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Premier LeaguePremier League· Kick-off : Saturday, September 12, 2026, 20:00 (UK time)

Sunderland vs Arsenal: 0-2 result and AI prediction review

SunderlandSunderland0 – 2ArsenalArsenal

Review: prediction vs result

1X2 outcome correctExact score missedMost likely score before kick-off : 1-2

Final score: Sunderland 0-2 Arsenal. The AI called the outcome correctly: it rated victory for Arsenal at 57%. The final score ranked 3rd among the most likely scorelines (8.1%), behind 1-2. On goals, the model expected both teams to score (61%): missed; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (64%): missed.

Match analysis

Sunderland and Arsenal met on Saturday, September 12, 2026, a Premier League, matchday 4 fixture. Venue: Stadium of Light, Sunderland. Before kick-off, our model gave Sunderland a 22% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Arsenal 57%. On the correct score, 1-2 comes out on top (9.8%), followed by 1-1 (9.4%) and 0-2 (8.1%).

Over their last 5 matches, Sunderland have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat, scoring 6 and conceding 4. Arsenal are unbeaten in their last 5 matches (5 wins, 0 draws), scoring 10 and conceding 1. Arsenal therefore arrive in far better shape than Sunderland. On average Sunderland score 1.20 and concede 0.80 goals per game; Arsenal score 2.00 and concede 0.20. In the table, Sunderland sit 12th with 4 points from 3 games, Arsenal 2nd with 9 points from 3. 10 places separate the two sides. Over their recent games, Sunderland have averaged 1.50 xG (expected goals) per match, against 1.66 for Arsenal.

In the last 2 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Sunderland, 1 for Arsenal and 1 draw. The most recent ended Arsenal 3-0 Sunderland (Feb 7, 2026). Sunderland out or doubtful: H. Diarra and R. Mundle. Arsenal: C. Mosquera, W. Saliba and J. Timber. In double chance terms, "Sunderland or draw" stands at 43%, "Arsenal or draw" at 78% and "no draw" at 79%.

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

22%
Sunderland (Win)
21%
Draw
57%
Arsenal (Win)

Double chance

43%
Sunderland or draw
78%
Arsenal or draw
79%
No draw

Most likely correct scores

Scores shown as Sunderland – Arsenal. 1-2 is the single most likely scoreline (9.8%); the 5 scores below add up to 42% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.

ScoreProbability
Sunderland 1-2 Arsenal9.8%
Sunderland 1-1 Arsenal9.4%
Sunderland 0-2 Arsenal8.1%
Sunderland 0-1 Arsenal7.9%
Sunderland 1-3 Arsenal6.7%

Goals: both teams to score, over/under

With 1.20 expected goals for Sunderland and 2.07 for Arsenal, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 64% and "both teams to score" at 61%. Goals look likely in this one. Sunderland keep a clean sheet in 13% of scenarios, Arsenal in 30%.

Probability
Sunderland expected goals1.20
Arsenal expected goals2.07
Both teams to score61%
Over 1.5 goals84%
Over 2.5 goals64%
Over 3.5 goals41%
Sunderland clean sheet13%
Arsenal clean sheet30%

Recent form

Latest matches played before this game in the competitions Elofoot covers.

Sunderland

DateOpponentScore
Sep 8, 2026Hull City · EFL Cup1-0W
Sep 5, 2026Brentford · Premier League1-1D
Aug 30, 2026Fulham · Premier League1-0W
Aug 22, 2026Ipswich · Premier League1-2L
Aug 15, 2026Rennes · Club Friendlies2-1W

Arsenal

DateOpponentScore
Sep 9, 2026Napoli · UEFA Champions League1-0W
Sep 6, 2026Chelsea · Premier League2-1W
Aug 31, 2026Aston Villa · Premier League1-0W
Aug 21, 2026Coventry · Premier League3-0W
Aug 16, 2026Manchester City · FA Community Shield3-0W

Standings before the match

Pos.PointsPlayed
Sunderland1243
Arsenal293

Head-to-head

DateScoreCompetition
Feb 7, 2026Arsenal 3-0 SunderlandPremier League
Nov 8, 2025Sunderland 2-2 ArsenalPremier League

Out and doubtful

Sunderland

  • H. Diarra (out)
  • R. Mundle (out)

Arsenal

  • C. Mosquera (out)
  • W. Saliba (out)
  • J. Timber (out)

Other matches in this competition

Frequently asked questions

What is the Sunderland vs Arsenal prediction?

Before the match, our AI gave Sunderland a 22% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Arsenal 57%. Arsenal are therefore favourites. Final score: 0-2.

What is the most likely correct score for Sunderland vs Arsenal?

1-2 (9.8%), followed by 1-1 (9.4%), 0-2 (8.1%), 0-1 (7.9%) and 1-3 (6.7%).

Will both teams score in Sunderland vs Arsenal?

The probability that both Sunderland and Arsenal score is 61%. Sunderland have a 13% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Arsenal 30%.

How many goals should we expect in Sunderland vs Arsenal?

The model expects 3.27 goals (1.20 for Sunderland, 2.07 for Arsenal). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 84%, over 2.5 goals 64%, over 3.5 goals 41%.

When and where is Sunderland vs Arsenal played?

Saturday, September 12, 2026 at 20:00 (UK time), Premier League, matchday 4. Venue: Stadium of Light, Sunderland.

What form are Sunderland and Arsenal in?

Sunderland: 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (6 scored, 4 conceded). Arsenal: 5 wins, 0 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches (10 scored, 1 conceded).

What is the head-to-head record between Sunderland and Arsenal?

In the last 2 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Sunderland, 1 for Arsenal and 1 draw. The most recent ended Arsenal 3-0 Sunderland (Feb 7, 2026).

What was the Sunderland vs Arsenal result, and was the prediction right?

Final score: Sunderland 0-2 Arsenal. The AI called the outcome correctly: it rated victory for Arsenal at 57%. The final score ranked 3rd among the most likely scorelines (8.1%), behind 1-2. On goals, the model expected both teams to score (61%): missed; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (64%): missed.

How is the Sunderland vs Arsenal prediction calculated?

The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.20 for Sunderland, 2.07 for Arsenal) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.

Go further

Key terms explained