Primeira Liga· Kick-off : Saturday, October 10, 2026, 20:30 (UK time)
Academico Viseu vs Estoril prediction: correct score and AI tips
Match analysis
Primeira Liga, matchday 8: Academico Viseu vs Estoril kicks off on Saturday, October 10, 2026 at 20:30 (UK time). With a 72% win probability, Academico Viseu go in as strong favourites against Estoril (8%), with the draw rated at 20%. The most likely correct score is 1-0 (18.0%), ahead of 2-0 (17.0%) and 3-0 (10.7%).
Over their last 5 matches, Academico Viseu have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats, scoring 5 and conceding 7. Estoril have not won any of their last 5 matches (1 draw, 4 defeats), scoring 1 and conceding 7. Recent momentum is clearly with Academico Viseu. On average Academico Viseu score 1.00 and concede 1.40 goals per game; Estoril score 0.20 and concede 1.40. In the table, Academico Viseu sit 7th with 11 points from 7 games, Estoril 18th with 2 points from 7. 11 places separate the two sides. Over their recent games, Academico Viseu have averaged 1.11 xG (expected goals) per match, against 0.79 for Estoril.
Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Academico Viseu and Estoril: the prediction relies on each team's form and level. In double chance terms, "Academico Viseu or draw" stands at 92%, "Estoril or draw" at 28% and "no draw" at 80%.
In short : Academico Viseu are favourites for this Academico Viseu v Estoril, with a 72% win probability from our model. In the table, Academico Viseu (7th, 11 pts) host Estoril (18th, 2 pts). Our model's most likely scoreline: 1-0.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Academico Viseu – Estoril. 1-0 is the single most likely scoreline (18.0%); the 5 scores below add up to 63% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Academico Viseu 1-0 Estoril | 18.0% |
| Academico Viseu 2-0 Estoril | 17.0% |
| Academico Viseu 3-0 Estoril | 10.7% |
| Academico Viseu 0-0 Estoril | 9.5% |
| Academico Viseu 1-1 Estoril | 8.3% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
The model expects 2.35 goals in total (1.89 for Academico Viseu, 0.46 for Estoril): over 2.5 goals has a 42% probability and both teams to score 31%. A tight, low-scoring game is on the cards. Academico Viseu keep a clean sheet in 63% of scenarios, Estoril in 15%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Academico Viseu expected goals | 1.89 |
| Estoril expected goals | 0.46 |
| Both teams to score | 31% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 68% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 42% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 21% |
| Academico Viseu clean sheet | 63% |
| Estoril clean sheet | 15% |
Recent form
Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.
Academico Viseu
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 12, 2026 | Vitória SC · Primeira Liga | 2-1 | W |
| Sep 6, 2026 | GIL Vicente · Primeira Liga | 1-0 | W |
| Aug 29, 2026 | FC Porto · Primeira Liga | 0-3 | L |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Maritimo · Primeira Liga | 2-2 | D |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Santa Clara · Primeira Liga | 0-1 | L |
Estoril
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 14, 2026 | SC Braga · Primeira Liga | 0-1 | L |
| Sep 7, 2026 | Arouca · Primeira Liga | 0-0 | D |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Benfica · Primeira Liga | 1-2 | L |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Rio Ave · Primeira Liga | 0-2 | L |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Nacional · Primeira Liga | 0-2 | L |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Academico Viseu | 7 | 11 | 7 |
| Estoril | 18 | 2 | 7 |
Head-to-head
Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Academico Viseu and Estoril: the prediction relies on each team's form and level.
Out and doubtful
Academico Viseu
No absences reported.
Estoril
No absences reported.
Most regular starters
Academico Viseu
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- A. Correia5/5
- Andre Clovis5/5
- C. Kahraman5/5
- Ewerton5/5
- Joao Guilherme5/5
- Robinho5/5
- S. Messeguem5/5
- N. Michelis4/5
- Gu Costa3/5
- L. Gohi3/5
- L. Silva3/5
Estoril
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- Ferro5/5
- Y. Begraoui5/5
- A. Lacximicant4/5
- A. Tsoungui4/5
- F. Medrano4/5
- I. Sierra4/5
- J. Carvalho4/5
- J. Robles4/5
- R. Sanchez4/5
- J. Holsgrove2/5
- R. Guitane2/5
First detailed prediction free, no card required.
See the full prediction (scenario, scorers, half-time)Other matches in this competition
- Moreirense – GIL VicenteOct 9, 2026
- SC Braga – Sporting CPOct 9, 2026
- Casa Pia – Santa ClaraOct 10, 2026
- Maritimo – FC PortoOct 10, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the Academico Viseu vs Estoril prediction?
Our AI gives Academico Viseu a 72% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Estoril 8%. Academico Viseu are therefore favourites.
What is the most likely correct score for Academico Viseu vs Estoril?
1-0 (18.0%), followed by 2-0 (17.0%), 3-0 (10.7%), 0-0 (9.5%) and 1-1 (8.3%).
Will both teams score in Academico Viseu vs Estoril?
The probability that both Academico Viseu and Estoril score is 31%. Academico Viseu have a 63% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Estoril 15%.
How many goals should we expect in Academico Viseu vs Estoril?
The model expects 2.35 goals (1.89 for Academico Viseu, 0.46 for Estoril). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 68%, over 2.5 goals 42%, over 3.5 goals 21%.
When and where is Academico Viseu vs Estoril played?
Saturday, October 10, 2026 at 20:30 (UK time), Primeira Liga, matchday 8.
What form are Academico Viseu and Estoril in?
Academico Viseu: 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (5 scored, 7 conceded). Estoril: 0 wins, 1 draw and 4 defeats in their last 5 matches (1 scored, 7 conceded).
How is the Academico Viseu vs Estoril prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.89 for Academico Viseu, 0.46 for Estoril) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All Academico Viseu predictions
- All Estoril predictions
- Primeira Liga predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology