Serie A· Kick-off : Saturday, August 29, 2026, 17:30 (UK time)
Monza vs Udinese: 2-3 result and AI prediction review
Review: prediction vs result
Final score: Monza 2-3 Udinese. The 1X2 prediction came good: victory for Udinese was the model's favourite outcome (61%). The final score ranked 9th among the most likely scorelines (4.2%), behind 1-2. On goals, the model expected both teams to score (62%): correct; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (66%): correct.
Match analysis
Monza vs Udinese was played on Saturday, August 29, 2026 (Serie A, matchday 2). Venue: U-Power Stadium, Monza. Before kick-off, our model gave Monza a 19% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Udinese 61%. The most likely correct score is 1-2 (9.7%), ahead of 1-1 (8.7%) and 0-2 (8.3%).
Over their last 5 matches, Monza have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats, scoring 10 and conceding 10. Over their last 5 matches, Udinese have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat, scoring 4 and conceding 2. Recent momentum is clearly with Udinese. On average Monza score 2.00 and concede 2.00 goals per game; Udinese score 0.80 and concede 0.40. In the table, Monza sit 19th with 0 points from 1 games, Udinese 11th with 1 points from 1. 8 places separate the two sides. Over their recent games, Monza have averaged 1.23 xG (expected goals) per match, against 2.14 for Udinese.
In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Monza, 1 for Udinese and 3 draws. Monza out or doubtful: M. Pessina, I. Toure, E. Akinsanmiro, P. Ciurria and L. Colombo. Udinese: C. Kabasele, M. Palma, N. Zaniolo, A. Zanoli and G. Chakvetadze. In double chance terms, "Monza or draw" stands at 39%, "Udinese or draw" at 81% and "no draw" at 80%.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Monza – Udinese. 1-2 is the single most likely scoreline (9.7%); the 5 scores below add up to 41% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Monza 1-2 Udinese | 9.7% |
| Monza 1-1 Udinese | 8.7% |
| Monza 0-2 Udinese | 8.3% |
| Monza 0-1 Udinese | 7.4% |
| Monza 1-3 Udinese | 7.2% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
The model expects 3.41 goals in total (1.17 for Monza, 2.24 for Udinese): over 2.5 goals has a 66% probability and both teams to score 62%. Everything points to an open game. Monza keep a clean sheet in 11% of scenarios, Udinese in 31%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Monza expected goals | 1.17 |
| Udinese expected goals | 2.24 |
| Both teams to score | 62% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 85% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 66% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 44% |
| Monza clean sheet | 11% |
| Udinese clean sheet | 31% |
Recent form
Latest matches played before this game in the competitions Elofoot covers.
Monza
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Inter · Serie A | 1-4 | L |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Avellino · Coppa Italia | 3-0 | W |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Padova · Club Friendlies | 3-3 | D |
| Jul 30, 2026 | Aris Thessalonikis · Club Friendlies | 1-3 | L |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Galatasaray · Club Friendlies | 2-0 | W |
Udinese
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Como · Serie A | 1-1 | D |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Padova · Coppa Italia | 1-0 | W |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Barcelona · Club Friendlies | 1-0 | W |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Nottingham Forest · Club Friendlies | 1-0 | W |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Trabzonspor · Club Friendlies | 0-1 | L |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Monza | 19 | 0 | 1 |
| Udinese | 11 | 1 | 1 |
Head-to-head
In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Monza, 1 for Udinese and 3 draws.
Out and doubtful
Monza
- M. Pessina (out)
- I. Toure (out)
- E. Akinsanmiro (out)
- P. Ciurria (out)
- L. Colombo (out)
Udinese
- C. Kabasele (out)
- M. Palma (out)
- N. Zaniolo (out)
- A. Zanoli (out)
- G. Chakvetadze (out)
Other matches in this competition
- AC Milan 2-0 VeneziaAug 28, 2026
- Fiorentina 0-3 FrosinoneAug 29, 2026
- Sassuolo 2-1 TorinoAug 29, 2026
- Juventus 2-0 ParmaAug 29, 2026
- Napoli 1-2 ComoAug 30, 2026
- Lazio 1-0 GenoaAug 30, 2026
- Cagliari 0-1 InterAug 30, 2026
- Lecce 0-4 AS RomaAug 31, 2026
- Atalanta 1-0 BolognaAug 31, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the Monza vs Udinese prediction?
Before the match, our AI gave Monza a 19% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Udinese 61%. Udinese are therefore favourites. Final score: 2-3.
What is the most likely correct score for Monza vs Udinese?
1-2 (9.7%), followed by 1-1 (8.7%), 0-2 (8.3%), 0-1 (7.4%) and 1-3 (7.2%).
Will both teams score in Monza vs Udinese?
The probability that both Monza and Udinese score is 62%. Monza have a 11% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Udinese 31%.
How many goals should we expect in Monza vs Udinese?
The model expects 3.41 goals (1.17 for Monza, 2.24 for Udinese). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 85%, over 2.5 goals 66%, over 3.5 goals 44%.
When and where is Monza vs Udinese played?
Saturday, August 29, 2026 at 17:30 (UK time), Serie A, matchday 2. Venue: U-Power Stadium, Monza.
What form are Monza and Udinese in?
Monza: 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (10 scored, 10 conceded). Udinese: 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (4 scored, 2 conceded).
What is the head-to-head record between Monza and Udinese?
In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Monza, 1 for Udinese and 3 draws.
What was the Monza vs Udinese result, and was the prediction right?
Final score: Monza 2-3 Udinese. The 1X2 prediction came good: victory for Udinese was the model's favourite outcome (61%). The final score ranked 9th among the most likely scorelines (4.2%), behind 1-2. On goals, the model expected both teams to score (62%): correct; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (66%): correct.
How is the Monza vs Udinese prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.17 for Monza, 2.24 for Udinese) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.