Serie A· Kick-off : Saturday, August 22, 2026, 19:45 (UK time)
Genoa vs Napoli: 0-2 result and AI prediction review
Review: prediction vs result
Final score: Genoa 0-2 Napoli. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Genoa (49%), while victory for Napoli was rated at only 26%. The model considered this score unlikely (4.0%). On goals, the model expected both teams to score (52%): missed; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (49%): correct.
Match analysis
Genoa vs Napoli was played on Saturday, August 22, 2026 (Serie A, matchday 1). Venue: Luigi Ferraris, Genova. Before kick-off, our model gave Genoa a 49% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Napoli 26%. The most likely correct score is 1-1 (12.0%), ahead of 1-0 (11.3%) and 2-1 (9.4%).
Over their last 5 matches, Genoa have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats, scoring 8 and conceding 14. Over their last 5 matches, Napoli have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat, scoring 12 and conceding 7. Recent momentum is clearly with Napoli. On average Genoa score 1.60 and concede 2.80 goals per game; Napoli score 2.40 and concede 1.40.
In the last 2 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Genoa, 2 for Napoli and 0 draws. The most recent ended Genoa 2-3 Napoli (Feb 7, 2026). Genoa out or doubtful: E. Havel, L. Venturino and H. J. Traore. Napoli: S. Beukema, A. Buongiorno, David Neres and L. Marianucci. In double chance terms, "Genoa or draw" stands at 74%, "Napoli or draw" at 51% and "no draw" at 75%.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Genoa – Napoli. 1-1 is the single most likely scoreline (12.0%); the 5 scores below add up to 49% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Genoa 1-1 Napoli | 12.0% |
| Genoa 1-0 Napoli | 11.3% |
| Genoa 2-1 Napoli | 9.4% |
| Genoa 2-0 Napoli | 8.9% |
| Genoa 0-1 Napoli | 7.6% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
The model expects 2.64 goals in total (1.58 for Genoa, 1.06 for Napoli): over 2.5 goals has a 49% probability and both teams to score 52%. Genoa keep a clean sheet in 35% of scenarios, Napoli in 21%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Genoa expected goals | 1.58 |
| Napoli expected goals | 1.06 |
| Both teams to score | 52% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 74% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 49% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 27% |
| Genoa clean sheet | 35% |
| Napoli clean sheet | 21% |
Recent form
Latest matches played before this game in the competitions Elofoot covers.
Genoa
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Ascoli · Coppa Italia | 4-1 | W |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Deportivo La Coruna · Club Friendlies | 0-1 | L |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Bournemouth · Club Friendlies | 1-10 | L |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Leicester · Club Friendlies | 1-0 | W |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Vicenza Virtus · Club Friendlies | 2-2 | D |
Napoli
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 12, 2026 | Aris Thessalonikis · Club Friendlies | 6-2 | W |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Celta Vigo · Club Friendlies | 1-1 | D |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Osasuna · Club Friendlies | 2-1 | W |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Carrarese · Club Friendlies | 2-0 | W |
| Jul 22, 2026 | Arezzo · Club Friendlies | 1-3 | L |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Genoa | 7 | 0 | 0 |
| Napoli | 14 | 0 | 0 |
Head-to-head
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 7, 2026 | Genoa 2-3 Napoli | Serie A |
| Oct 5, 2025 | Napoli 2-1 Genoa | Serie A |
Out and doubtful
Genoa
- E. Havel (out)
- L. Venturino (out)
- H. J. Traore (out)
Napoli
- S. Beukema (out)
- A. Buongiorno (out)
- David Neres (out)
- L. Marianucci (out)
Other matches in this competition
- Inter 4-1 MonzaAug 22, 2026
- Udinese 1-1 ComoAug 22, 2026
- Parma 0-1 CagliariAug 22, 2026
- Frosinone 0-1 JuventusAug 23, 2026
- Venezia 0-2 LecceAug 23, 2026
- Atalanta 2-1 SassuoloAug 23, 2026
- Torino 1-2 AC MilanAug 23, 2026
- Bologna 0-1 LazioAug 24, 2026
- AS Roma 4-0 FiorentinaAug 24, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the Genoa vs Napoli prediction?
Before the match, our AI gave Genoa a 49% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Napoli 26%. Genoa are therefore favourites. Final score: 0-2.
What is the most likely correct score for Genoa vs Napoli?
1-1 (12.0%), followed by 1-0 (11.3%), 2-1 (9.4%), 2-0 (8.9%) and 0-1 (7.6%).
Will both teams score in Genoa vs Napoli?
The probability that both Genoa and Napoli score is 52%. Genoa have a 35% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Napoli 21%.
How many goals should we expect in Genoa vs Napoli?
The model expects 2.64 goals (1.58 for Genoa, 1.06 for Napoli). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 74%, over 2.5 goals 49%, over 3.5 goals 27%.
When and where is Genoa vs Napoli played?
Saturday, August 22, 2026 at 19:45 (UK time), Serie A, matchday 1. Venue: Luigi Ferraris, Genova.
What form are Genoa and Napoli in?
Genoa: 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (8 scored, 14 conceded). Napoli: 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (12 scored, 7 conceded).
What is the head-to-head record between Genoa and Napoli?
In the last 2 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Genoa, 2 for Napoli and 0 draws. The most recent ended Genoa 2-3 Napoli (Feb 7, 2026).
What was the Genoa vs Napoli result, and was the prediction right?
Final score: Genoa 0-2 Napoli. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Genoa (49%), while victory for Napoli was rated at only 26%. The model considered this score unlikely (4.0%). On goals, the model expected both teams to score (52%): missed; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (49%): correct.
How is the Genoa vs Napoli prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.58 for Genoa, 1.06 for Napoli) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.