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Serie ASerie A· Kick-off : Saturday, August 29, 2026, 17:30 (UK time)

Sassuolo vs Torino: 2-1 result and AI prediction review

Review: prediction vs result

1X2 outcome correctExact score foundMost likely score before kick-off : 2-1

Final score: Sassuolo 2-1 Torino. The 1X2 prediction came good: victory for Sassuolo was the model's favourite outcome (73%). The exact score 2-1 was the most likely scoreline in our grid (8.3%). On goals, the model expected both teams to score (66%): correct; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (78%): correct.

Match analysis

Sassuolo vs Torino was played on Saturday, August 29, 2026 (Serie A, matchday 2). Venue: Mapei Stadium, Reggio Emilia. Before kick-off, our model gave Sassuolo a 73% chance of winning, the draw 15% and Torino 12%. The most likely correct score is 2-1 (8.3%), ahead of 3-1 (8.1%) and 2-0 (7.0%).

Sassuolo have won just one of their last 5 matches (1 draw, 3 defeats), scoring 7 and conceding 9. Over their last 5 matches, Torino have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats, scoring 4 and conceding 4. On recent form, there is little to separate the two teams. On average Sassuolo score 1.40 and concede 1.80 goals per game; Torino score 0.80 and concede 0.80. In the table, Sassuolo sit 12th with 0 points from 1 games, Torino 13th with 0 points from 1. The two teams are close in the standings. Over their recent games, Sassuolo have averaged 2.70 xG (expected goals) per match, against 1.29 for Torino.

In the last 2 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Sassuolo, 2 for Torino and 0 draws. The most recent ended Torino 2-1 Sassuolo (May 8, 2026). Sassuolo out or doubtful: D. Berardi, D. Boloca, F. Cande, I. Kone and Y. Paz. Torino: F. Anjorin, E. Comert, F. Israel and P. Pellegri. In double chance terms, "Sassuolo or draw" stands at 88%, "Torino or draw" at 27% and "no draw" at 85%.

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

73%
Sassuolo (Win)
15%
Draw
12%
Torino (Win)

Double chance

88%
Sassuolo or draw
27%
Torino or draw
85%
No draw

Most likely correct scores

Scores shown as Sassuolo – Torino. 2-1 is the single most likely scoreline (8.3%); the 5 scores below add up to 36% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.

ScoreProbability
Sassuolo 2-1 Torino8.3%
Sassuolo 3-1 Torino8.1%
Sassuolo 2-0 Torino7.0%
Sassuolo 3-0 Torino6.8%
Sassuolo 4-1 Torino5.9%

Goals: both teams to score, over/under

The model expects 4.12 goals in total (2.93 for Sassuolo, 1.19 for Torino): over 2.5 goals has a 78% probability and both teams to score 66%. Everything points to an open game. Sassuolo keep a clean sheet in 30% of scenarios, Torino in 5%.

Probability
Sassuolo expected goals2.93
Torino expected goals1.19
Both teams to score66%
Over 1.5 goals92%
Over 2.5 goals78%
Over 3.5 goals59%
Sassuolo clean sheet30%
Torino clean sheet5%

Recent form

Latest matches played before this game in the competitions Elofoot covers.

Sassuolo

DateOpponentScore
Aug 23, 2026Atalanta · Serie A1-2L
Aug 17, 2026Cesena · Coppa Italia3-0W
Aug 8, 2026FC Augsburg · Club Friendlies2-3L
Aug 5, 2026Celta Vigo · Club Friendlies1-4L
Jul 31, 2026Folgore Caratese · Club Friendlies0-0D

Torino

DateOpponentScore
Aug 23, 2026AC Milan · Serie A1-2L
Aug 15, 2026Carrarese · Coppa Italia1-0W
Aug 8, 2026Avellino · Club Friendlies1-1D
Aug 2, 2026Burnley · Club Friendlies1-0W
Jul 25, 2026Cittadella · Club Friendlies0-1L

Standings before the match

Pos.PointsPlayed
Sassuolo1201
Torino1301

Head-to-head

DateScoreCompetition
May 8, 2026Torino 2-1 SassuoloSerie A
Dec 21, 2025Sassuolo 0-1 TorinoSerie A

Out and doubtful

Sassuolo

  • D. Berardi (out)
  • D. Boloca (out)
  • F. Cande (out)
  • I. Kone (out)
  • Y. Paz (out)

Torino

  • F. Anjorin (out)
  • E. Comert (out)
  • F. Israel (out)
  • P. Pellegri (out)

Other matches in this competition

Frequently asked questions

What is the Sassuolo vs Torino prediction?

Before the match, our AI gave Sassuolo a 73% chance of winning, the draw 15% and Torino 12%. Sassuolo are therefore favourites. Final score: 2-1.

What is the most likely correct score for Sassuolo vs Torino?

2-1 (8.3%), followed by 3-1 (8.1%), 2-0 (7.0%), 3-0 (6.8%) and 4-1 (5.9%).

Will both teams score in Sassuolo vs Torino?

The probability that both Sassuolo and Torino score is 66%. Sassuolo have a 30% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Torino 5%.

How many goals should we expect in Sassuolo vs Torino?

The model expects 4.12 goals (2.93 for Sassuolo, 1.19 for Torino). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 92%, over 2.5 goals 78%, over 3.5 goals 59%.

When and where is Sassuolo vs Torino played?

Saturday, August 29, 2026 at 17:30 (UK time), Serie A, matchday 2. Venue: Mapei Stadium, Reggio Emilia.

What form are Sassuolo and Torino in?

Sassuolo: 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches (7 scored, 9 conceded). Torino: 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (4 scored, 4 conceded).

What is the head-to-head record between Sassuolo and Torino?

In the last 2 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Sassuolo, 2 for Torino and 0 draws. The most recent ended Torino 2-1 Sassuolo (May 8, 2026).

What was the Sassuolo vs Torino result, and was the prediction right?

Final score: Sassuolo 2-1 Torino. The 1X2 prediction came good: victory for Sassuolo was the model's favourite outcome (73%). The exact score 2-1 was the most likely scoreline in our grid (8.3%). On goals, the model expected both teams to score (66%): correct; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (78%): correct.

How is the Sassuolo vs Torino prediction calculated?

The model estimates each team's expected goals (2.93 for Sassuolo, 1.19 for Torino) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.

Go further

Key terms explained