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Serie ASerie A· Kick-off : Friday, August 28, 2026, 19:45 (UK time)

AC Milan vs Venezia: 2-0 result and AI prediction review

AC MilanAC Milan2 – 0VeneziaVenezia

Review: prediction vs result

1X2 outcome correctExact score missedMost likely score before kick-off : 3-1

Final score: AC Milan 2-0 Venezia. The AI called the outcome correctly: it rated victory for AC Milan at 87%. The final score ranked 8th among the most likely scorelines (5.2%), behind 3-1. On goals, the model expected both teams to score (63%): missed; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (88%): missed.

Match analysis

AC Milan and Venezia met on Friday, August 28, 2026, a Serie A, matchday 2 fixture. Venue: San Siro/Giuseppe Meazza, Milano. Before kick-off, our model gave AC Milan a 87% chance of winning, the draw 8% and Venezia 5%. On the correct score, 3-1 comes out on top (7.2%), followed by 4-1 (7.2%) and 3-0 (7.0%).

Over their last 5 matches, AC Milan have 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat, scoring 9 and conceding 9. Over their last 5 matches, Venezia have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats, scoring 11 and conceding 10. Both sides come in with similar form. On average AC Milan score 1.80 and concede 1.80 goals per game; Venezia score 2.20 and concede 2.00. In the table, AC Milan sit 5th with 3 points from 1 games, Venezia 18th with 0 points from 1. 13 places separate the two sides. Over their recent games, AC Milan have averaged 2.15 xG (expected goals) per match, against 2.05 for Venezia.

In the last 4 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 4 wins for AC Milan, 0 for Venezia and 0 draws. AC Milan out or doubtful: Y. Fofana, S. Gimenez, R. Leao, C. Nkunku and F. Tomori. Venezia: A. Adorante, A. Duncan, M. Moreno and M. Sverko. In double chance terms, "AC Milan or draw" stands at 95%, "Venezia or draw" at 13% and "no draw" at 92%.

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

87%
AC Milan (Win)
8%
Draw
5%
Venezia (Win)

Double chance

95%
AC Milan or draw
13%
Venezia or draw
92%
No draw

Most likely correct scores

Scores shown as AC Milan – Venezia. 3-1 is the single most likely scoreline (7.2%); the 5 scores below add up to 34% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.

ScoreProbability
AC Milan 3-1 Venezia7.2%
AC Milan 4-1 Venezia7.2%
AC Milan 3-0 Venezia7.0%
AC Milan 4-0 Venezia7.0%
AC Milan 5-1 Venezia5.7%

Goals: both teams to score, over/under

With 4.00 expected goals for AC Milan and 1.03 for Venezia, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 88% and "both teams to score" at 63%. Goals look likely in this one. AC Milan keep a clean sheet in 36% of scenarios, Venezia in 2%.

Probability
AC Milan expected goals4.00
Venezia expected goals1.03
Both teams to score63%
Over 1.5 goals96%
Over 2.5 goals88%
Over 3.5 goals74%
AC Milan clean sheet36%
Venezia clean sheet2%

Recent form

Latest matches played before this game in the competitions Elofoot covers.

AC Milan

DateOpponentScore
Aug 23, 2026Torino · Serie A2-1W
Aug 15, 2026Manchester United · Club Friendlies4-2W
Aug 8, 2026Chelsea · Club Friendlies0-3L
Aug 5, 2026Inter · Club Friendlies1-1D
Jul 25, 2026Celtic · Club Friendlies2-2D

Venezia

DateOpponentScore
Aug 23, 2026Lecce · Serie A0-2L
Aug 15, 2026Modena · Coppa Italia3-2W
Aug 8, 2026Stade Brestois 29 · Club Friendlies2-2D
Aug 1, 2026Saint Etienne · Club Friendlies3-4L
Jul 27, 2026Galatasaray · Club Friendlies3-0W

Standings before the match

Pos.PointsPlayed
AC Milan531
Venezia1801

Head-to-head

In the last 4 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 4 wins for AC Milan, 0 for Venezia and 0 draws.

Out and doubtful

AC Milan

  • Y. Fofana (out)
  • S. Gimenez (out)
  • R. Leao (out)
  • C. Nkunku (out)
  • F. Tomori (out)

Venezia

  • A. Adorante (out)
  • A. Duncan (out)
  • M. Moreno (out)
  • M. Sverko (out)

Other matches in this competition

Frequently asked questions

What is the AC Milan vs Venezia prediction?

Before the match, our AI gave AC Milan a 87% chance of winning, the draw 8% and Venezia 5%. AC Milan are therefore favourites. Final score: 2-0.

What is the most likely correct score for AC Milan vs Venezia?

3-1 (7.2%), followed by 4-1 (7.2%), 3-0 (7.0%), 4-0 (7.0%) and 5-1 (5.7%).

Will both teams score in AC Milan vs Venezia?

The probability that both AC Milan and Venezia score is 63%. AC Milan have a 36% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Venezia 2%.

How many goals should we expect in AC Milan vs Venezia?

The model expects 5.03 goals (4.00 for AC Milan, 1.03 for Venezia). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 96%, over 2.5 goals 88%, over 3.5 goals 74%.

When and where is AC Milan vs Venezia played?

Friday, August 28, 2026 at 19:45 (UK time), Serie A, matchday 2. Venue: San Siro/Giuseppe Meazza, Milano.

What form are AC Milan and Venezia in?

AC Milan: 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (9 scored, 9 conceded). Venezia: 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (11 scored, 10 conceded).

What is the head-to-head record between AC Milan and Venezia?

In the last 4 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 4 wins for AC Milan, 0 for Venezia and 0 draws.

What was the AC Milan vs Venezia result, and was the prediction right?

Final score: AC Milan 2-0 Venezia. The AI called the outcome correctly: it rated victory for AC Milan at 87%. The final score ranked 8th among the most likely scorelines (5.2%), behind 3-1. On goals, the model expected both teams to score (63%): missed; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (88%): missed.

How is the AC Milan vs Venezia prediction calculated?

The model estimates each team's expected goals (4.00 for AC Milan, 1.03 for Venezia) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.

Go further

Key terms explained