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Serie ASerie A· Kick-off : Saturday, August 22, 2026, 17:30 (UK time)

Udinese vs Como: 1-1 result and AI prediction review

Review: prediction vs result

1X2 outcome missedExact score foundMost likely score before kick-off : 1-1

Final score: Udinese 1-1 Como. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Udinese (52%), while a draw was rated at only 25%. The exact score 1-1 was the most likely scoreline in our grid (11.7%). On goals, the model expected both teams to score (52%): correct; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (50%): correct.

Match analysis

Udinese vs Como was played on Saturday, August 22, 2026 (Serie A, matchday 1). Venue: Bluenergy Stadium - Stadio Friuli, Udine. Before kick-off, our model gave Udinese a 52% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Como 23%. The most likely correct score is 1-1 (11.7%), ahead of 1-0 (11.5%) and 2-1 (9.6%).

Over their last 5 matches, Udinese have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat, scoring 6 and conceding 4. Como are unbeaten in their last 5 matches (2 wins, 3 draws), scoring 8 and conceding 4. On recent form, there is little to separate the two teams. On average Udinese score 1.20 and concede 0.80 goals per game; Como score 1.60 and concede 0.80.

In the last 2 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Udinese, 1 for Como and 1 draw. The most recent ended Udinese 0-0 Como (Apr 6, 2026). Udinese out or doubtful: C. Kabasele, A. Zanoli and G. Chakvetadze. Como: J. Addai. In double chance terms, "Udinese or draw" stands at 77%, "Como or draw" at 48% and "no draw" at 75%.

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

52%
Udinese (Win)
25%
Draw
23%
Como (Win)

Double chance

77%
Udinese or draw
48%
Como or draw
75%
No draw

Most likely correct scores

Scores shown as Udinese – Como. 1-1 is the single most likely scoreline (11.7%); the 5 scores below add up to 49% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.

ScoreProbability
Udinese 1-1 Como11.7%
Udinese 1-0 Como11.5%
Udinese 2-1 Como9.6%
Udinese 2-0 Como9.4%
Udinese 0-1 Como7.1%

Goals: both teams to score, over/under

The model expects 2.66 goals in total (1.64 for Udinese, 1.02 for Como): over 2.5 goals has a 50% probability and both teams to score 52%. Udinese keep a clean sheet in 36% of scenarios, Como in 19%.

Probability
Udinese expected goals1.64
Como expected goals1.02
Both teams to score52%
Over 1.5 goals74%
Over 2.5 goals50%
Over 3.5 goals28%
Udinese clean sheet36%
Como clean sheet19%

Recent form

Latest matches played before this game in the competitions Elofoot covers.

Udinese

DateOpponentScore
Aug 15, 2026Padova · Coppa Italia1-0W
Aug 8, 2026Barcelona · Club Friendlies1-0W
Aug 8, 2026Nottingham Forest · Club Friendlies1-0W
Aug 2, 2026Trabzonspor · Club Friendlies0-1L
Aug 1, 2026FSV Mainz 05 · Club Friendlies3-3D

Como

DateOpponentScore
Aug 16, 2026Liverpool · Club Friendlies0-0D
Aug 12, 2026Arsenal · Club Friendlies1-1D
Jul 24, 2026Paris FC · Club Friendlies2-2D
May 24, 2026Cremonese · Serie A4-1W
May 17, 2026Parma · Serie A1-0W

Standings before the match

Pos.PointsPlayed
Udinese1900
Como400

Head-to-head

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 6, 2026Udinese 0-0 ComoSerie A
Jan 3, 2026Como 1-0 UdineseSerie A

Out and doubtful

Udinese

  • C. Kabasele (out)
  • A. Zanoli (out)
  • G. Chakvetadze (out)

Como

  • J. Addai (out)

Other matches in this competition

Frequently asked questions

What is the Udinese vs Como prediction?

Before the match, our AI gave Udinese a 52% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Como 23%. Udinese are therefore favourites. Final score: 1-1.

What is the most likely correct score for Udinese vs Como?

1-1 (11.7%), followed by 1-0 (11.5%), 2-1 (9.6%), 2-0 (9.4%) and 0-1 (7.1%).

Will both teams score in Udinese vs Como?

The probability that both Udinese and Como score is 52%. Udinese have a 36% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Como 19%.

How many goals should we expect in Udinese vs Como?

The model expects 2.66 goals (1.64 for Udinese, 1.02 for Como). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 74%, over 2.5 goals 50%, over 3.5 goals 28%.

When and where is Udinese vs Como played?

Saturday, August 22, 2026 at 17:30 (UK time), Serie A, matchday 1. Venue: Bluenergy Stadium - Stadio Friuli, Udine.

What form are Udinese and Como in?

Udinese: 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (6 scored, 4 conceded). Como: 2 wins, 3 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches (8 scored, 4 conceded).

What is the head-to-head record between Udinese and Como?

In the last 2 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Udinese, 1 for Como and 1 draw. The most recent ended Udinese 0-0 Como (Apr 6, 2026).

What was the Udinese vs Como result, and was the prediction right?

Final score: Udinese 1-1 Como. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Udinese (52%), while a draw was rated at only 25%. The exact score 1-1 was the most likely scoreline in our grid (11.7%). On goals, the model expected both teams to score (52%): correct; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (50%): correct.

How is the Udinese vs Como prediction calculated?

The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.64 for Udinese, 1.02 for Como) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.

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Key terms explained