Serie A· Kick-off : Monday, August 24, 2026, 17:30 (UK time)
Bologna vs Lazio: 0-1 result and AI prediction review
Review: prediction vs result
Final score: Bologna 0-1 Lazio. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Bologna (44%), while victory for Lazio was rated at only 27%. The final score ranked 5th among the most likely scorelines (7.8%), behind 1-1. On goals, the model expected both teams to score (52%): missed; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (49%): correct.
Match analysis
Bologna vs Lazio was played on Monday, August 24, 2026 (Serie A, matchday 1). Venue: Renato Dall'Ara, Bologna. Before kick-off, our model gave Bologna a 44% chance of winning, the draw 30% and Lazio 27%. The most likely correct score is 1-1 (12.1%), ahead of 1-0 (11.2%) and 2-1 (9.4%).
Over their last 5 matches, Bologna have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats, scoring 7 and conceding 7. Over their last 5 matches, Lazio have 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat, scoring 14 and conceding 7. Recent momentum is clearly with Lazio. On average Bologna score 1.40 and concede 1.40 goals per game; Lazio score 2.80 and concede 1.40.
In the last 3 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Bologna, 1 for Lazio and 2 draws. The most recent ended Bologna 0-2 Lazio (Mar 22, 2026). Bologna out or doubtful: N. Casale and M. Vitik. Lazio: D. Cataldi, A. Furlanetto, S. Gigot and A. Romagnoli. In double chance terms, "Bologna or draw" stands at 73%, "Lazio or draw" at 56% and "no draw" at 70%.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Bologna – Lazio. 1-1 is the single most likely scoreline (12.1%); the 5 scores below add up to 49% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Bologna 1-1 Lazio | 12.1% |
| Bologna 1-0 Lazio | 11.2% |
| Bologna 2-1 Lazio | 9.4% |
| Bologna 2-0 Lazio | 8.7% |
| Bologna 0-1 Lazio | 7.8% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
The model expects 2.63 goals in total (1.55 for Bologna, 1.08 for Lazio): over 2.5 goals has a 49% probability and both teams to score 52%. Bologna keep a clean sheet in 34% of scenarios, Lazio in 21%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Bologna expected goals | 1.55 |
| Lazio expected goals | 1.08 |
| Both teams to score | 52% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 74% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 49% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 27% |
| Bologna clean sheet | 34% |
| Lazio clean sheet | 21% |
Recent form
Latest matches played before this game in the competitions Elofoot covers.
Bologna
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Brighton · Club Friendlies | 0-1 | L |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Pisa · Club Friendlies | 1-4 | L |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Cambuur · Club Friendlies | 3-1 | W |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Iraklis 1908 · Club Friendlies | 2-0 | W |
| Jul 22, 2026 | 1. FC Heidenheim · Club Friendlies | 1-1 | D |
Lazio
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Mantova · Coppa Italia | 0-2 | L |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Frosinone · Club Friendlies | 2-1 | W |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Ostia Mare · Club Friendlies | 4-0 | W |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Ascoli · Club Friendlies | 2-1 | W |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Avellino · Club Friendlies | 6-3 | W |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bologna | 11 | 0 | 0 |
| Lazio | 12 | 0 | 0 |
Head-to-head
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2026 | Bologna 0-2 Lazio | Serie A |
| Feb 11, 2026 | Bologna 1-1 Lazio | Coppa Italia |
| Dec 7, 2025 | Lazio 1-1 Bologna | Serie A |
Out and doubtful
Bologna
- N. Casale (out)
- M. Vitik (out)
Lazio
- D. Cataldi (out)
- A. Furlanetto (out)
- S. Gigot (out)
- A. Romagnoli (out)
Other matches in this competition
- Inter 4-1 MonzaAug 22, 2026
- Udinese 1-1 ComoAug 22, 2026
- Parma 0-1 CagliariAug 22, 2026
- Genoa 0-2 NapoliAug 22, 2026
- Frosinone 0-1 JuventusAug 23, 2026
- Venezia 0-2 LecceAug 23, 2026
- Atalanta 2-1 SassuoloAug 23, 2026
- Torino 1-2 AC MilanAug 23, 2026
- AS Roma 4-0 FiorentinaAug 24, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the Bologna vs Lazio prediction?
Before the match, our AI gave Bologna a 44% chance of winning, the draw 30% and Lazio 27%. Bologna are therefore slight favourites. Final score: 0-1.
What is the most likely correct score for Bologna vs Lazio?
1-1 (12.1%), followed by 1-0 (11.2%), 2-1 (9.4%), 2-0 (8.7%) and 0-1 (7.8%).
Will both teams score in Bologna vs Lazio?
The probability that both Bologna and Lazio score is 52%. Bologna have a 34% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Lazio 21%.
How many goals should we expect in Bologna vs Lazio?
The model expects 2.63 goals (1.55 for Bologna, 1.08 for Lazio). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 74%, over 2.5 goals 49%, over 3.5 goals 27%.
When and where is Bologna vs Lazio played?
Monday, August 24, 2026 at 17:30 (UK time), Serie A, matchday 1. Venue: Renato Dall'Ara, Bologna.
What form are Bologna and Lazio in?
Bologna: 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (7 scored, 7 conceded). Lazio: 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (14 scored, 7 conceded).
What is the head-to-head record between Bologna and Lazio?
In the last 3 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Bologna, 1 for Lazio and 2 draws. The most recent ended Bologna 0-2 Lazio (Mar 22, 2026).
What was the Bologna vs Lazio result, and was the prediction right?
Final score: Bologna 0-1 Lazio. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Bologna (44%), while victory for Lazio was rated at only 27%. The final score ranked 5th among the most likely scorelines (7.8%), behind 1-1. On goals, the model expected both teams to score (52%): missed; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (49%): correct.
How is the Bologna vs Lazio prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.55 for Bologna, 1.08 for Lazio) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.