Serie A· Kick-off : Friday, September 4, 2026, 19:45 (UK time)
Genoa vs Como: 1-4 result and AI prediction review
Review: prediction vs result
Final score: Genoa 1-4 Como. The 1X2 prediction came good: victory for Como was the model's favourite outcome (76%). The model considered this score unlikely (2.1%). On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (26%): missed; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (40%): missed.
Match analysis
Genoa vs Como was played on Friday, September 4, 2026 (Serie A, matchday 3). Venue: Luigi Ferraris, Genova. Before kick-off, our model gave Genoa a 6% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Como 76%. The most likely correct score is 0-1 (19.5%), ahead of 0-2 (18.9%) and 0-3 (12.2%).
Genoa have won just one of their last 5 matches (0 draws, 4 defeats), scoring 5 and conceding 15. Como are unbeaten in their last 5 matches (1 win, 4 draws), scoring 6 and conceding 5. Recent momentum is clearly with Como. On average Genoa score 1.00 and concede 3.00 goals per game; Como score 1.20 and concede 1.00. In the table, Genoa sit 16th with 0 points from 2 games, Como 8th with 4 points from 2. 8 places separate the two sides. Over their recent games, Genoa have averaged 0.55 xG (expected goals) per match, against 1.27 for Como.
In the last 2 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Genoa, 1 for Como and 1 draw. The most recent ended Genoa 0-2 Como (Apr 26, 2026). Genoa out or doubtful: L. Venturino. Como: J. Addai and M. Kean. In double chance terms, "Genoa or draw" stands at 24%, "Como or draw" at 94% and "no draw" at 82%.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Genoa – Como. 0-1 is the single most likely scoreline (19.5%); the 5 scores below add up to 68% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Genoa 0-1 Como | 19.5% |
| Genoa 0-2 Como | 18.9% |
| Genoa 0-3 Como | 12.2% |
| Genoa 0-0 Como | 10.0% |
| Genoa 1-1 Como | 7.0% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
The model expects 2.30 goals in total (0.36 for Genoa, 1.94 for Como): over 2.5 goals has a 40% probability and both teams to score 26%. A tight, low-scoring game is on the cards. Genoa keep a clean sheet in 14% of scenarios, Como in 70%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Genoa expected goals | 0.36 |
| Como expected goals | 1.94 |
| Both teams to score | 26% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 67% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 40% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 20% |
| Genoa clean sheet | 14% |
| Como clean sheet | 70% |
Recent form
Latest matches played before this game in the competitions Elofoot covers.
Genoa
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 30, 2026 | Lazio · Serie A | 0-1 | L |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Napoli · Serie A | 0-2 | L |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Ascoli · Coppa Italia | 4-1 | W |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Deportivo La Coruna · Club Friendlies | 0-1 | L |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Bournemouth · Club Friendlies | 1-10 | L |
Como
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 30, 2026 | Napoli · Serie A | 2-1 | W |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Udinese · Serie A | 1-1 | D |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Liverpool · Club Friendlies | 0-0 | D |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Arsenal · Club Friendlies | 1-1 | D |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Paris FC · Club Friendlies | 2-2 | D |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Genoa | 16 | 0 | 2 |
| Como | 8 | 4 | 2 |
Head-to-head
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2026 | Genoa 0-2 Como | Serie A |
| Sep 15, 2025 | Como 1-1 Genoa | Serie A |
Out and doubtful
Genoa
- L. Venturino (out)
Como
- J. Addai (out)
- M. Kean (out)
Other matches in this competition
- Atalanta 1-0 BolognaAug 31, 2026
- Fiorentina 1-2 TorinoSep 5, 2026
- Inter 3-2 NapoliSep 5, 2026
- AS Roma 2-1 AtalantaSep 5, 2026
- Frosinone 3-2 VeneziaSep 6, 2026
- Parma 1-1 MonzaSep 6, 2026
- Bologna 2-2 SassuoloSep 6, 2026
- Juventus 1-1 AC MilanSep 6, 2026
- Cagliari 1-0 LecceSep 7, 2026
- Udinese 1-2 LazioSep 7, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the Genoa vs Como prediction?
Before the match, our AI gave Genoa a 6% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Como 76%. Como are therefore favourites. Final score: 1-4.
What is the most likely correct score for Genoa vs Como?
0-1 (19.5%), followed by 0-2 (18.9%), 0-3 (12.2%), 0-0 (10.0%) and 1-1 (7.0%).
Will both teams score in Genoa vs Como?
The probability that both Genoa and Como score is 26%. Genoa have a 14% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Como 70%.
How many goals should we expect in Genoa vs Como?
The model expects 2.30 goals (0.36 for Genoa, 1.94 for Como). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 67%, over 2.5 goals 40%, over 3.5 goals 20%.
When and where is Genoa vs Como played?
Friday, September 4, 2026 at 19:45 (UK time), Serie A, matchday 3. Venue: Luigi Ferraris, Genova.
What form are Genoa and Como in?
Genoa: 1 win, 0 draws and 4 defeats in their last 5 matches (5 scored, 15 conceded). Como: 1 win, 4 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches (6 scored, 5 conceded).
What is the head-to-head record between Genoa and Como?
In the last 2 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Genoa, 1 for Como and 1 draw. The most recent ended Genoa 0-2 Como (Apr 26, 2026).
What was the Genoa vs Como result, and was the prediction right?
Final score: Genoa 1-4 Como. The 1X2 prediction came good: victory for Como was the model's favourite outcome (76%). The model considered this score unlikely (2.1%). On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (26%): missed; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (40%): missed.
How is the Genoa vs Como prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (0.36 for Genoa, 1.94 for Como) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.