Serie A· Kick-off : Monday, August 31, 2026, 17:30 (UK time)
Lecce vs AS Roma: 0-4 result and AI prediction review
Review: prediction vs result
Final score: Lecce 0-4 AS Roma. The AI called the outcome correctly: it rated victory for AS Roma at 66%. The final score ranked 9th among the most likely scorelines (3.9%), behind 0-1. On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (38%): correct; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (43%): missed.
Match analysis
Lecce and AS Roma met on Monday, August 31, 2026, a Serie A, matchday 2 fixture. Venue: Via del Mare, Lecce. Before kick-off, our model gave Lecce a 12% chance of winning, the draw 22% and AS Roma 66%. On the correct score, 0-1 comes out on top (16.2%), followed by 0-2 (14.5%) and 1-1 (9.9%).
Over their last 5 matches, Lecce have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat, scoring 10 and conceding 6. Over their last 5 matches, AS Roma have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats, scoring 11 and conceding 10. Lecce therefore arrive in far better shape than AS Roma. On average Lecce score 2.00 and concede 1.20 goals per game; AS Roma score 2.20 and concede 2.00. In the table, Lecce sit 8th with 3 points from 1 games, AS Roma 7th with 3 points from 1. The two teams are close in the standings. Over their recent games, Lecce have averaged 2.70 xG (expected goals) per match, against 3.07 for AS Roma.
In the last 2 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Lecce, 2 for AS Roma and 0 draws. The most recent ended AS Roma 1-0 Lecce (Mar 22, 2026). Lecce out or doubtful: L. Banda and A. Gallo. AS Roma: M. Bah, L. Pellegrini and D. Rensch. In double chance terms, "Lecce or draw" stands at 34%, "AS Roma or draw" at 88% and "no draw" at 78%.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Lecce – AS Roma. 0-1 is the single most likely scoreline (16.2%); the 5 scores below add up to 59% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Lecce 0-1 AS Roma | 16.2% |
| Lecce 0-2 AS Roma | 14.5% |
| Lecce 1-1 AS Roma | 9.9% |
| Lecce 0-0 AS Roma | 9.1% |
| Lecce 1-2 AS Roma | 8.9% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
With 0.61 expected goals for Lecce and 1.79 for AS Roma, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 43% and "both teams to score" at 38%. Lecce keep a clean sheet in 17% of scenarios, AS Roma in 54%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Lecce expected goals | 0.61 |
| AS Roma expected goals | 1.79 |
| Both teams to score | 38% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 69% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 43% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 22% |
| Lecce clean sheet | 17% |
| AS Roma clean sheet | 54% |
Recent form
Latest matches played before this game in the competitions Elofoot covers.
Lecce
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Venezia · Serie A | 2-0 | W |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Palermo · Coppa Italia | 0-2 | L |
| Aug 9, 2026 | SS Monopoli · Club Friendlies | 1-0 | W |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Bistrica · Club Friendlies | 5-2 | W |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Istra 1961 · Club Friendlies | 2-2 | D |
AS Roma
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Fiorentina · Serie A | 4-0 | W |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Borussia Dortmund · Club Friendlies | 2-2 | D |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Brighton · Club Friendlies | 0-3 | L |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Newport County · Club Friendlies | 4-1 | W |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Cardiff · Club Friendlies | 1-4 | L |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lecce | 8 | 3 | 1 |
| AS Roma | 7 | 3 | 1 |
Head-to-head
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2026 | AS Roma 1-0 Lecce | Serie A |
| Jan 6, 2026 | Lecce 0-2 AS Roma | Serie A |
Out and doubtful
Lecce
- L. Banda (out)
- A. Gallo (out)
AS Roma
- M. Bah (out)
- L. Pellegrini (out)
- D. Rensch (out)
Other matches in this competition
- AC Milan 2-0 VeneziaAug 28, 2026
- Monza 2-3 UdineseAug 29, 2026
- Fiorentina 0-3 FrosinoneAug 29, 2026
- Sassuolo 2-1 TorinoAug 29, 2026
- Juventus 2-0 ParmaAug 29, 2026
- Napoli 1-2 ComoAug 30, 2026
- Lazio 1-0 GenoaAug 30, 2026
- Cagliari 0-1 InterAug 30, 2026
- Atalanta 1-0 BolognaAug 31, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the Lecce vs AS Roma prediction?
Before the match, our AI gave Lecce a 12% chance of winning, the draw 22% and AS Roma 66%. AS Roma are therefore favourites. Final score: 0-4.
What is the most likely correct score for Lecce vs AS Roma?
0-1 (16.2%), followed by 0-2 (14.5%), 1-1 (9.9%), 0-0 (9.1%) and 1-2 (8.9%).
Will both teams score in Lecce vs AS Roma?
The probability that both Lecce and AS Roma score is 38%. Lecce have a 17% chance of keeping a clean sheet, AS Roma 54%.
How many goals should we expect in Lecce vs AS Roma?
The model expects 2.40 goals (0.61 for Lecce, 1.79 for AS Roma). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 69%, over 2.5 goals 43%, over 3.5 goals 22%.
When and where is Lecce vs AS Roma played?
Monday, August 31, 2026 at 17:30 (UK time), Serie A, matchday 2. Venue: Via del Mare, Lecce.
What form are Lecce and AS Roma in?
Lecce: 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (10 scored, 6 conceded). AS Roma: 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (11 scored, 10 conceded).
What is the head-to-head record between Lecce and AS Roma?
In the last 2 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Lecce, 2 for AS Roma and 0 draws. The most recent ended AS Roma 1-0 Lecce (Mar 22, 2026).
What was the Lecce vs AS Roma result, and was the prediction right?
Final score: Lecce 0-4 AS Roma. The AI called the outcome correctly: it rated victory for AS Roma at 66%. The final score ranked 9th among the most likely scorelines (3.9%), behind 0-1. On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (38%): correct; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (43%): missed.
How is the Lecce vs AS Roma prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (0.61 for Lecce, 1.79 for AS Roma) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.