Serie A· Kick-off : Sunday, October 11, 2026, 11:30 (UK time)
Como vs AS Roma prediction: correct score and AI tips
Match analysis
Como take on AS Roma on Sunday, October 11, 2026 at 11:30 (UK time), a Serie A, matchday 6 fixture. Venue: Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia, Como. The edge goes to AS Roma (46%), ahead of the draw (20%) and a Como win (34%). The most likely correct score is 2-2 (7.1%), ahead of 1-2 (6.9%) and 2-1 (6.0%).
Over their last 5 matches, Como have 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat, scoring 12 and conceding 6. AS Roma are unbeaten in their last 5 matches (3 wins, 2 draws), scoring 11 and conceding 4. On recent form, there is little to separate the two teams. On average Como score 2.40 and concede 1.20 goals per game; AS Roma score 2.20 and concede 0.80. In the table, Como sit 8th with 10 points from 5 games, AS Roma 1st with 13 points from 5. 7 places separate the two sides. Over their recent games, Como have averaged 1.98 xG (expected goals) per match, against 2.46 for AS Roma.
In the last 4 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 2 wins for Como, 2 for AS Roma and 0 draws. The most recent ended Como 2-1 AS Roma (Mar 15, 2026). Como out or doubtful: M. Kean (doubtful) and I. Smolcic (doubtful). AS Roma: M. Bah, B. Cristante (doubtful), D. Malen (doubtful) and Wesley Franca (doubtful). In double chance terms, "Como or draw" stands at 54%, "AS Roma or draw" at 66% and "no draw" at 80%.
In short : Our model backs AS Roma to edge Como (46% probability). On recent form, Como are in good shape (4 wins in 5) while AS Roma have 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses in 5. The model expects goals (over 2.5 at 82%).
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Como – AS Roma. 2-2 is the single most likely scoreline (7.1%); the 5 scores below add up to 31% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Como 2-2 AS Roma | 7.1% |
| Como 1-2 AS Roma | 6.9% |
| Como 2-1 AS Roma | 6.0% |
| Como 1-1 AS Roma | 5.8% |
| Como 2-3 AS Roma | 5.6% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
The model expects 4.42 goals in total (2.05 for Como, 2.37 for AS Roma): over 2.5 goals has a 82% probability and both teams to score 79%. Everything points to an open game. Como keep a clean sheet in 9% of scenarios, AS Roma in 13%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Como expected goals | 2.05 |
| AS Roma expected goals | 2.37 |
| Both teams to score | 79% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 94% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 82% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 64% |
| Como clean sheet | 9% |
| AS Roma clean sheet | 13% |
Recent form
Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.
Como
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2026 | Frosinone · Serie A | 0-2 | L |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Parma · Serie A | 2-1 | W |
| Sep 10, 2026 | RB Leipzig · UEFA Champions League | 4-1 | W |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Genoa · Serie A | 4-1 | W |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Napoli · Serie A | 2-1 | W |
AS Roma
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 2026 | Inter · Serie A | 2-2 | D |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Torino · Serie A | 2-0 | W |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Fenerbahçe · UEFA Champions League | 1-1 | D |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Atalanta · Serie A | 2-1 | W |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Lecce · Serie A | 4-0 | W |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Como | 8 | 10 | 5 |
| AS Roma | 1 | 13 | 5 |
Head-to-head
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2026 | Como 2-1 AS Roma | Serie A |
| Dec 15, 2025 | AS Roma 1-0 Como | Serie A |
| Mar 2, 2025 | AS Roma 2-1 Como | Serie A |
| Dec 15, 2024 | Como 2-0 AS Roma | Serie A |
Out and doubtful
Como
- M. Kean (doubtful)
- I. Smolcic (doubtful)
AS Roma
- M. Bah (out)
- B. Cristante (doubtful)
- D. Malen (doubtful)
- Wesley Franca (doubtful)
Most regular starters
Como
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- M. Baturina5/5
- N. Paz5/5
- A. Diao4/5
- J. Butez4/5
- J. Ramon4/5
- L. Da Cunha4/5
- T. Chalobah4/5
- Y. Couto4/5
- A. Douvikas3/5
- A. Valle3/5
- L. Milla2/5
AS Roma
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- B. Cristante4/5
- D. Malen4/5
- G. Mancini4/5
- M. Svilar4/5
- P. Dybala4/5
- E. Lulli3/5
- M. Hermoso3/5
- E. Ndicka2/5
- M. Kone2/5
- M. Soule2/5
- Wesley2/5
First detailed prediction free, no card required.
See the full prediction (scenario, scorers, half-time)Other matches in this competition
- Genoa – FiorentinaOct 10, 2026
- Inter – ParmaOct 10, 2026
- Napoli – FrosinoneOct 10, 2026
- Lazio – MonzaOct 11, 2026
- Lecce – BolognaOct 11, 2026
- Sassuolo – AC MilanOct 11, 2026
- Cagliari – JuventusOct 11, 2026
- Atalanta – VeneziaOct 12, 2026
- Torino – UdineseOct 12, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the Como vs AS Roma prediction?
Our AI gives Como a 34% chance of winning, the draw 20% and AS Roma 46%. AS Roma are therefore favourites.
What is the most likely correct score for Como vs AS Roma?
2-2 (7.1%), followed by 1-2 (6.9%), 2-1 (6.0%), 1-1 (5.8%) and 2-3 (5.6%).
Will both teams score in Como vs AS Roma?
The probability that both Como and AS Roma score is 79%. Como have a 9% chance of keeping a clean sheet, AS Roma 13%.
How many goals should we expect in Como vs AS Roma?
The model expects 4.42 goals (2.05 for Como, 2.37 for AS Roma). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 94%, over 2.5 goals 82%, over 3.5 goals 64%.
When and where is Como vs AS Roma played?
Sunday, October 11, 2026 at 11:30 (UK time), Serie A, matchday 6. Venue: Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia, Como.
What form are Como and AS Roma in?
Como: 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (12 scored, 6 conceded). AS Roma: 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches (11 scored, 4 conceded).
What is the head-to-head record between Como and AS Roma?
In the last 4 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 2 wins for Como, 2 for AS Roma and 0 draws. The most recent ended Como 2-1 AS Roma (Mar 15, 2026).
How is the Como vs AS Roma prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (2.05 for Como, 2.37 for AS Roma) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.