Serie B· Kick-off : Sunday, November 8, 2026, 16:15 (UK time)
Carrarese vs Sampdoria: 0-1 result and AI prediction review
Review: prediction vs result
Final score: Carrarese 0-1 Sampdoria. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Carrarese (69%), while victory for Sampdoria was rated at only 12%. The final score ranked 9th among the most likely scorelines (4.0%), behind 2-0. On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (49%): correct; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (58%): missed.
Match analysis
Carrarese and Sampdoria met on Sunday, November 8, 2026, a Serie B, matchday 11 fixture. Venue: Stadio dei Marmi, Carrara. Before kick-off, our model gave Carrarese a 69% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Sampdoria 12%. On the correct score, 2-0 comes out on top (11.9%), followed by 1-0 (10.8%) and 2-1 (9.7%).
Over their last 5 matches, Carrarese have 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats, scoring 7 and conceding 7. Sampdoria have won just one of their last 5 matches (1 draw, 3 defeats), scoring 5 and conceding 9. Carrarese therefore arrive in far better shape than Sampdoria. On average Carrarese score 1.40 and concede 1.40 goals per game; Sampdoria score 1.00 and concede 1.80. In the table, Carrarese sit 16th with 10 points from 10 games, Sampdoria 19th with 8 points from 10. The two teams are close in the standings. Over their recent games, Carrarese have averaged 1.67 xG (expected goals) per match, against 1.07 for Sampdoria.
In the last 2 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Carrarese, 1 for Sampdoria and 0 draws. The most recent ended Carrarese 2-0 Sampdoria (Mar 18, 2026). In double chance terms, "Carrarese or draw" stands at 88%, "Sampdoria or draw" at 31% and "no draw" at 81%.
In short : Carrarese are favourites for this Carrarese v Sampdoria, with a 69% win probability from our model. In the table, Carrarese (16th, 10 pts) host Sampdoria (19th, 8 pts). Our model's most likely scoreline: 2-0.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Carrarese – Sampdoria. 2-0 is the single most likely scoreline (11.9%); the 5 scores below add up to 50% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Carrarese 2-0 Sampdoria | 11.9% |
| Carrarese 1-0 Sampdoria | 10.8% |
| Carrarese 2-1 Sampdoria | 9.7% |
| Carrarese 1-1 Sampdoria | 8.8% |
| Carrarese 3-0 Sampdoria | 8.7% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
With 2.20 expected goals for Carrarese and 0.81 for Sampdoria, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 58% and "both teams to score" at 49%. Carrarese keep a clean sheet in 45% of scenarios, Sampdoria in 11%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Carrarese expected goals | 2.20 |
| Sampdoria expected goals | 0.81 |
| Both teams to score | 49% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 80% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 58% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 36% |
| Carrarese clean sheet | 45% |
| Sampdoria clean sheet | 11% |
Recent form
Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.
Carrarese
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Hellas Verona · Serie B | 0-3 | L |
| Oct 28, 2026 | Arezzo · Serie B | 2-1 | W |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Palermo · Serie B | 1-2 | L |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Modena · Serie B | 2-1 | W |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Padova · Serie B | 2-0 | W |
Sampdoria
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Virtus Entella · Serie B | 2-0 | W |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Ascoli · Serie B | 0-2 | L |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Sudtirol · Serie B | 1-1 | D |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Arezzo · Serie B | 1-2 | L |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Avellino · Serie B | 1-4 | L |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Carrarese | 16 | 10 | 10 |
| Sampdoria | 19 | 8 | 10 |
Head-to-head
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2026 | Carrarese 2-0 Sampdoria | Serie B |
| Dec 7, 2025 | Sampdoria 3-2 Carrarese | Serie B |
Out and doubtful
Carrarese
No absences reported.
Sampdoria
No absences reported.
Most regular starters
Carrarese
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- Fabio Abiuso3/5
- Fabio Ruggeri3/5
- Filippo Oliana3/5
- Filippo Reale3/5
- Gabriele Parlanti3/5
- Jonas Rouhi3/5
- Matthias Braunöder3/5
- Nicolas Schiavi3/5
- Semuel Pizzignacco3/5
- F. Abiuso2/5
- F. Oliana2/5
Sampdoria
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- A. Makoumbou4/5
- F. Delli Carri4/5
- L. Henderson4/5
- M. Cicconi4/5
- Y. Verschaeren4/5
- A. Di Pardo3/5
- Andrey Krastev3/5
- O. Abildgaard3/5
- T. Lauritsen3/5
- P. Vindahl2/5
- S. Gartenmann2/5
Other matches in this competition
- Ascoli 1-1 PalermoNov 6, 2026
- Padova 2-2 EmpoliNov 7, 2026
- Pisa 2-2 SudtirolNov 7, 2026
- Cesena 1-0 CatanzaroNov 7, 2026
- Juve Stabia 1-0 ArezzoNov 7, 2026
- Mantova 0-0 Hellas VeronaNov 7, 2026
- Benevento 1-1 AvellinoNov 7, 2026
- Virtus Entella 0-2 ModenaNov 8, 2026
- Vicenza Virtus 1-4 CremoneseNov 8, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the Carrarese vs Sampdoria prediction?
Before the match, our AI gave Carrarese a 69% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Sampdoria 12%. Carrarese are therefore favourites. Final score: 0-1.
What is the most likely correct score for Carrarese vs Sampdoria?
2-0 (11.9%), followed by 1-0 (10.8%), 2-1 (9.7%), 1-1 (8.8%) and 3-0 (8.7%).
Will both teams score in Carrarese vs Sampdoria?
The probability that both Carrarese and Sampdoria score is 49%. Carrarese have a 45% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Sampdoria 11%.
How many goals should we expect in Carrarese vs Sampdoria?
The model expects 3.01 goals (2.20 for Carrarese, 0.81 for Sampdoria). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 80%, over 2.5 goals 58%, over 3.5 goals 36%.
When and where is Carrarese vs Sampdoria played?
Sunday, November 8, 2026 at 16:15 (UK time), Serie B, matchday 11. Venue: Stadio dei Marmi, Carrara.
What form are Carrarese and Sampdoria in?
Carrarese: 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (7 scored, 7 conceded). Sampdoria: 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches (5 scored, 9 conceded).
What is the head-to-head record between Carrarese and Sampdoria?
In the last 2 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Carrarese, 1 for Sampdoria and 0 draws. The most recent ended Carrarese 2-0 Sampdoria (Mar 18, 2026).
What was the Carrarese vs Sampdoria result, and was the prediction right?
Final score: Carrarese 0-1 Sampdoria. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Carrarese (69%), while victory for Sampdoria was rated at only 12%. The final score ranked 9th among the most likely scorelines (4.0%), behind 2-0. On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (49%): correct; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (58%): missed.
How is the Carrarese vs Sampdoria prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (2.20 for Carrarese, 0.81 for Sampdoria) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All Carrarese predictions
- All Sampdoria predictions
- Serie B predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology