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Premier LeaguePremier League· Kick-off : Sunday, October 11, 2026, 14:00 (UK time)

Crystal Palace vs Nottingham Forest prediction: correct score and AI tips

Match analysis

Premier League, matchday 6: the Crystal Palace vs Nottingham Forest match is scheduled on Sunday, October 11, 2026 at 14:00 (UK time). Venue: Selhurst Park, London. Nothing is settled in advance: the AI gives Crystal Palace 39%, Nottingham Forest 36% and the draw 25%. The most likely correct score is 1-1 (11.5%), ahead of 2-1 (8.5%) and 1-2 (8.3%).

Over their last 5 matches, Crystal Palace have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats, scoring 9 and conceding 5. Nottingham Forest have won just one of their last 5 matches (2 draws, 2 defeats), scoring 4 and conceding 6. On recent form, there is little to separate the two teams. On average Crystal Palace score 1.80 and concede 1.00 goals per game; Nottingham Forest score 0.80 and concede 1.20. In the table, Crystal Palace sit 15th with 4 points from 5 games, Nottingham Forest 13th with 5 points from 5. The two teams are close in the standings.

In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Crystal Palace, 1 for Nottingham Forest and 4 draws. The most recent ended Nottingham Forest 1-1 Crystal Palace (Feb 1, 2026). In double chance terms, "Crystal Palace or draw" stands at 64%, "Nottingham Forest or draw" at 61% and "no draw" at 75%.

In short : Crystal Palace and Nottingham Forest meet in a wide-open clash with no clear favourite (draw at 25%). In the table, Crystal Palace (15th, 4 pts) host Nottingham Forest (13th, 5 pts). Our model's most likely scoreline: 1-1.

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

39%
Crystal Palace (Win)
25%
Draw
36%
Nottingham Forest (Win)

Double chance

64%
Crystal Palace or draw
61%
Nottingham Forest or draw
75%
No draw

Most likely correct scores

Scores shown as Crystal Palace – Nottingham Forest. 1-1 is the single most likely scoreline (11.5%); the 5 scores below add up to 44% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.

ScoreProbability
Crystal Palace 1-1 Nottingham Forest11.5%
Crystal Palace 2-1 Nottingham Forest8.5%
Crystal Palace 1-2 Nottingham Forest8.3%
Crystal Palace 1-0 Nottingham Forest8.0%
Crystal Palace 0-1 Nottingham Forest7.8%

Goals: both teams to score, over/under

The model expects 2.92 goals in total (1.48 for Crystal Palace, 1.44 for Nottingham Forest): over 2.5 goals has a 56% probability and both teams to score 59%. Crystal Palace keep a clean sheet in 24% of scenarios, Nottingham Forest in 23%.

Probability
Crystal Palace expected goals1.48
Nottingham Forest expected goals1.44
Both teams to score59%
Over 1.5 goals79%
Over 2.5 goals56%
Over 3.5 goals34%
Crystal Palace clean sheet24%
Nottingham Forest clean sheet23%

Recent form

Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.

Crystal Palace

DateOpponentScore
Oct 3, 2026Bristol City · Club Friendlies0-2L
Sep 20, 2026Leeds · Premier League0-0D
Sep 17, 2026Lech Poznan · UEFA Europa League4-0W
Sep 12, 2026Ipswich · Premier League2-3L
Sep 8, 2026Middlesbrough · EFL Cup3-0W

Nottingham Forest

DateOpponentScore
Sep 19, 2026Coventry · Premier League0-1L
Sep 12, 2026Aston Villa · Premier League2-1W
Sep 5, 2026Tottenham · Premier League0-0D
Aug 29, 2026Liverpool · Premier League2-2D
Aug 25, 2026Leeds · EFL Cup0-2L

Standings before the match

Pos.PointsPlayed
Crystal Palace1545
Nottingham Forest1355

Head-to-head

DateScoreCompetition
Feb 1, 2026Nottingham Forest 1-1 Crystal PalacePremier League
Aug 24, 2025Crystal Palace 1-1 Nottingham ForestPremier League
May 5, 2025Crystal Palace 1-1 Nottingham ForestPremier League
Oct 21, 2024Nottingham Forest 1-0 Crystal PalacePremier League
Mar 30, 2024Nottingham Forest 1-1 Crystal PalacePremier League

Out and doubtful

Crystal Palace

No absences reported.

Nottingham Forest

No absences reported.

Most regular starters

Crystal Palace

Starts over the last 4 matches (official line-ups).

  • Q. Timber4/4
  • A. Disasi3/4
  • A. Khalaili3/4
  • A. Wharton3/4
  • C. Richards3/4
  • D. Kamada3/4
  • H. Ahanor3/4
  • J. Larsen3/4
  • T. Mitchell3/4
  • W. Benitez3/4
  • Y. Pino3/4

Nottingham Forest

Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).

  • M. Sels5/5
  • N. Williams5/5
  • X. Schlager5/5
  • D. Ndoye4/5
  • J. McAtee4/5
  • M. Gibbs-White4/5
  • Murillo4/5
  • O. Aina4/5
  • Cunha3/5
  • L. Delap3/5
  • N. Milenkovic3/5

First detailed prediction free, no card required.

See the full prediction (scenario, scorers, half-time)

Other matches in this competition

Frequently asked questions

What is the Crystal Palace vs Nottingham Forest prediction?

Our AI gives Crystal Palace a 39% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Nottingham Forest 36%. Crystal Palace are therefore slight favourites.

What is the most likely correct score for Crystal Palace vs Nottingham Forest?

1-1 (11.5%), followed by 2-1 (8.5%), 1-2 (8.3%), 1-0 (8.0%) and 0-1 (7.8%).

Will both teams score in Crystal Palace vs Nottingham Forest?

The probability that both Crystal Palace and Nottingham Forest score is 59%. Crystal Palace have a 24% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Nottingham Forest 23%.

How many goals should we expect in Crystal Palace vs Nottingham Forest?

The model expects 2.92 goals (1.48 for Crystal Palace, 1.44 for Nottingham Forest). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 79%, over 2.5 goals 56%, over 3.5 goals 34%.

When and where is Crystal Palace vs Nottingham Forest played?

Sunday, October 11, 2026 at 14:00 (UK time), Premier League, matchday 6. Venue: Selhurst Park, London.

What form are Crystal Palace and Nottingham Forest in?

Crystal Palace: 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (9 scored, 5 conceded). Nottingham Forest: 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (4 scored, 6 conceded).

What is the head-to-head record between Crystal Palace and Nottingham Forest?

In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Crystal Palace, 1 for Nottingham Forest and 4 draws. The most recent ended Nottingham Forest 1-1 Crystal Palace (Feb 1, 2026).

How is the Crystal Palace vs Nottingham Forest prediction calculated?

The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.48 for Crystal Palace, 1.44 for Nottingham Forest) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.

Go further

Key terms explained