Skip to content
Elofoot

Serie ASerie A· Kick-off : Saturday, September 5, 2026, 14:00 (UK time)

Fiorentina vs Torino: 1-2 result and AI prediction review

FiorentinaFiorentina1 – 2TorinoTorino

Review: prediction vs result

1X2 outcome missedExact score missedMost likely score before kick-off : 1-1

Final score: Fiorentina 1-2 Torino. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Fiorentina (50%), while victory for Torino was rated at only 22%. The final score ranked 7th among the most likely scorelines (7.1%), behind 1-1. On goals, the model expected both teams to score (51%): correct; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (46%): missed.

Match analysis

Fiorentina and Torino met on Saturday, September 5, 2026, a Serie A, matchday 3 fixture. Venue: Stadio Artemio Franchi, Florence. Before kick-off, our model gave Fiorentina a 50% chance of winning, the draw 29% and Torino 22%. On the correct score, 1-1 comes out on top (12.6%), followed by 1-0 (11.3%) and 0-1 (9.0%).

Fiorentina have won just one of their last 5 matches (2 draws, 2 defeats), scoring 7 and conceding 11. Torino have won just one of their last 5 matches (1 draw, 3 defeats), scoring 4 and conceding 6. Both sides come in with similar form. On average Fiorentina score 1.40 and concede 2.20 goals per game; Torino score 0.80 and concede 1.20. In the table, Fiorentina sit 19th with 0 points from 2 games, Torino 14th with 0 points from 2. The two teams are close in the standings. Over their recent games, Fiorentina have averaged 1.24 xG (expected goals) per match, against 1.27 for Torino.

In the last 2 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Fiorentina, 0 for Torino and 2 draws. The most recent ended Fiorentina 2-2 Torino (Feb 7, 2026). Fiorentina out or doubtful: F. Parisi, R. Sottil, A. Atta and Dodo. Torino: F. Israel, P. Pellegri and C. Casadei. In double chance terms, "Fiorentina or draw" stands at 78%, "Torino or draw" at 51% and "no draw" at 71%.

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

50%
Fiorentina (Win)
29%
Draw
22%
Torino (Win)

Double chance

78%
Fiorentina or draw
51%
Torino or draw
71%
No draw

Most likely correct scores

Scores shown as Fiorentina – Torino. 1-1 is the single most likely scoreline (12.6%); the 5 scores below add up to 50% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.

ScoreProbability
Fiorentina 1-1 Torino12.6%
Fiorentina 1-0 Torino11.3%
Fiorentina 0-1 Torino9.0%
Fiorentina 2-1 Torino8.8%
Fiorentina 0-0 Torino8.0%

Goals: both teams to score, over/under

With 1.40 expected goals for Fiorentina and 1.12 for Torino, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 46% and "both teams to score" at 51%. Fiorentina keep a clean sheet in 33% of scenarios, Torino in 25%.

Probability
Fiorentina expected goals1.40
Torino expected goals1.12
Both teams to score51%
Over 1.5 goals72%
Over 2.5 goals46%
Over 3.5 goals25%
Fiorentina clean sheet33%
Torino clean sheet25%

Recent form

Latest matches played before this game in the competitions Elofoot covers.

Fiorentina

DateOpponentScore
Aug 29, 2026Frosinone · Serie A0-3L
Aug 24, 2026AS Roma · Serie A0-4L
Aug 14, 2026Benevento · Coppa Italia4-1W
Aug 6, 2026Deportivo La Coruna · Club Friendlies1-1D
Aug 1, 2026Real Madrid · Club Friendlies2-2D

Torino

DateOpponentScore
Sep 1, 2026Monza · Coppa Italia0-1L
Aug 29, 2026Sassuolo · Serie A1-2L
Aug 23, 2026AC Milan · Serie A1-2L
Aug 15, 2026Carrarese · Coppa Italia1-0W
Aug 8, 2026Avellino · Club Friendlies1-1D

Standings before the match

Pos.PointsPlayed
Fiorentina1902
Torino1402

Head-to-head

DateScoreCompetition
Feb 7, 2026Fiorentina 2-2 TorinoSerie A
Aug 31, 2025Torino 0-0 FiorentinaSerie A

Out and doubtful

Fiorentina

  • F. Parisi (out)
  • R. Sottil (out)
  • A. Atta (out)
  • Dodo (out)

Torino

  • F. Israel (out)
  • P. Pellegri (out)
  • C. Casadei (out)

Other matches in this competition

Frequently asked questions

What is the Fiorentina vs Torino prediction?

Before the match, our AI gave Fiorentina a 50% chance of winning, the draw 29% and Torino 22%. Fiorentina are therefore favourites. Final score: 1-2.

What is the most likely correct score for Fiorentina vs Torino?

1-1 (12.6%), followed by 1-0 (11.3%), 0-1 (9.0%), 2-1 (8.8%) and 0-0 (8.0%).

Will both teams score in Fiorentina vs Torino?

The probability that both Fiorentina and Torino score is 51%. Fiorentina have a 33% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Torino 25%.

How many goals should we expect in Fiorentina vs Torino?

The model expects 2.52 goals (1.40 for Fiorentina, 1.12 for Torino). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 72%, over 2.5 goals 46%, over 3.5 goals 25%.

When and where is Fiorentina vs Torino played?

Saturday, September 5, 2026 at 14:00 (UK time), Serie A, matchday 3. Venue: Stadio Artemio Franchi, Florence.

What form are Fiorentina and Torino in?

Fiorentina: 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (7 scored, 11 conceded). Torino: 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches (4 scored, 6 conceded).

What is the head-to-head record between Fiorentina and Torino?

In the last 2 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Fiorentina, 0 for Torino and 2 draws. The most recent ended Fiorentina 2-2 Torino (Feb 7, 2026).

What was the Fiorentina vs Torino result, and was the prediction right?

Final score: Fiorentina 1-2 Torino. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Fiorentina (50%), while victory for Torino was rated at only 22%. The final score ranked 7th among the most likely scorelines (7.1%), behind 1-1. On goals, the model expected both teams to score (51%): correct; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (46%): missed.

How is the Fiorentina vs Torino prediction calculated?

The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.40 for Fiorentina, 1.12 for Torino) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.

Go further

Key terms explained