Serie A· Kick-off : Sunday, August 30, 2026, 19:45 (UK time)
Cagliari vs Inter: 0-1 result and AI prediction review
Review: prediction vs result
Final score: Cagliari 0-1 Inter. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Cagliari (38%), while victory for Inter was rated at only 31%. The final score ranked 4th among the most likely scorelines (12.8%), behind 1-0. On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (40%): correct; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (32%): correct.
Match analysis
Cagliari vs Inter was played on Sunday, August 30, 2026 (Serie A, matchday 2). Venue: Unipol Domus, Cagliari. Before kick-off, our model gave Cagliari a 38% chance of winning, the draw 31% and Inter 31%. The most likely correct score is 1-0 (14.4%), ahead of 0-0 (13.7%) and 1-1 (13.5%).
Cagliari are unbeaten in their last 5 matches (3 wins, 2 draws), scoring 5 and conceding 2. Inter are unbeaten in their last 5 matches (3 wins, 2 draws), scoring 9 and conceding 4. On recent form, there is little to separate the two teams. On average Cagliari score 1.00 and concede 0.40 goals per game; Inter score 1.80 and concede 0.80. In the table, Cagliari sit 9th with 3 points from 1 games, Inter 5th with 3 points from 1. The two teams are close in the standings. Over their recent games, Cagliari have averaged 0.94 xG (expected goals) per match, against 1.05 for Inter.
In the last 2 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Cagliari, 2 for Inter and 0 draws. The most recent ended Inter 3-0 Cagliari (Apr 17, 2026). Cagliari out or doubtful: S. Esposito, R. Idrissi and Y. Trepy. Inter: D. Spence. In double chance terms, "Cagliari or draw" stands at 69%, "Inter or draw" at 62% and "no draw" at 69%.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Cagliari – Inter. 1-0 is the single most likely scoreline (14.4%); the 5 scores below add up to 62% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Cagliari 1-0 Inter | 14.4% |
| Cagliari 0-0 Inter | 13.7% |
| Cagliari 1-1 Inter | 13.5% |
| Cagliari 0-1 Inter | 12.8% |
| Cagliari 2-0 Inter | 7.5% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
The model expects 1.99 goals in total (1.05 for Cagliari, 0.94 for Inter): over 2.5 goals has a 32% probability and both teams to score 40%. A tight, low-scoring game is on the cards. Cagliari keep a clean sheet in 39% of scenarios, Inter in 35%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Cagliari expected goals | 1.05 |
| Inter expected goals | 0.94 |
| Both teams to score | 40% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 59% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 32% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 14% |
| Cagliari clean sheet | 39% |
| Inter clean sheet | 35% |
Recent form
Latest matches played before this game in the competitions Elofoot covers.
Cagliari
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Parma · Serie A | 1-0 | W |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Arezzo · Coppa Italia | 1-0 | W |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Nice · Club Friendlies | 0-0 | D |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Union Berlin · Club Friendlies | 2-2 | D |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Modena · Club Friendlies | 1-0 | W |
Inter
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Monza · Serie A | 4-1 | W |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Real Betis · Club Friendlies | 1-0 | W |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Juventus · Club Friendlies | 2-1 | W |
| Aug 5, 2026 | AC Milan · Club Friendlies | 1-1 | D |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Manchester City · Club Friendlies | 1-1 | D |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cagliari | 9 | 3 | 1 |
| Inter | 5 | 3 | 1 |
Head-to-head
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 17, 2026 | Inter 3-0 Cagliari | Serie A |
| Sep 27, 2025 | Cagliari 0-2 Inter | Serie A |
Out and doubtful
Cagliari
- S. Esposito (out)
- R. Idrissi (out)
- Y. Trepy (out)
Inter
- D. Spence (out)
Other matches in this competition
- AC Milan 2-0 VeneziaAug 28, 2026
- Monza 2-3 UdineseAug 29, 2026
- Fiorentina 0-3 FrosinoneAug 29, 2026
- Sassuolo 2-1 TorinoAug 29, 2026
- Juventus 2-0 ParmaAug 29, 2026
- Napoli 1-2 ComoAug 30, 2026
- Lazio 1-0 GenoaAug 30, 2026
- Lecce 0-4 AS RomaAug 31, 2026
- Atalanta 1-0 BolognaAug 31, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the Cagliari vs Inter prediction?
Before the match, our AI gave Cagliari a 38% chance of winning, the draw 31% and Inter 31%. Cagliari are therefore slight favourites. Final score: 0-1.
What is the most likely correct score for Cagliari vs Inter?
1-0 (14.4%), followed by 0-0 (13.7%), 1-1 (13.5%), 0-1 (12.8%) and 2-0 (7.5%).
Will both teams score in Cagliari vs Inter?
The probability that both Cagliari and Inter score is 40%. Cagliari have a 39% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Inter 35%.
How many goals should we expect in Cagliari vs Inter?
The model expects 1.99 goals (1.05 for Cagliari, 0.94 for Inter). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 59%, over 2.5 goals 32%, over 3.5 goals 14%.
When and where is Cagliari vs Inter played?
Sunday, August 30, 2026 at 19:45 (UK time), Serie A, matchday 2. Venue: Unipol Domus, Cagliari.
What form are Cagliari and Inter in?
Cagliari: 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches (5 scored, 2 conceded). Inter: 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches (9 scored, 4 conceded).
What is the head-to-head record between Cagliari and Inter?
In the last 2 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Cagliari, 2 for Inter and 0 draws. The most recent ended Inter 3-0 Cagliari (Apr 17, 2026).
What was the Cagliari vs Inter result, and was the prediction right?
Final score: Cagliari 0-1 Inter. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Cagliari (38%), while victory for Inter was rated at only 31%. The final score ranked 4th among the most likely scorelines (12.8%), behind 1-0. On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (40%): correct; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (32%): correct.
How is the Cagliari vs Inter prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.05 for Cagliari, 0.94 for Inter) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.