Primeira Liga· Kick-off : Saturday, October 10, 2026, 20:30 (UK time)
Academico Viseu vs Estoril: 2-1 result and AI prediction review
Review: prediction vs result
Final score: Academico Viseu 2-1 Estoril. The 1X2 prediction came good: victory for Academico Viseu was the model's favourite outcome (79%). The final score ranked 4th among the most likely scorelines (7.8%), behind 2-0. On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (34%): missed; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (53%): correct.
Match analysis
Academico Viseu vs Estoril was played on Saturday, October 10, 2026 (Primeira Liga, matchday 8). Venue: Estadio do Fontelo, Viseu. Before kick-off, our model gave Academico Viseu a 79% chance of winning, the draw 15% and Estoril 6%. The most likely correct score is 2-0 (16.5%), ahead of 1-0 (14.2%) and 3-0 (12.8%).
Over their last 5 matches, Academico Viseu have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat, scoring 7 and conceding 6. Estoril have not won any of their last 5 matches (1 draw, 4 defeats), scoring 2 and conceding 7. Recent momentum is clearly with Academico Viseu. On average Academico Viseu score 1.40 and concede 1.20 goals per game; Estoril score 0.40 and concede 1.40. In the table, Academico Viseu sit 8th with 11 points from 7 games, Estoril 18th with 2 points from 7. 10 places separate the two sides. Over their recent games, Academico Viseu have averaged 1.32 xG (expected goals) per match, against 0.82 for Estoril.
In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 2 wins for Academico Viseu, 3 for Estoril and 0 draws. The most recent ended Academico Viseu 3-2 Estoril (Dec 1, 2022). In double chance terms, "Academico Viseu or draw" stands at 94%, "Estoril or draw" at 21% and "no draw" at 85%.
In short : Academico Viseu are favourites for this Academico Viseu v Estoril, with a 79% win probability from our model. In the table, Academico Viseu (8th, 11 pts) host Estoril (18th, 2 pts). Our model's most likely scoreline: 2-0.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Academico Viseu – Estoril. 2-0 is the single most likely scoreline (16.5%); the 5 scores below add up to 59% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Academico Viseu 2-0 Estoril | 16.5% |
| Academico Viseu 1-0 Estoril | 14.2% |
| Academico Viseu 3-0 Estoril | 12.8% |
| Academico Viseu 2-1 Estoril | 7.8% |
| Academico Viseu 4-0 Estoril | 7.4% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
The model expects 2.79 goals in total (2.32 for Academico Viseu, 0.47 for Estoril): over 2.5 goals has a 53% probability and both teams to score 34%. Academico Viseu keep a clean sheet in 63% of scenarios, Estoril in 10%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Academico Viseu expected goals | 2.32 |
| Estoril expected goals | 0.47 |
| Both teams to score | 34% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 77% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 53% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 31% |
| Academico Viseu clean sheet | 63% |
| Estoril clean sheet | 10% |
Recent form
Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.
Academico Viseu
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2026 | Estrela · Primeira Liga | 2-0 | W |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Vitória SC · Primeira Liga | 2-1 | W |
| Sep 6, 2026 | GIL Vicente · Primeira Liga | 1-0 | W |
| Aug 29, 2026 | FC Porto · Primeira Liga | 0-3 | L |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Maritimo · Primeira Liga | 2-2 | D |
Estoril
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2026 | Casa Pia · Primeira Liga | 1-2 | L |
| Sep 14, 2026 | SC Braga · Primeira Liga | 0-1 | L |
| Sep 7, 2026 | Arouca · Primeira Liga | 0-0 | D |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Benfica · Primeira Liga | 1-2 | L |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Rio Ave · Primeira Liga | 0-2 | L |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Academico Viseu | 8 | 11 | 7 |
| Estoril | 18 | 2 | 7 |
Head-to-head
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 1, 2022 | Academico Viseu 3-2 Estoril | Taça da Liga |
| Feb 16, 2021 | Estoril 3-0 Academico Viseu | Liga Portugal 2 |
| Sep 24, 2020 | Academico Viseu 0-2 Estoril | Liga Portugal 2 |
| Nov 3, 2019 | Estoril 3-1 Academico Viseu | Liga Portugal 2 |
| May 5, 2019 | Estoril 1-3 Academico Viseu | Liga Portugal 2 |
Out and doubtful
Academico Viseu
No absences reported.
Estoril
No absences reported.
Most regular starters
Academico Viseu
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- A. Correia5/5
- Andre Clovis5/5
- C. Kahraman5/5
- Ewerton5/5
- Joao Guilherme5/5
- N. Michelis5/5
- Robinho5/5
- S. Messeguem5/5
- Gu Costa4/5
- L. Gohi4/5
- L. Silva4/5
Estoril
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- I. Sierra5/5
- J. Carvalho5/5
- J. Robles5/5
- R. Sanchez5/5
- Y. Begraoui5/5
- Ferro4/5
- A. Lacximicant3/5
- A. Tsoungui3/5
- F. Medrano3/5
- J. Holsgrove3/5
- F. Garcia2/5
Other matches in this competition
- Moreirense 0-1 GIL VicenteOct 9, 2026
- SC Braga 1-3 Sporting CPOct 9, 2026
- Maritimo 1-2 FC PortoOct 10, 2026
- Casa Pia 0-1 Santa ClaraOct 10, 2026
- Rio Ave 3-2 NacionalOct 11, 2026
- Benfica 2-0 GuimaraesOct 11, 2026
- Arouca 1-0 EstrelaOct 11, 2026
- Famalicao 1-4 AlvercaOct 12, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the Academico Viseu vs Estoril prediction?
Before the match, our AI gave Academico Viseu a 79% chance of winning, the draw 15% and Estoril 6%. Academico Viseu are therefore favourites. Final score: 2-1.
What is the most likely correct score for Academico Viseu vs Estoril?
2-0 (16.5%), followed by 1-0 (14.2%), 3-0 (12.8%), 2-1 (7.8%) and 4-0 (7.4%).
Will both teams score in Academico Viseu vs Estoril?
The probability that both Academico Viseu and Estoril score is 34%. Academico Viseu have a 63% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Estoril 10%.
How many goals should we expect in Academico Viseu vs Estoril?
The model expects 2.79 goals (2.32 for Academico Viseu, 0.47 for Estoril). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 77%, over 2.5 goals 53%, over 3.5 goals 31%.
When and where is Academico Viseu vs Estoril played?
Saturday, October 10, 2026 at 20:30 (UK time), Primeira Liga, matchday 8. Venue: Estadio do Fontelo, Viseu.
What form are Academico Viseu and Estoril in?
Academico Viseu: 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (7 scored, 6 conceded). Estoril: 0 wins, 1 draw and 4 defeats in their last 5 matches (2 scored, 7 conceded).
What is the head-to-head record between Academico Viseu and Estoril?
In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 2 wins for Academico Viseu, 3 for Estoril and 0 draws. The most recent ended Academico Viseu 3-2 Estoril (Dec 1, 2022).
What was the Academico Viseu vs Estoril result, and was the prediction right?
Final score: Academico Viseu 2-1 Estoril. The 1X2 prediction came good: victory for Academico Viseu was the model's favourite outcome (79%). The final score ranked 4th among the most likely scorelines (7.8%), behind 2-0. On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (34%): missed; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (53%): correct.
How is the Academico Viseu vs Estoril prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (2.32 for Academico Viseu, 0.47 for Estoril) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All Academico Viseu predictions
- All Estoril predictions
- Primeira Liga predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology