Serie A· Kick-off : Sunday, October 11, 2026, 19:45 (UK time)
Cagliari vs Juventus prediction: correct score and AI tips
Match analysis
Serie A, matchday 6: the Cagliari vs Juventus match is scheduled on Sunday, October 11, 2026 at 19:45 (UK time). Venue: Unipol Domus, Cagliari. The edge goes to Cagliari (45%), ahead of the draw (27%) and a Juventus win (28%). The most likely correct score is 1-1 (12.6%), ahead of 1-0 (11.8%) and 0-1 (9.0%).
Over their last 5 matches, Cagliari have 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats, scoring 5 and conceding 4. Over their last 5 matches, Juventus have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats, scoring 10 and conceding 5. On recent form, there is little to separate the two teams. On average Cagliari score 1.00 and concede 0.80 goals per game; Juventus score 2.00 and concede 1.00. In the table, Cagliari sit 4th with 12 points from 5 games, Juventus 7th with 10 points from 5. The two teams are close in the standings. Over their recent games, Cagliari have averaged 1.13 xG (expected goals) per match, against 1.33 for Juventus.
In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Cagliari, 3 for Juventus and 1 draw. The most recent ended Cagliari 1-0 Juventus (Jan 17, 2026). Cagliari out or doubtful: M'Bala Nzola, Y. Trepy and Riyad Idrissi. Juventus: K. Yıldız, J. Cabal, J. Boga, K. Thuram, M. Locatelli, J. Ekhator and K. Grabara. In double chance terms, "Cagliari or draw" stands at 72%, "Juventus or draw" at 55% and "no draw" at 73%.
In short : Cagliari are tipped by our AI model in this Cagliari v Juventus (45%). In the table, Cagliari (4th, 12 pts) host Juventus (7th, 10 pts). Our model's most likely scoreline: 1-1.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Cagliari – Juventus. 1-1 is the single most likely scoreline (12.6%); the 5 scores below add up to 51% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Cagliari 1-1 Juventus | 12.6% |
| Cagliari 1-0 Juventus | 11.8% |
| Cagliari 0-1 Juventus | 9.0% |
| Cagliari 2-1 Juventus | 8.9% |
| Cagliari 0-0 Juventus | 8.4% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
The model expects 2.48 goals in total (1.41 for Cagliari, 1.07 for Juventus): over 2.5 goals has a 45% probability and both teams to score 50%. Cagliari keep a clean sheet in 34% of scenarios, Juventus in 24%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Cagliari expected goals | 1.41 |
| Juventus expected goals | 1.07 |
| Both teams to score | 50% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 71% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 45% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 24% |
| Cagliari clean sheet | 34% |
| Juventus clean sheet | 24% |
Recent form
Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.
Cagliari
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 2026 | Udinese · Serie A | 1-0 | W |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Atalanta · Serie A | 2-1 | W |
| Sep 7, 2026 | Lecce · Serie A | 1-0 | W |
| Sep 3, 2026 | Hellas Verona · Coppa Italia | 1-2 | L |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Inter · Serie A | 0-1 | L |
Juventus
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 2, 2026 | Cremonese · Club Friendlies | 0-1 | L |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Atalanta · Serie A | 2-0 | W |
| Sep 17, 2026 | NEC Nijmegen · UEFA Europa League | 5-0 | W |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Sassuolo · Serie A | 2-3 | L |
| Sep 6, 2026 | AC Milan · Serie A | 1-1 | D |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cagliari | 4 | 12 | 5 |
| Juventus | 7 | 10 | 5 |
Head-to-head
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2026 | Cagliari 1-0 Juventus | Serie A |
| Nov 29, 2025 | Juventus 2-1 Cagliari | Serie A |
| Feb 23, 2025 | Cagliari 0-1 Juventus | Serie A |
| Dec 17, 2024 | Juventus 4-0 Cagliari | Coppa Italia |
| Oct 6, 2024 | Juventus 1-1 Cagliari | Serie A |
Out and doubtful
Cagliari
- M'Bala Nzola (out)
- Y. Trepy (out)
- Riyad Idrissi (out)
Juventus
- K. Yıldız (out)
- J. Cabal (out)
- J. Boga (out)
- K. Thuram (out)
- M. Locatelli (out)
- J. Ekhator (out)
- K. Grabara (out)
Most regular starters
Cagliari
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- H. Winks5/5
- J. Rodriguez5/5
- P. Mendy5/5
- A. Deiola4/5
- A. Obert4/5
- A. Romano4/5
- D. Maldini4/5
- E. Caprile4/5
- J. Fazzini4/5
- J. Pedro4/5
- M. Adopo4/5
Juventus
Starts over the last 4 matches (official line-ups).
- Douglas Luiz4/4
- P. Kalulu3/4
- Bremer2/4
- F. Conceicao2/4
- G. Vicario2/4
- J. Lucumi2/4
- K. Alajbegovic2/4
- N. Gonzalez2/4
- R. Kolo Muani2/4
- Z. Celik2/4
- F. Gatti1/4
First detailed prediction free, no card required.
See the full prediction (scenario, scorers, half-time)Other matches in this competition
- Genoa – FiorentinaOct 10, 2026
- Inter – ParmaOct 10, 2026
- Napoli – FrosinoneOct 10, 2026
- Como – AS RomaOct 11, 2026
- Lazio – MonzaOct 11, 2026
- Lecce – BolognaOct 11, 2026
- Sassuolo – AC MilanOct 11, 2026
- Atalanta – VeneziaOct 12, 2026
- Torino – UdineseOct 12, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the Cagliari vs Juventus prediction?
Our AI gives Cagliari a 45% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Juventus 28%. Cagliari are therefore favourites.
What is the most likely correct score for Cagliari vs Juventus?
1-1 (12.6%), followed by 1-0 (11.8%), 0-1 (9.0%), 2-1 (8.9%) and 0-0 (8.4%).
Will both teams score in Cagliari vs Juventus?
The probability that both Cagliari and Juventus score is 50%. Cagliari have a 34% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Juventus 24%.
How many goals should we expect in Cagliari vs Juventus?
The model expects 2.48 goals (1.41 for Cagliari, 1.07 for Juventus). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 71%, over 2.5 goals 45%, over 3.5 goals 24%.
When and where is Cagliari vs Juventus played?
Sunday, October 11, 2026 at 19:45 (UK time), Serie A, matchday 6. Venue: Unipol Domus, Cagliari.
What form are Cagliari and Juventus in?
Cagliari: 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (5 scored, 4 conceded). Juventus: 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (10 scored, 5 conceded).
What is the head-to-head record between Cagliari and Juventus?
In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Cagliari, 3 for Juventus and 1 draw. The most recent ended Cagliari 1-0 Juventus (Jan 17, 2026).
How is the Cagliari vs Juventus prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.41 for Cagliari, 1.07 for Juventus) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All Cagliari predictions
- All Juventus predictions
- Serie A predictions
- Today’s predictions
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