Serie A· Kick-off : Saturday, August 22, 2026, 17:30 (UK time)
Inter vs Monza: 4-1 result and AI prediction review
Review: prediction vs result
Final score: Inter 4-1 Monza. The 1X2 prediction came good: victory for Inter was the model's favourite outcome (52%). The model considered this score unlikely (2.2%). On goals, the model expected both teams to score (52%): correct; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (50%): missed.
Match analysis
Inter vs Monza was played on Saturday, August 22, 2026 (Serie A, matchday 1). Venue: San Siro/Giuseppe Meazza, Milan. Before kick-off, our model gave Inter a 52% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Monza 23%. The most likely correct score is 1-1 (11.7%), ahead of 1-0 (11.5%) and 2-1 (9.6%).
Inter are unbeaten in their last 5 matches (3 wins, 2 draws), scoring 7 and conceding 4. Over their last 5 matches, Monza have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat, scoring 13 and conceding 9. On recent form, there is little to separate the two teams. On average Inter score 1.40 and concede 0.80 goals per game; Monza score 2.60 and concede 1.80.
In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 3 wins for Inter, 0 for Monza and 2 draws. Inter out or doubtful: H. Mkhitaryan. Monza: D. Mota and M. Pessina. In double chance terms, "Inter or draw" stands at 77%, "Monza or draw" at 48% and "no draw" at 75%.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Inter – Monza. 1-1 is the single most likely scoreline (11.7%); the 5 scores below add up to 49% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Inter 1-1 Monza | 11.7% |
| Inter 1-0 Monza | 11.5% |
| Inter 2-1 Monza | 9.6% |
| Inter 2-0 Monza | 9.4% |
| Inter 0-1 Monza | 7.1% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
The model expects 2.66 goals in total (1.64 for Inter, 1.02 for Monza): over 2.5 goals has a 50% probability and both teams to score 52%. Inter keep a clean sheet in 36% of scenarios, Monza in 19%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Inter expected goals | 1.64 |
| Monza expected goals | 1.02 |
| Both teams to score | 52% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 74% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 28% |
| Inter clean sheet | 36% |
| Monza clean sheet | 19% |
Recent form
Latest matches played before this game in the competitions Elofoot covers.
Inter
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Real Betis · Club Friendlies | 1-0 | W |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Juventus · Club Friendlies | 2-1 | W |
| Aug 5, 2026 | AC Milan · Club Friendlies | 1-1 | D |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Manchester City · Club Friendlies | 1-1 | D |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Karlsruher SC · Club Friendlies | 2-1 | W |
Monza
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2026 | Avellino · Coppa Italia | 3-0 | W |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Padova · Club Friendlies | 3-3 | D |
| Jul 30, 2026 | Aris Thessalonikis · Club Friendlies | 1-3 | L |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Galatasaray · Club Friendlies | 2-0 | W |
| Jul 18, 2026 | PRO Vercelli · Club Friendlies | 4-3 | W |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Inter | 8 | 0 | 0 |
| Monza | 13 | 0 | 0 |
Head-to-head
In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 3 wins for Inter, 0 for Monza and 2 draws.
Out and doubtful
Inter
- H. Mkhitaryan (out)
Monza
- D. Mota (out)
- M. Pessina (out)
Other matches in this competition
- Udinese 1-1 ComoAug 22, 2026
- Parma 0-1 CagliariAug 22, 2026
- Genoa 0-2 NapoliAug 22, 2026
- Frosinone 0-1 JuventusAug 23, 2026
- Venezia 0-2 LecceAug 23, 2026
- Atalanta 2-1 SassuoloAug 23, 2026
- Torino 1-2 AC MilanAug 23, 2026
- Bologna 0-1 LazioAug 24, 2026
- AS Roma 4-0 FiorentinaAug 24, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the Inter vs Monza prediction?
Before the match, our AI gave Inter a 52% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Monza 23%. Inter are therefore favourites. Final score: 4-1.
What is the most likely correct score for Inter vs Monza?
1-1 (11.7%), followed by 1-0 (11.5%), 2-1 (9.6%), 2-0 (9.4%) and 0-1 (7.1%).
Will both teams score in Inter vs Monza?
The probability that both Inter and Monza score is 52%. Inter have a 36% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Monza 19%.
How many goals should we expect in Inter vs Monza?
The model expects 2.66 goals (1.64 for Inter, 1.02 for Monza). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 74%, over 2.5 goals 50%, over 3.5 goals 28%.
When and where is Inter vs Monza played?
Saturday, August 22, 2026 at 17:30 (UK time), Serie A, matchday 1. Venue: San Siro/Giuseppe Meazza, Milan.
What form are Inter and Monza in?
Inter: 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches (7 scored, 4 conceded). Monza: 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (13 scored, 9 conceded).
What is the head-to-head record between Inter and Monza?
In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 3 wins for Inter, 0 for Monza and 2 draws.
What was the Inter vs Monza result, and was the prediction right?
Final score: Inter 4-1 Monza. The 1X2 prediction came good: victory for Inter was the model's favourite outcome (52%). The model considered this score unlikely (2.2%). On goals, the model expected both teams to score (52%): correct; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (50%): missed.
How is the Inter vs Monza prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.64 for Inter, 1.02 for Monza) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.