0 result and AI prediction review
Review: prediction vs result
Final score: Tottenham 0-0 Everton. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Everton (57%), while a draw was rated at only 23%. The final score ranked 5th among the most likely scorelines (6.3%), behind 0-1. On goals, the model expected both teams to score (52%): missed; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (52%): missed.
Match analysis
Tottenham vs Everton was played on Saturday, September 12, 2026 (Premier League, matchday 4). Venue: Tottenham Hotspur Stadium, London. Before kick-off, our model gave Tottenham a 20% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Everton 57%. The most likely correct score is 0-1 (11.3%), ahead of 1-1 (10.9%) and 0-2 (10.3%).
Tottenham have won just one of their last 5 matches (2 draws, 2 defeats), scoring 7 and conceding 8. Everton are unbeaten in their last 5 matches (2 wins, 3 draws), scoring 10 and conceding 4. Recent momentum is clearly with Everton. On average Tottenham score 1.40 and concede 1.60 goals per game; Everton score 2.00 and concede 0.80. In the table, Tottenham sit 18th with 1 points from 3 games, Everton 8th with 5 points from 3. 10 places separate the two sides. Over their recent games, Tottenham have averaged 1.31 xG (expected goals) per match, against 1.32 for Everton.
In the last 2 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 2 wins for Tottenham, 0 for Everton and 0 draws. The most recent ended Tottenham 1-0 Everton (May 24, 2026). Tottenham out or doubtful: M. Mudryk, W. Odobert, Richarlison, X. Simons and D. Kulusevski. Everton: C. Norgaard and J. Garner. In double chance terms, "Tottenham or draw" stands at 43%, "Everton or draw" at 80% and "no draw" at 77%.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Tottenham – Everton. 0-1 is the single most likely scoreline (11.3%); the 5 scores below add up to 49% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Tottenham 0-1 Everton | 11.3% |
| Tottenham 1-1 Everton | 10.9% |
| Tottenham 0-2 Everton | 10.3% |
| Tottenham 1-2 Everton | 9.9% |
| Tottenham 0-0 Everton | 6.3% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
The model expects 2.77 goals in total (0.96 for Tottenham, 1.81 for Everton): over 2.5 goals has a 52% probability and both teams to score 52%. Tottenham keep a clean sheet in 16% of scenarios, Everton in 38%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Tottenham expected goals | 0.96 |
| Everton expected goals | 1.81 |
| Both teams to score | 52% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 76% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 52% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 30% |
| Tottenham clean sheet | 16% |
| Everton clean sheet | 38% |
Recent form
Latest matches played before this game in the competitions Elofoot covers.
Tottenham
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 5, 2026 | Nottingham Forest · Premier League | 0-0 | D |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Newcastle · Premier League | 0-2 | L |
| Aug 26, 2026 | Charlton · EFL Cup | 5-1 | W |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Brentford · Premier League | 0-3 | L |
| Aug 16, 2026 | 1899 Hoffenheim · Club Friendlies | 2-2 | D |
Everton
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 6, 2026 | Manchester United · Premier League | 2-2 | D |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Bournemouth · Premier League | 1-1 | D |
| Aug 26, 2026 | Preston · EFL Cup | 4-0 | W |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Crystal Palace · Premier League | 2-0 | W |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Lille · Club Friendlies | 1-1 | D |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tottenham | 18 | 1 | 3 |
| Everton | 8 | 5 | 3 |
Head-to-head
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 24, 2026 | Tottenham 1-0 Everton | Premier League |
| Oct 26, 2025 | Everton 0-3 Tottenham | Premier League |
Out and doubtful
Tottenham
- M. Mudryk (out)
- W. Odobert (out)
- Richarlison (out)
- X. Simons (out)
- D. Kulusevski (out)
Everton
- C. Norgaard (out)
- J. Garner (out)
Other matches in this competition
- Chelsea 2-2 Hull CitySep 12, 2026
- Crystal Palace 2-3 IpswichSep 12, 2026
- Aston Villa 1-2 Nottingham ForestSep 12, 2026
- Bournemouth 2-2 BrentfordSep 12, 2026
- Liverpool 0-0 FulhamSep 12, 2026
- Sunderland 0-2 ArsenalSep 12, 2026
- Coventry 0-5 BrightonSep 13, 2026
- Manchester United 0-1 Manchester CitySep 13, 2026
- Leeds 4-1 NewcastleSep 14, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the Tottenham vs Everton prediction?
Before the match, our AI gave Tottenham a 20% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Everton 57%. Everton are therefore favourites. Final score: 0-0.
What is the most likely correct score for Tottenham vs Everton?
0-1 (11.3%), followed by 1-1 (10.9%), 0-2 (10.3%), 1-2 (9.9%) and 0-0 (6.3%).
Will both teams score in Tottenham vs Everton?
The probability that both Tottenham and Everton score is 52%. Tottenham have a 16% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Everton 38%.
How many goals should we expect in Tottenham vs Everton?
The model expects 2.77 goals (0.96 for Tottenham, 1.81 for Everton). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 76%, over 2.5 goals 52%, over 3.5 goals 30%.
When and where is Tottenham vs Everton played?
Saturday, September 12, 2026 at 17:30 (UK time), Premier League, matchday 4. Venue: Tottenham Hotspur Stadium, London.
What form are Tottenham and Everton in?
Tottenham: 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (7 scored, 8 conceded). Everton: 2 wins, 3 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches (10 scored, 4 conceded).
What is the head-to-head record between Tottenham and Everton?
In the last 2 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 2 wins for Tottenham, 0 for Everton and 0 draws. The most recent ended Tottenham 1-0 Everton (May 24, 2026).
What was the Tottenham vs Everton result, and was the prediction right?
Final score: Tottenham 0-0 Everton. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Everton (57%), while a draw was rated at only 23%. The final score ranked 5th among the most likely scorelines (6.3%), behind 0-1. On goals, the model expected both teams to score (52%): missed; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (52%): missed.
How is the Tottenham vs Everton prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (0.96 for Tottenham, 1.81 for Everton) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All Tottenham predictions
- All Everton predictions
- Premier League predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology

