Serie A· Kick-off : Saturday, October 10, 2026, 17:00 (UK time)
Inter vs Parma prediction: correct score and AI tips
Match analysis
Serie A, matchday 6: Inter vs Parma kicks off on Saturday, October 10, 2026 at 17:00 (UK time). With a 95% win probability, Inter go in as strong favourites against Parma (1%), with the draw rated at 4%. The most likely correct score is 3-0 (14.0%), ahead of 4-0 (14.0%) and 5-0 (11.2%).
Over their last 5 matches, Inter have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat, scoring 12 and conceding 9. Parma have won just one of their last 5 matches (1 draw, 3 defeats), scoring 4 and conceding 8. Recent momentum is clearly with Inter. On average Inter score 2.40 and concede 1.80 goals per game; Parma score 0.80 and concede 1.60. In the table, Inter sit 2nd with 13 points from 5 games, Parma 15th with 4 points from 5. 13 places separate the two sides. Over their recent games, Inter have averaged 3.05 xG (expected goals) per match, against 0.67 for Parma.
In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 4 wins for Inter, 0 for Parma and 1 draw. The most recent ended Inter 2-0 Parma (May 3, 2026). Inter out or doubtful: H. Calhanoglu, D. Spence and J. Stones. Parma: A. Bernabe, H. Nicolussi Caviglia and L. Valenti. In double chance terms, "Inter or draw" stands at 99%, "Parma or draw" at 5% and "no draw" at 96%.
In short : Inter are tipped by our AI model in this Inter v Parma (95%). On recent form, Inter have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss in 5 while Parma have 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses in 5. Our model's most likely scoreline: 3-0.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Inter – Parma. 3-0 is the single most likely scoreline (14.0%); the 5 scores below add up to 57% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Inter 3-0 Parma | 14.0% |
| Inter 4-0 Parma | 14.0% |
| Inter 5-0 Parma | 11.2% |
| Inter 2-0 Parma | 10.5% |
| Inter 6-0 Parma | 7.5% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
The model expects 4.33 goals in total (4.00 for Inter, 0.33 for Parma): over 2.5 goals has a 81% probability and both teams to score 28%. Everything points to an open game. Inter keep a clean sheet in 72% of scenarios, Parma in 2%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Inter expected goals | 4.00 |
| Parma expected goals | 0.33 |
| Both teams to score | 28% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 93% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 81% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 63% |
| Inter clean sheet | 72% |
| Parma clean sheet | 2% |
Recent form
Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.
Inter
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 2026 | AS Roma · Serie A | 2-2 | D |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Udinese · Serie A | 5-3 | W |
| Sep 8, 2026 | Real Madrid · UEFA Champions League | 1-2 | L |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Napoli · Serie A | 3-2 | W |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Cagliari · Serie A | 1-0 | W |
Parma
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2026 | Genoa · Serie A | 2-1 | W |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Como · Serie A | 1-2 | L |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Monza · Serie A | 1-1 | D |
| Sep 1, 2026 | Cremonese · Coppa Italia | 0-2 | L |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Juventus · Serie A | 0-2 | L |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Inter | 2 | 13 | 5 |
| Parma | 15 | 4 | 5 |
Head-to-head
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | Inter 2-0 Parma | Serie A |
| Jan 7, 2026 | Parma 0-2 Inter | Serie A |
| Apr 5, 2025 | Parma 2-2 Inter | Serie A |
| Dec 6, 2024 | Inter 3-1 Parma | Serie A |
| Jan 10, 2023 | Inter 2-1 Parma | Coppa Italia |
Out and doubtful
Inter
- H. Calhanoglu (out)
- D. Spence (out)
- J. Stones (out)
Parma
- A. Bernabe (out)
- H. Nicolussi Caviglia (out)
- L. Valenti (out)
Most regular starters
Inter
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- A. Bastoni4/5
- J. Martinez4/5
- N. Barella4/5
- A. Diouf3/5
- F. Esposito3/5
- L. Martinez3/5
- M. Akanji3/5
- B. Pavard2/5
- Carlos Augusto2/5
- F. Dimarco2/5
- H. Calhanoglu2/5
Parma
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- S. Britschgi4/5
- C. Ordonez3/5
- Diego Carlos3/5
- E. B. Toure3/5
- E. Corvi3/5
- E. Delprato3/5
- E. Valeri3/5
- M. Keita3/5
- M. Troilo3/5
- D. Drobnic2/5
- G. Fabbian2/5
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See the full prediction (scenario, scorers, half-time)Other matches in this competition
Frequently asked questions
What is the Inter vs Parma prediction?
Our AI gives Inter a 95% chance of winning, the draw 4% and Parma 1%. Inter are therefore favourites.
What is the most likely correct score for Inter vs Parma?
3-0 (14.0%), followed by 4-0 (14.0%), 5-0 (11.2%), 2-0 (10.5%) and 6-0 (7.5%).
Will both teams score in Inter vs Parma?
The probability that both Inter and Parma score is 28%. Inter have a 72% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Parma 2%.
How many goals should we expect in Inter vs Parma?
The model expects 4.33 goals (4.00 for Inter, 0.33 for Parma). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 93%, over 2.5 goals 81%, over 3.5 goals 63%.
When and where is Inter vs Parma played?
Saturday, October 10, 2026 at 17:00 (UK time), Serie A, matchday 6.
What form are Inter and Parma in?
Inter: 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (12 scored, 9 conceded). Parma: 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches (4 scored, 8 conceded).
What is the head-to-head record between Inter and Parma?
In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 4 wins for Inter, 0 for Parma and 1 draw. The most recent ended Inter 2-0 Parma (May 3, 2026).
How is the Inter vs Parma prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (4.00 for Inter, 0.33 for Parma) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.