Serie A· Kick-off : Monday, September 7, 2026, 19:45 (UK time)
Udinese vs Lazio: 1-2 result and AI prediction review
Review: prediction vs result
Final score: Udinese 1-2 Lazio. The AI called the outcome correctly: it rated victory for Lazio at 35%. The final score ranked 6th among the most likely scorelines (6.8%), behind 0-0. On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (39%): missed; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (31%): missed.
Match analysis
Udinese and Lazio met on Monday, September 7, 2026, a Serie A, matchday 3 fixture. Venue: Bluenergy Stadium - Stadio Friuli, Udine. Before kick-off, our model gave Udinese a 33% chance of winning, the draw 31% and Lazio 35%. On the correct score, 0-0 comes out on top (14.1%), followed by 0-1 (14.1%) and 1-0 (13.5%).
Udinese are unbeaten in their last 5 matches (4 wins, 1 draw), scoring 8 and conceding 4. Over their last 5 matches, Lazio have 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat, scoring 8 and conceding 3. Both sides come in with similar form. On average Udinese score 1.60 and concede 0.80 goals per game; Lazio score 1.60 and concede 0.60. In the table, Udinese sit 9th with 4 points from 2 games, Lazio 6th with 6 points from 2. The two teams are close in the standings. Over their recent games, Udinese have averaged 1.56 xG (expected goals) per match, against 1.13 for Lazio.
In the last 2 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Udinese, 0 for Lazio and 2 draws. The most recent ended Lazio 3-3 Udinese (Apr 27, 2026). Udinese out or doubtful: M. Palma, N. Zaniolo, G. Chakvetadze and A. Zanoli. Lazio: D. Cataldi, F. Dele-Bashiru, A. Furlanetto, A. Marusic and Patric. In double chance terms, "Udinese or draw" stands at 65%, "Lazio or draw" at 67% and "no draw" at 69%.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Udinese – Lazio. 0-0 is the single most likely scoreline (14.1%); the 5 scores below add up to 62% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Udinese 0-0 Lazio | 14.1% |
| Udinese 0-1 Lazio | 14.1% |
| Udinese 1-0 Lazio | 13.5% |
| Udinese 1-1 Lazio | 13.5% |
| Udinese 0-2 Lazio | 7.0% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
With 0.96 expected goals for Udinese and 1.00 for Lazio, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 31% and "both teams to score" at 39%. Few goals are expected here. Udinese keep a clean sheet in 37% of scenarios, Lazio in 38%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Udinese expected goals | 0.96 |
| Lazio expected goals | 1.00 |
| Both teams to score | 39% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 58% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 31% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 14% |
| Udinese clean sheet | 37% |
| Lazio clean sheet | 38% |
Recent form
Latest matches played before this game in the competitions Elofoot covers.
Udinese
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 2, 2026 | Venezia · Coppa Italia | 2-1 | W |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Monza · Serie A | 3-2 | W |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Como · Serie A | 1-1 | D |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Padova · Coppa Italia | 1-0 | W |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Barcelona · Club Friendlies | 1-0 | W |
Lazio
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 30, 2026 | Genoa · Serie A | 1-0 | W |
| Aug 24, 2026 | Bologna · Serie A | 1-0 | W |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Mantova · Coppa Italia | 0-2 | L |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Frosinone · Club Friendlies | 2-1 | W |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Ostia Mare · Club Friendlies | 4-0 | W |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Udinese | 9 | 4 | 2 |
| Lazio | 6 | 6 | 2 |
Head-to-head
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 27, 2026 | Lazio 3-3 Udinese | Serie A |
| Dec 27, 2025 | Udinese 1-1 Lazio | Serie A |
Out and doubtful
Udinese
- M. Palma (out)
- N. Zaniolo (out)
- G. Chakvetadze (out)
- A. Zanoli (out)
Lazio
- D. Cataldi (out)
- F. Dele-Bashiru (out)
- A. Furlanetto (out)
- A. Marusic (out)
- Patric (out)
Other matches in this competition
- Genoa 1-4 ComoSep 4, 2026
- Fiorentina 1-2 TorinoSep 5, 2026
- Inter 3-2 NapoliSep 5, 2026
- AS Roma 2-1 AtalantaSep 5, 2026
- Frosinone 3-2 VeneziaSep 6, 2026
- Parma 1-1 MonzaSep 6, 2026
- Bologna 2-2 SassuoloSep 6, 2026
- Juventus 1-1 AC MilanSep 6, 2026
- Cagliari 1-0 LecceSep 7, 2026
- Venezia 2-4 FiorentinaSep 11, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the Udinese vs Lazio prediction?
Before the match, our AI gave Udinese a 33% chance of winning, the draw 31% and Lazio 35%. Lazio are therefore slight favourites. Final score: 1-2.
What is the most likely correct score for Udinese vs Lazio?
0-0 (14.1%), followed by 0-1 (14.1%), 1-0 (13.5%), 1-1 (13.5%) and 0-2 (7.0%).
Will both teams score in Udinese vs Lazio?
The probability that both Udinese and Lazio score is 39%. Udinese have a 37% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Lazio 38%.
How many goals should we expect in Udinese vs Lazio?
The model expects 1.96 goals (0.96 for Udinese, 1.00 for Lazio). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 58%, over 2.5 goals 31%, over 3.5 goals 14%.
When and where is Udinese vs Lazio played?
Monday, September 7, 2026 at 19:45 (UK time), Serie A, matchday 3. Venue: Bluenergy Stadium - Stadio Friuli, Udine.
What form are Udinese and Lazio in?
Udinese: 4 wins, 1 draw and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches (8 scored, 4 conceded). Lazio: 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (8 scored, 3 conceded).
What is the head-to-head record between Udinese and Lazio?
In the last 2 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Udinese, 0 for Lazio and 2 draws. The most recent ended Lazio 3-3 Udinese (Apr 27, 2026).
What was the Udinese vs Lazio result, and was the prediction right?
Final score: Udinese 1-2 Lazio. The AI called the outcome correctly: it rated victory for Lazio at 35%. The final score ranked 6th among the most likely scorelines (6.8%), behind 0-0. On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (39%): missed; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (31%): missed.
How is the Udinese vs Lazio prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (0.96 for Udinese, 1.00 for Lazio) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.