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Serie ASerie A· Kick-off : Sunday, September 6, 2026, 14:00 (UK time)

Frosinone vs Venezia: 3-2 result and AI prediction review

FrosinoneFrosinone3 – 2VeneziaVenezia

Review: prediction vs result

1X2 outcome missedExact score missedMost likely score before kick-off : 1-1

Final score: Frosinone 3-2 Venezia. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Venezia (36%), while victory for Frosinone was rated at only 35%. The model considered this score unlikely (1.7%). On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (47%): missed; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (41%): missed.

Match analysis

Frosinone and Venezia met on Sunday, September 6, 2026, a Serie A, matchday 3 fixture. Venue: Stadio Benito Stirpe, Frosinone. Before kick-off, our model gave Frosinone a 35% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Venezia 36%. On the correct score, 1-1 comes out on top (13.2%), followed by 0-1 (11.5%) and 1-0 (11.3%).

Over their last 5 matches, Frosinone have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats, scoring 9 and conceding 5. Venezia have won just one of their last 5 matches (1 draw, 3 defeats), scoring 6 and conceding 10. Both sides come in with similar form. On average Frosinone score 1.80 and concede 1.00 goals per game; Venezia score 1.20 and concede 2.00. In the table, Frosinone sit 9th with 3 points from 2 games, Venezia 18th with 0 points from 2. 9 places separate the two sides. Over their recent games, Frosinone have averaged 0.76 xG (expected goals) per match, against 1.42 for Venezia.

In the last 2 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Frosinone, 2 for Venezia and 0 draws. The most recent ended Frosinone 1-2 Venezia (Feb 7, 2026). Venezia: A. Adorante, T. Basic, B. Franjic and M. Sverko. In double chance terms, "Frosinone or draw" stands at 64%, "Venezia or draw" at 65% and "no draw" at 72%.

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

35%
Frosinone (Win)
28%
Draw
36%
Venezia (Win)

Double chance

64%
Frosinone or draw
65%
Venezia or draw
72%
No draw

Most likely correct scores

Scores shown as Frosinone – Venezia. 1-1 is the single most likely scoreline (13.2%); the 5 scores below add up to 53% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.

ScoreProbability
Frosinone 1-1 Venezia13.2%
Frosinone 0-1 Venezia11.5%
Frosinone 1-0 Venezia11.3%
Frosinone 0-0 Venezia9.8%
Frosinone 1-2 Venezia7.7%

Goals: both teams to score, over/under

With 1.15 expected goals for Frosinone and 1.17 for Venezia, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 41% and "both teams to score" at 47%. Few goals are expected here. Frosinone keep a clean sheet in 31% of scenarios, Venezia in 32%.

Probability
Frosinone expected goals1.15
Venezia expected goals1.17
Both teams to score47%
Over 1.5 goals67%
Over 2.5 goals41%
Over 3.5 goals21%
Frosinone clean sheet31%
Venezia clean sheet32%

Recent form

Latest matches played before this game in the competitions Elofoot covers.

Frosinone

DateOpponentScore
Sep 2, 2026Sassuolo · Coppa Italia1-1D
Aug 29, 2026Fiorentina · Serie A3-0W
Aug 23, 2026Juventus · Serie A0-1L
Aug 16, 2026Juve Stabia · Coppa Italia4-1W
Aug 9, 2026Lazio · Club Friendlies1-2L

Venezia

DateOpponentScore
Sep 2, 2026Udinese · Coppa Italia1-2L
Aug 28, 2026AC Milan · Serie A0-2L
Aug 23, 2026Lecce · Serie A0-2L
Aug 15, 2026Modena · Coppa Italia3-2W
Aug 8, 2026Stade Brestois 29 · Club Friendlies2-2D

Standings before the match

Pos.PointsPlayed
Frosinone932
Venezia1802

Head-to-head

DateScoreCompetition
Feb 7, 2026Frosinone 1-2 VeneziaSerie B
Oct 4, 2025Venezia 3-0 FrosinoneSerie B

Out and doubtful

Frosinone

No absences reported.

Venezia

  • A. Adorante (out)
  • T. Basic (out)
  • B. Franjic (out)
  • M. Sverko (out)

Other matches in this competition

Frequently asked questions

What is the Frosinone vs Venezia prediction?

Before the match, our AI gave Frosinone a 35% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Venezia 36%. Venezia are therefore slight favourites. Final score: 3-2.

What is the most likely correct score for Frosinone vs Venezia?

1-1 (13.2%), followed by 0-1 (11.5%), 1-0 (11.3%), 0-0 (9.8%) and 1-2 (7.7%).

Will both teams score in Frosinone vs Venezia?

The probability that both Frosinone and Venezia score is 47%. Frosinone have a 31% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Venezia 32%.

How many goals should we expect in Frosinone vs Venezia?

The model expects 2.32 goals (1.15 for Frosinone, 1.17 for Venezia). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 67%, over 2.5 goals 41%, over 3.5 goals 21%.

When and where is Frosinone vs Venezia played?

Sunday, September 6, 2026 at 14:00 (UK time), Serie A, matchday 3. Venue: Stadio Benito Stirpe, Frosinone.

What form are Frosinone and Venezia in?

Frosinone: 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (9 scored, 5 conceded). Venezia: 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches (6 scored, 10 conceded).

What is the head-to-head record between Frosinone and Venezia?

In the last 2 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Frosinone, 2 for Venezia and 0 draws. The most recent ended Frosinone 1-2 Venezia (Feb 7, 2026).

What was the Frosinone vs Venezia result, and was the prediction right?

Final score: Frosinone 3-2 Venezia. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Venezia (36%), while victory for Frosinone was rated at only 35%. The model considered this score unlikely (1.7%). On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (47%): missed; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (41%): missed.

How is the Frosinone vs Venezia prediction calculated?

The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.15 for Frosinone, 1.17 for Venezia) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.

Go further

Key terms explained