Serie A· Kick-off : Sunday, August 23, 2026, 19:45 (UK time)
Torino vs AC Milan: 1-2 result and AI prediction review
Review: prediction vs result
Final score: Torino 1-2 AC Milan. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Torino (43%), while victory for AC Milan was rated at only 34%. The final score ranked 3rd among the most likely scorelines (7.7%), behind 1-1. On goals, the model expected both teams to score (63%): correct; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (62%): correct.
Match analysis
Torino and AC Milan met on Sunday, August 23, 2026, a Serie A, matchday 1 fixture. Venue: Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino, Turin. Before kick-off, our model gave Torino a 43% chance of winning, the draw 23% and AC Milan 34%. On the correct score, 1-1 comes out on top (10.4%), followed by 2-1 (8.9%) and 1-2 (7.7%).
Over their last 5 matches, Torino have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat, scoring 4 and conceding 2. AC Milan have won just one of their last 5 matches (2 draws, 2 defeats), scoring 8 and conceding 10. Torino therefore arrive in far better shape than AC Milan. On average Torino score 0.80 and concede 0.40 goals per game; AC Milan score 1.60 and concede 2.00.
In the last 2 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Torino, 2 for AC Milan and 0 draws. The most recent ended AC Milan 3-2 Torino (Mar 21, 2026). Torino out or doubtful: F. Israel and E. Comert. AC Milan: Y. Fofana, C. Nkunku, F. Tomori, S. Gimenez and R. Leao. In double chance terms, "Torino or draw" stands at 66%, "AC Milan or draw" at 57% and "no draw" at 77%.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Torino – AC Milan. 1-1 is the single most likely scoreline (10.4%); the 5 scores below add up to 41% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Torino 1-1 AC Milan | 10.4% |
| Torino 2-1 AC Milan | 8.9% |
| Torino 1-2 AC Milan | 7.7% |
| Torino 1-0 AC Milan | 7.0% |
| Torino 2-2 AC Milan | 6.6% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
With 1.71 expected goals for Torino and 1.48 for AC Milan, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 62% and "both teams to score" at 63%. Goals look likely in this one. Torino keep a clean sheet in 23% of scenarios, AC Milan in 18%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Torino expected goals | 1.71 |
| AC Milan expected goals | 1.48 |
| Both teams to score | 63% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 83% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 62% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 40% |
| Torino clean sheet | 23% |
| AC Milan clean sheet | 18% |
Recent form
Latest matches played before this game in the competitions Elofoot covers.
Torino
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Carrarese · Coppa Italia | 1-0 | W |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Avellino · Club Friendlies | 1-1 | D |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Burnley · Club Friendlies | 1-0 | W |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Cittadella · Club Friendlies | 0-1 | L |
| Jul 22, 2026 | Alcione · Club Friendlies | 1-0 | W |
AC Milan
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Manchester United · Club Friendlies | 4-2 | W |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Chelsea · Club Friendlies | 0-3 | L |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Inter · Club Friendlies | 1-1 | D |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Celtic · Club Friendlies | 2-2 | D |
| May 24, 2026 | Cagliari · Serie A | 1-2 | L |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Torino | 13 | 0 | 0 |
| AC Milan | 7 | 0 | 0 |
Head-to-head
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2026 | AC Milan 3-2 Torino | Serie A |
| Dec 8, 2025 | Torino 2-3 AC Milan | Serie A |
Out and doubtful
Torino
- F. Israel (out)
- E. Comert (out)
AC Milan
- Y. Fofana (out)
- C. Nkunku (out)
- F. Tomori (out)
- S. Gimenez (out)
- R. Leao (out)
Other matches in this competition
- Inter 4-1 MonzaAug 22, 2026
- Udinese 1-1 ComoAug 22, 2026
- Parma 0-1 CagliariAug 22, 2026
- Genoa 0-2 NapoliAug 22, 2026
- Frosinone 0-1 JuventusAug 23, 2026
- Venezia 0-2 LecceAug 23, 2026
- Atalanta 2-1 SassuoloAug 23, 2026
- Bologna 0-1 LazioAug 24, 2026
- AS Roma 4-0 FiorentinaAug 24, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the Torino vs AC Milan prediction?
Before the match, our AI gave Torino a 43% chance of winning, the draw 23% and AC Milan 34%. Torino are therefore slight favourites. Final score: 1-2.
What is the most likely correct score for Torino vs AC Milan?
1-1 (10.4%), followed by 2-1 (8.9%), 1-2 (7.7%), 1-0 (7.0%) and 2-2 (6.6%).
Will both teams score in Torino vs AC Milan?
The probability that both Torino and AC Milan score is 63%. Torino have a 23% chance of keeping a clean sheet, AC Milan 18%.
How many goals should we expect in Torino vs AC Milan?
The model expects 3.19 goals (1.71 for Torino, 1.48 for AC Milan). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 83%, over 2.5 goals 62%, over 3.5 goals 40%.
When and where is Torino vs AC Milan played?
Sunday, August 23, 2026 at 19:45 (UK time), Serie A, matchday 1. Venue: Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino, Turin.
What form are Torino and AC Milan in?
Torino: 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (4 scored, 2 conceded). AC Milan: 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (8 scored, 10 conceded).
What is the head-to-head record between Torino and AC Milan?
In the last 2 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Torino, 2 for AC Milan and 0 draws. The most recent ended AC Milan 3-2 Torino (Mar 21, 2026).
What was the Torino vs AC Milan result, and was the prediction right?
Final score: Torino 1-2 AC Milan. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Torino (43%), while victory for AC Milan was rated at only 34%. The final score ranked 3rd among the most likely scorelines (7.7%), behind 1-1. On goals, the model expected both teams to score (63%): correct; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (62%): correct.
How is the Torino vs AC Milan prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.71 for Torino, 1.48 for AC Milan) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.