Serie A· Kick-off : Sunday, August 30, 2026, 17:30 (UK time)
Napoli vs Como: 1-2 result and AI prediction review
Review: prediction vs result
Final score: Napoli 1-2 Como. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Napoli (51%), while victory for Como was rated at only 22%. The final score ranked 7th among the most likely scorelines (5.1%), behind 1-0. On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (42%): missed; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (39%): missed.
Match analysis
Napoli and Como met on Sunday, August 30, 2026, a Serie A, matchday 2 fixture. Venue: Stadio Diego Armando Maradona, Naples. Before kick-off, our model gave Napoli a 51% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Como 22%. On the correct score, 1-0 comes out on top (15.2%), followed by 1-1 (12.4%) and 0-0 (10.8%).
Napoli are unbeaten in their last 5 matches (4 wins, 1 draw), scoring 13 and conceding 4. Como are unbeaten in their last 5 matches (1 win, 4 draws), scoring 8 and conceding 5. Napoli therefore arrive in far better shape than Como. On average Napoli score 2.60 and concede 0.80 goals per game; Como score 1.60 and concede 1.00. In the table, Napoli sit 6th with 3 points from 1 games, Como 13th with 1 points from 1. 7 places separate the two sides. Over their recent games, Napoli have averaged 0.77 xG (expected goals) per match, against 1.50 for Como.
In the last 3 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Napoli, 0 for Como and 3 draws. The most recent ended Como 0-0 Napoli (May 2, 2026). Napoli out or doubtful: A. Buongiorno, L. Marianucci and P. Mazzocchi. Como: J. Addai and W. Kambwala. In double chance terms, "Napoli or draw" stands at 78%, "Como or draw" at 49% and "no draw" at 73%.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Napoli – Como. 1-0 is the single most likely scoreline (15.2%); the 5 scores below add up to 58% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Napoli 1-0 Como | 15.2% |
| Napoli 1-1 Como | 12.4% |
| Napoli 0-0 Como | 10.8% |
| Napoli 2-0 Como | 10.7% |
| Napoli 0-1 Como | 8.8% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
With 1.41 expected goals for Napoli and 0.82 for Como, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 39% and "both teams to score" at 42%. Few goals are expected here. Napoli keep a clean sheet in 44% of scenarios, Como in 24%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Napoli expected goals | 1.41 |
| Como expected goals | 0.82 |
| Both teams to score | 42% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 65% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 39% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 19% |
| Napoli clean sheet | 44% |
| Como clean sheet | 24% |
Recent form
Latest matches played before this game in the competitions Elofoot covers.
Napoli
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Genoa · Serie A | 2-0 | W |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Aris Thessalonikis · Club Friendlies | 6-2 | W |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Celta Vigo · Club Friendlies | 1-1 | D |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Osasuna · Club Friendlies | 2-1 | W |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Carrarese · Club Friendlies | 2-0 | W |
Como
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Udinese · Serie A | 1-1 | D |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Liverpool · Club Friendlies | 0-0 | D |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Arsenal · Club Friendlies | 1-1 | D |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Paris FC · Club Friendlies | 2-2 | D |
| May 24, 2026 | Cremonese · Serie A | 4-1 | W |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Napoli | 6 | 3 | 1 |
| Como | 13 | 1 | 1 |
Head-to-head
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 2, 2026 | Como 0-0 Napoli | Serie A |
| Feb 10, 2026 | Napoli 1-1 Como | Coppa Italia |
| Nov 1, 2025 | Napoli 0-0 Como | Serie A |
Out and doubtful
Napoli
- A. Buongiorno (out)
- L. Marianucci (out)
- P. Mazzocchi (out)
Como
- J. Addai (out)
- W. Kambwala (out)
Other matches in this competition
- AC Milan 2-0 VeneziaAug 28, 2026
- Monza 2-3 UdineseAug 29, 2026
- Fiorentina 0-3 FrosinoneAug 29, 2026
- Sassuolo 2-1 TorinoAug 29, 2026
- Juventus 2-0 ParmaAug 29, 2026
- Lazio 1-0 GenoaAug 30, 2026
- Cagliari 0-1 InterAug 30, 2026
- Lecce 0-4 AS RomaAug 31, 2026
- Atalanta 1-0 BolognaAug 31, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the Napoli vs Como prediction?
Before the match, our AI gave Napoli a 51% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Como 22%. Napoli are therefore favourites. Final score: 1-2.
What is the most likely correct score for Napoli vs Como?
1-0 (15.2%), followed by 1-1 (12.4%), 0-0 (10.8%), 2-0 (10.7%) and 0-1 (8.8%).
Will both teams score in Napoli vs Como?
The probability that both Napoli and Como score is 42%. Napoli have a 44% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Como 24%.
How many goals should we expect in Napoli vs Como?
The model expects 2.23 goals (1.41 for Napoli, 0.82 for Como). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 65%, over 2.5 goals 39%, over 3.5 goals 19%.
When and where is Napoli vs Como played?
Sunday, August 30, 2026 at 17:30 (UK time), Serie A, matchday 2. Venue: Stadio Diego Armando Maradona, Naples.
What form are Napoli and Como in?
Napoli: 4 wins, 1 draw and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches (13 scored, 4 conceded). Como: 1 win, 4 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches (8 scored, 5 conceded).
What is the head-to-head record between Napoli and Como?
In the last 3 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Napoli, 0 for Como and 3 draws. The most recent ended Como 0-0 Napoli (May 2, 2026).
What was the Napoli vs Como result, and was the prediction right?
Final score: Napoli 1-2 Como. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Napoli (51%), while victory for Como was rated at only 22%. The final score ranked 7th among the most likely scorelines (5.1%), behind 1-0. On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (42%): missed; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (39%): missed.
How is the Napoli vs Como prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.41 for Napoli, 0.82 for Como) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.