Primeira Liga· Kick-off : Friday, October 9, 2026, 20:15 (UK time)
SC Braga vs Sporting CP prediction: correct score and AI tips
Match analysis
Primeira Liga, matchday 8: SC Braga vs Sporting CP kicks off on Friday, October 9, 2026 at 20:15 (UK time). Our model makes Sporting CP clear favourites: a 61% chance of winning, against 20% for the draw and 19% for SC Braga. On the correct score, 1-2 comes out on top (9.9%), followed by 1-1 (9.5%) and 0-2 (9.3%).
Over their last 5 matches, SC Braga have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat, scoring 5 and conceding 3. Sporting CP are unbeaten in their last 5 matches (3 wins, 2 draws), scoring 12 and conceding 4. Both sides come in with similar form. On average SC Braga score 1.00 and concede 0.60 goals per game; Sporting CP score 2.40 and concede 0.80. In the table, SC Braga sit 6th with 11 points from 6 games, Sporting CP 3rd with 15 points from 7. The two teams are close in the standings. Over their recent games, SC Braga have averaged 1.04 xG (expected goals) per match, against 2.14 for Sporting CP.
In the last 2 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for SC Braga, 0 for Sporting CP and 2 draws. The most recent ended SC Braga 2-2 Sporting CP (Mar 7, 2026). In double chance terms, "SC Braga or draw" stands at 39%, "Sporting CP or draw" at 81% and "no draw" at 80%.
In short : Sporting CP are favourites for this SC Braga v Sporting CP, with a 61% win probability from our model. On recent form, SC Braga have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss in 5 while Sporting CP have 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses in 5. Our model's most likely scoreline: 1-2.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as SC Braga – Sporting CP. 1-2 is the single most likely scoreline (9.9%); the 5 scores below add up to 45% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| SC Braga 1-2 Sporting CP | 9.9% |
| SC Braga 1-1 Sporting CP | 9.5% |
| SC Braga 0-2 Sporting CP | 9.3% |
| SC Braga 0-1 Sporting CP | 8.9% |
| SC Braga 1-3 Sporting CP | 6.9% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
With 1.07 expected goals for SC Braga and 2.09 for Sporting CP, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 61% and "both teams to score" at 58%. Goals look likely in this one. SC Braga keep a clean sheet in 12% of scenarios, Sporting CP in 34%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| SC Braga expected goals | 1.07 |
| Sporting CP expected goals | 2.09 |
| Both teams to score | 58% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 82% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 61% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 39% |
| SC Braga clean sheet | 12% |
| Sporting CP clean sheet | 34% |
Recent form
Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.
SC Braga
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2026 | Santa Clara · Primeira Liga | 0-0 | D |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Estoril · Primeira Liga | 1-0 | W |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Estrela · Primeira Liga | 1-2 | L |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Alverca · Primeira Liga | 2-1 | W |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Vitória SC · Primeira Liga | 1-0 | W |
Sporting CP
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 2026 | Arouca · Primeira Liga | 2-2 | D |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Famalicao · Primeira Liga | 1-1 | D |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Galatasaray · UEFA Champions League | 3-1 | W |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Nacional · Primeira Liga | 2-0 | W |
| Aug 28, 2026 | Rio Ave · Primeira Liga | 4-0 | W |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SC Braga | 6 | 11 | 6 |
| Sporting CP | 3 | 15 | 7 |
Head-to-head
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2026 | SC Braga 2-2 Sporting CP | Primeira Liga |
| Oct 5, 2025 | Sporting CP 1-1 SC Braga | Primeira Liga |
Out and doubtful
SC Braga
No absences reported.
Sporting CP
No absences reported.
Most regular starters
SC Braga
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- Bernardo5/5
- J. Moutinho5/5
- P. Victor5/5
- V. Gomez5/5
- D. E. Tiknaz4/5
- G. Lagerbielke4/5
- Vitor Carvalho4/5
- G. Martinez3/5
- M. Dorgeles3/5
- A. Bajrami2/5
- A. Barisic2/5
Sporting CP
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- I. Doumbia5/5
- G. Catamo4/5
- G. Inacio4/5
- L. Suarez4/5
- M. Araujo4/5
- R. Silva4/5
- R. Zalazar4/5
- S. Altimira4/5
- Z. Debast4/5
- F. Goncalves3/5
- I. Fresneda3/5
First detailed prediction free, no card required.
See the full prediction (scenario, scorers, half-time)Other matches in this competition
Frequently asked questions
What is the SC Braga vs Sporting CP prediction?
Our AI gives SC Braga a 19% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Sporting CP 61%. Sporting CP are therefore favourites.
What is the most likely correct score for SC Braga vs Sporting CP?
1-2 (9.9%), followed by 1-1 (9.5%), 0-2 (9.3%), 0-1 (8.9%) and 1-3 (6.9%).
Will both teams score in SC Braga vs Sporting CP?
The probability that both SC Braga and Sporting CP score is 58%. SC Braga have a 12% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Sporting CP 34%.
How many goals should we expect in SC Braga vs Sporting CP?
The model expects 3.16 goals (1.07 for SC Braga, 2.09 for Sporting CP). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 82%, over 2.5 goals 61%, over 3.5 goals 39%.
When and where is SC Braga vs Sporting CP played?
Friday, October 9, 2026 at 20:15 (UK time), Primeira Liga, matchday 8.
What form are SC Braga and Sporting CP in?
SC Braga: 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (5 scored, 3 conceded). Sporting CP: 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches (12 scored, 4 conceded).
What is the head-to-head record between SC Braga and Sporting CP?
In the last 2 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for SC Braga, 0 for Sporting CP and 2 draws. The most recent ended SC Braga 2-2 Sporting CP (Mar 7, 2026).
How is the SC Braga vs Sporting CP prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.07 for SC Braga, 2.09 for Sporting CP) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All SC Braga predictions
- All Sporting CP predictions
- Primeira Liga predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology