Premier League· Kick-off : Sunday, October 11, 2026, 14:00 (UK time)
Hull City vs Everton prediction: correct score and AI tips
Match analysis
Premier League, matchday 6: the Hull City vs Everton match is scheduled on Sunday, October 11, 2026 at 14:00 (UK time). Venue: MKM Stadium, Hull. The edge goes to Everton (55%), ahead of the draw (27%) and a Hull City win (18%). The most likely correct score is 0-1 (17.8%), ahead of 0-0 (12.6%) and 0-2 (12.5%).
Hull City have won just one of their last 5 matches (2 draws, 2 defeats), scoring 4 and conceding 5. Everton are unbeaten in their last 5 matches (2 wins, 3 draws), scoring 5 and conceding 3. Recent momentum is clearly with Everton. On average Hull City score 0.80 and concede 1.00 goals per game; Everton score 1.00 and concede 0.60. In the table, Hull City sit 8th with 8 points from 5 games, Everton 7th with 9 points from 5. The two teams are close in the standings. Over their recent games, Hull City have averaged 0.65 xG (expected goals) per match, against 1.43 for Everton.
In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Hull City, 2 for Everton and 2 draws. The most recent ended Hull City 2-3 Everton (Jan 8, 2022). In double chance terms, "Hull City or draw" stands at 45%, "Everton or draw" at 82% and "no draw" at 73%.
In short : Our model backs Everton to edge Hull City (55% probability). On recent form, Hull City have 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses in 5 while Everton have 2 wins, 3 draws and 0 losses in 5. The model leans towards a tight, low-scoring game.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Hull City – Everton. 0-1 is the single most likely scoreline (17.8%); the 5 scores below add up to 63% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Hull City 0-1 Everton | 17.8% |
| Hull City 0-0 Everton | 12.6% |
| Hull City 0-2 Everton | 12.5% |
| Hull City 1-1 Everton | 11.7% |
| Hull City 1-0 Everton | 8.3% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
The model expects 2.07 goals in total (0.66 for Hull City, 1.41 for Everton): over 2.5 goals has a 34% probability and both teams to score 37%. A tight, low-scoring game is on the cards. Hull City keep a clean sheet in 24% of scenarios, Everton in 52%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Hull City expected goals | 0.66 |
| Everton expected goals | 1.41 |
| Both teams to score | 37% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 61% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 34% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 16% |
| Hull City clean sheet | 24% |
| Everton clean sheet | 52% |
Recent form
Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.
Hull City
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 2026 | Newcastle · Premier League | 1-2 | L |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Chelsea · Premier League | 2-2 | D |
| Sep 8, 2026 | Sunderland · EFL Cup | 0-1 | L |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Aston Villa · Premier League | 0-0 | D |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Coventry · Premier League | 1-0 | W |
Everton
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 2026 | Ipswich · Premier League | 1-0 | W |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Wolves · EFL Cup | 1-0 | W |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Tottenham · Premier League | 0-0 | D |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Manchester United · Premier League | 2-2 | D |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Bournemouth · Premier League | 1-1 | D |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hull City | 8 | 8 | 5 |
| Everton | 7 | 9 | 5 |
Head-to-head
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 8, 2022 | Hull City 2-3 Everton | FA Cup |
| Mar 18, 2017 | Everton 4-0 Hull City | Premier League |
| Dec 30, 2016 | Hull City 2-2 Everton | Premier League |
| Jan 1, 2015 | Hull City 2-0 Everton | Premier League |
| Dec 3, 2014 | Everton 1-1 Hull City | Premier League |
Out and doubtful
Hull City
No absences reported.
Everton
No absences reported.
Most regular starters
Hull City
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- L. Coyle5/5
- J. Egan4/5
- K. Tzolakis4/5
- M. Belloumi4/5
- N. Mendy4/5
- O. McBurnie4/5
- R. Giles4/5
- R. Slater4/5
- S. Ajayi4/5
- E. Stroud3/5
- M. Crooks3/5
Everton
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- J. Garner5/5
- J. Pickford5/5
- K. Dewsbury-Hall5/5
- T. Barry5/5
- V. Mykolenko5/5
- H. Armstrong4/5
- J. Branthwaite4/5
- J. Tarkowski4/5
- A. Maitland-Niles3/5
- B. Johnson3/5
- T. George3/5
First detailed prediction free, no card required.
See the full prediction (scenario, scorers, half-time)Other matches in this competition
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- Sunderland – BrightonOct 10, 2026
- Chelsea – BournemouthOct 10, 2026
- Aston Villa – BrentfordOct 10, 2026
- Ipswich – FulhamOct 10, 2026
- Manchester United – TottenhamOct 10, 2026
- Crystal Palace – Nottingham ForestOct 11, 2026
- Liverpool – Manchester CityOct 11, 2026
- Coventry – NewcastleOct 12, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the Hull City vs Everton prediction?
Our AI gives Hull City a 18% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Everton 55%. Everton are therefore favourites.
What is the most likely correct score for Hull City vs Everton?
0-1 (17.8%), followed by 0-0 (12.6%), 0-2 (12.5%), 1-1 (11.7%) and 1-0 (8.3%).
Will both teams score in Hull City vs Everton?
The probability that both Hull City and Everton score is 37%. Hull City have a 24% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Everton 52%.
How many goals should we expect in Hull City vs Everton?
The model expects 2.07 goals (0.66 for Hull City, 1.41 for Everton). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 61%, over 2.5 goals 34%, over 3.5 goals 16%.
When and where is Hull City vs Everton played?
Sunday, October 11, 2026 at 14:00 (UK time), Premier League, matchday 6. Venue: MKM Stadium, Hull.
What form are Hull City and Everton in?
Hull City: 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (4 scored, 5 conceded). Everton: 2 wins, 3 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches (5 scored, 3 conceded).
What is the head-to-head record between Hull City and Everton?
In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Hull City, 2 for Everton and 2 draws. The most recent ended Hull City 2-3 Everton (Jan 8, 2022).
How is the Hull City vs Everton prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (0.66 for Hull City, 1.41 for Everton) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All Hull City predictions
- All Everton predictions
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- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology