Serie A· Kick-off : Sunday, August 23, 2026, 17:30 (UK time)
Venezia vs Lecce: 0-2 result and AI prediction review
Review: prediction vs result
Final score: Venezia 0-2 Lecce. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Venezia (48%), while victory for Lecce was rated at only 22%. The model considered this score unlikely (3.5%). On goals, the model expected both teams to score (51%): missed; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (50%): correct.
Match analysis
Venezia vs Lecce was played on Sunday, August 23, 2026 (Serie A, matchday 1). Venue: Stadio Pierluigi Penzo, Venice. Before kick-off, our model gave Venezia a 48% chance of winning, the draw 30% and Lecce 22%. The most likely correct score is 1-0 (11.6%), ahead of 1-1 (11.6%) and 2-0 (9.7%).
Over their last 5 matches, Venezia have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat, scoring 19 and conceding 8. Over their last 5 matches, Lecce have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats, scoring 8 and conceding 7. Recent momentum is clearly with Venezia. On average Venezia score 3.80 and concede 1.60 goals per game; Lecce score 1.60 and concede 1.40.
In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Venezia, 2 for Lecce and 2 draws. Venezia out or doubtful: A. Adorante and M. Sverko. Lecce: L. Banda and M. Berisha. In double chance terms, "Venezia or draw" stands at 78%, "Lecce or draw" at 53% and "no draw" at 70%.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Venezia – Lecce. 1-0 is the single most likely scoreline (11.6%); the 5 scores below add up to 50% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Venezia 1-0 Lecce | 11.6% |
| Venezia 1-1 Lecce | 11.6% |
| Venezia 2-0 Lecce | 9.7% |
| Venezia 2-1 Lecce | 9.7% |
| Venezia 0-0 Lecce | 6.9% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
The model expects 2.67 goals in total (1.67 for Venezia, 1.00 for Lecce): over 2.5 goals has a 50% probability and both teams to score 51%. Venezia keep a clean sheet in 37% of scenarios, Lecce in 19%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Venezia expected goals | 1.67 |
| Lecce expected goals | 1.00 |
| Both teams to score | 51% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 75% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 28% |
| Venezia clean sheet | 37% |
| Lecce clean sheet | 19% |
Recent form
Latest matches played before this game in the competitions Elofoot covers.
Venezia
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Modena · Coppa Italia | 3-2 | W |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Stade Brestois 29 · Club Friendlies | 2-2 | D |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Saint Etienne · Club Friendlies | 3-4 | L |
| Jul 27, 2026 | Galatasaray · Club Friendlies | 3-0 | W |
| Jul 23, 2026 | Vis Pesaro · Club Friendlies | 8-0 | W |
Lecce
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 17, 2026 | Palermo · Coppa Italia | 0-2 | L |
| Aug 9, 2026 | SS Monopoli · Club Friendlies | 1-0 | W |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Bistrica · Club Friendlies | 5-2 | W |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Istra 1961 · Club Friendlies | 2-2 | D |
| Jul 22, 2026 | FC Politehnica Timisoara · Club Friendlies | 0-1 | L |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Venezia | 16 | 0 | 0 |
| Lecce | 15 | 0 | 0 |
Head-to-head
In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Venezia, 2 for Lecce and 2 draws.
Out and doubtful
Venezia
- A. Adorante (out)
- M. Sverko (out)
Lecce
- L. Banda (out)
- M. Berisha (out)
Other matches in this competition
- Inter 4-1 MonzaAug 22, 2026
- Udinese 1-1 ComoAug 22, 2026
- Parma 0-1 CagliariAug 22, 2026
- Genoa 0-2 NapoliAug 22, 2026
- Frosinone 0-1 JuventusAug 23, 2026
- Atalanta 2-1 SassuoloAug 23, 2026
- Torino 1-2 AC MilanAug 23, 2026
- Bologna 0-1 LazioAug 24, 2026
- AS Roma 4-0 FiorentinaAug 24, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the Venezia vs Lecce prediction?
Before the match, our AI gave Venezia a 48% chance of winning, the draw 30% and Lecce 22%. Venezia are therefore favourites. Final score: 0-2.
What is the most likely correct score for Venezia vs Lecce?
1-0 (11.6%), followed by 1-1 (11.6%), 2-0 (9.7%), 2-1 (9.7%) and 0-0 (6.9%).
Will both teams score in Venezia vs Lecce?
The probability that both Venezia and Lecce score is 51%. Venezia have a 37% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Lecce 19%.
How many goals should we expect in Venezia vs Lecce?
The model expects 2.67 goals (1.67 for Venezia, 1.00 for Lecce). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 75%, over 2.5 goals 50%, over 3.5 goals 28%.
When and where is Venezia vs Lecce played?
Sunday, August 23, 2026 at 17:30 (UK time), Serie A, matchday 1. Venue: Stadio Pierluigi Penzo, Venice.
What form are Venezia and Lecce in?
Venezia: 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (19 scored, 8 conceded). Lecce: 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (8 scored, 7 conceded).
What is the head-to-head record between Venezia and Lecce?
In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Venezia, 2 for Lecce and 2 draws.
What was the Venezia vs Lecce result, and was the prediction right?
Final score: Venezia 0-2 Lecce. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Venezia (48%), while victory for Lecce was rated at only 22%. The model considered this score unlikely (3.5%). On goals, the model expected both teams to score (51%): missed; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (50%): correct.
How is the Venezia vs Lecce prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.67 for Venezia, 1.00 for Lecce) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.