Serie B· Kick-off : Saturday, November 7, 2026, 14:00 (UK time)
Pisa vs Sudtirol: 2-2 result and AI prediction review
Review: prediction vs result
Final score: Pisa 2-2 Sudtirol. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Pisa (68%), while a draw was rated at only 18%. The final score ranked 7th among the most likely scorelines (5.0%), behind 2-1. On goals, the model expected both teams to score (59%): correct; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (68%): correct.
Match analysis
Pisa and Sudtirol met on Saturday, November 7, 2026, a Serie B, matchday 11 fixture. Venue: Arena Garibaldi, Pizza. Before kick-off, our model gave Pisa a 68% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Sudtirol 14%. On the correct score, 2-1 comes out on top (9.5%), followed by 2-0 (9.1%) and 3-1 (7.8%).
Over their last 5 matches, Pisa have 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat, scoring 10 and conceding 7. Sudtirol have not won any of their last 5 matches (3 draws, 2 defeats), scoring 2 and conceding 7. Pisa therefore arrive in far better shape than Sudtirol. On average Pisa score 2.00 and concede 1.40 goals per game; Sudtirol score 0.40 and concede 1.40. In the table, Pisa sit 8th with 15 points from 10 games, Sudtirol 10th with 14 points from 10. The two teams are close in the standings. Over their recent games, Pisa have averaged 2.01 xG (expected goals) per match, against 1.28 for Sudtirol.
Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Pisa and Sudtirol: the prediction relies on each team's form and level. In double chance terms, "Pisa or draw" stands at 86%, "Sudtirol or draw" at 32% and "no draw" at 82%.
In short : Pisa are tipped by our AI model in this Pisa v Sudtirol (68%). In the table, Pisa (8th, 15 pts) host Sudtirol (10th, 14 pts). Our model's most likely scoreline: 2-1.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Pisa – Sudtirol. 2-1 is the single most likely scoreline (9.5%); the 5 scores below add up to 42% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Pisa 2-1 Sudtirol | 9.5% |
| Pisa 2-0 Sudtirol | 9.1% |
| Pisa 3-1 Sudtirol | 7.8% |
| Pisa 1-1 Sudtirol | 7.8% |
| Pisa 3-0 Sudtirol | 7.4% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
With 2.45 expected goals for Pisa and 1.05 for Sudtirol, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 68% and "both teams to score" at 59%. Goals look likely in this one. Pisa keep a clean sheet in 35% of scenarios, Sudtirol in 9%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Pisa expected goals | 2.45 |
| Sudtirol expected goals | 1.05 |
| Both teams to score | 59% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 86% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 68% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 46% |
| Pisa clean sheet | 35% |
| Sudtirol clean sheet | 9% |
Recent form
Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.
Pisa
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Avellino · Serie B | 0-2 | L |
| Oct 28, 2026 | Palermo · Serie B | 3-3 | D |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Hellas Verona · Serie B | 1-1 | D |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Cremonese · Serie B | 3-1 | W |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Vicenza Virtus · Serie B | 3-0 | W |
Sudtirol
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Cesena · Serie B | 1-1 | D |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Padova · Serie B | 0-2 | L |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Sampdoria · Serie B | 1-1 | D |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Juve Stabia · Serie B | 0-3 | L |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Ascoli · Serie B | 0-0 | D |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pisa | 8 | 15 | 10 |
| Sudtirol | 10 | 14 | 10 |
Head-to-head
Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Pisa and Sudtirol: the prediction relies on each team's form and level.
Out and doubtful
Pisa
No absences reported.
Sudtirol
No absences reported.
Most regular starters
Pisa
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- A. Confente3/5
- A. Primasso3/5
- F. Pittarello3/5
- O. Correia3/5
- S. Angori3/5
- S. Moreo3/5
- S. Zanon3/5
- A. Calabresi2/5
- Alessandro Confente2/5
- Andrea Primasso2/5
- Arturo Calabresi2/5
Sudtirol
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- A. Giorgini3/5
- A. Plizzari3/5
- Fabio Rispoli3/5
- R. Stivanello3/5
- S. Molina3/5
- S. Tronchin3/5
- Vasco Lopes3/5
- A. Okoro2/5
- A. Vasic2/5
- Alessandro Plizzari2/5
- Aljoša Vasić2/5
Other matches in this competition
- Ascoli 1-1 PalermoNov 6, 2026
- Padova 2-2 EmpoliNov 7, 2026
- Cesena 1-0 CatanzaroNov 7, 2026
- Juve Stabia 1-0 ArezzoNov 7, 2026
- Mantova 0-0 Hellas VeronaNov 7, 2026
- Benevento 1-1 AvellinoNov 7, 2026
- Virtus Entella 0-2 ModenaNov 8, 2026
- Carrarese 0-1 SampdoriaNov 8, 2026
- Vicenza Virtus 1-4 CremoneseNov 8, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the Pisa vs Sudtirol prediction?
Before the match, our AI gave Pisa a 68% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Sudtirol 14%. Pisa are therefore favourites. Final score: 2-2.
What is the most likely correct score for Pisa vs Sudtirol?
2-1 (9.5%), followed by 2-0 (9.1%), 3-1 (7.8%), 1-1 (7.8%) and 3-0 (7.4%).
Will both teams score in Pisa vs Sudtirol?
The probability that both Pisa and Sudtirol score is 59%. Pisa have a 35% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Sudtirol 9%.
How many goals should we expect in Pisa vs Sudtirol?
The model expects 3.50 goals (2.45 for Pisa, 1.05 for Sudtirol). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 86%, over 2.5 goals 68%, over 3.5 goals 46%.
When and where is Pisa vs Sudtirol played?
Saturday, November 7, 2026 at 14:00 (UK time), Serie B, matchday 11. Venue: Arena Garibaldi, Pizza.
What form are Pisa and Sudtirol in?
Pisa: 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (10 scored, 7 conceded). Sudtirol: 0 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (2 scored, 7 conceded).
What was the Pisa vs Sudtirol result, and was the prediction right?
Final score: Pisa 2-2 Sudtirol. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Pisa (68%), while a draw was rated at only 18%. The final score ranked 7th among the most likely scorelines (5.0%), behind 2-1. On goals, the model expected both teams to score (59%): correct; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (68%): correct.
How is the Pisa vs Sudtirol prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (2.45 for Pisa, 1.05 for Sudtirol) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.