Serie B· Kick-off : Sunday, November 8, 2026, 18:30 (UK time)
Vicenza Virtus vs Cremonese: 1-4 result and AI prediction review
Review: prediction vs result
Final score: Vicenza Virtus 1-4 Cremonese. The 1X2 prediction came good: victory for Cremonese was the model's favourite outcome (42%). The model considered this score unlikely (1.1%). On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (46%): missed; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (40%): missed.
Match analysis
Vicenza Virtus vs Cremonese was played on Sunday, November 8, 2026 (Serie B, matchday 11). Venue: Stadio Romeo Menti, Vicenza. Before kick-off, our model gave Vicenza Virtus a 30% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Cremonese 42%. The most likely correct score is 1-1 (13.1%), ahead of 0-1 (13.0%) and 1-0 (10.3%).
Vicenza Virtus have won just one of their last 5 matches (1 draw, 3 defeats), scoring 6 and conceding 10. Over their last 5 matches, Cremonese have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats, scoring 5 and conceding 4. On recent form, there is little to separate the two teams. On average Vicenza Virtus score 1.20 and concede 2.00 goals per game; Cremonese score 1.00 and concede 0.80. In the table, Vicenza Virtus sit 17th with 9 points from 10 games, Cremonese 13th with 12 points from 10. The two teams are close in the standings. Over their recent games, Vicenza Virtus have averaged 1.07 xG (expected goals) per match, against 1.19 for Cremonese.
Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Vicenza Virtus and Cremonese: the prediction relies on each team's form and level. In double chance terms, "Vicenza Virtus or draw" stands at 58%, "Cremonese or draw" at 70% and "no draw" at 72%.
In short : Our model backs Cremonese to edge Vicenza Virtus (42% probability). On recent form, Vicenza Virtus have 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses in 5 while Cremonese have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses in 5. The model leans towards a tight, low-scoring game.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Vicenza Virtus – Cremonese. 1-1 is the single most likely scoreline (13.1%); the 5 scores below add up to 55% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Vicenza Virtus 1-1 Cremonese | 13.1% |
| Vicenza Virtus 0-1 Cremonese | 13.0% |
| Vicenza Virtus 1-0 Cremonese | 10.3% |
| Vicenza Virtus 0-0 Cremonese | 10.2% |
| Vicenza Virtus 1-2 Cremonese | 8.3% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
The model expects 2.28 goals in total (1.01 for Vicenza Virtus, 1.27 for Cremonese): over 2.5 goals has a 40% probability and both teams to score 46%. A tight, low-scoring game is on the cards. Vicenza Virtus keep a clean sheet in 28% of scenarios, Cremonese in 36%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Vicenza Virtus expected goals | 1.01 |
| Cremonese expected goals | 1.27 |
| Both teams to score | 46% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 67% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 40% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 20% |
| Vicenza Virtus clean sheet | 28% |
| Cremonese clean sheet | 36% |
Recent form
Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.
Vicenza Virtus
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Palermo · Serie B | 1-3 | L |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Modena · Serie B | 1-2 | L |
| Oct 23, 2026 | Empoli · Serie B | 2-0 | W |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Benevento · Serie B | 2-2 | D |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Pisa · Serie B | 0-3 | L |
Cremonese
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Benevento · Serie B | 2-0 | W |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Mantova · Serie B | 2-0 | W |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Juve Stabia · Serie B | 0-1 | L |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Pisa · Serie B | 1-3 | L |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Arezzo · Serie B | 0-0 | D |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Vicenza Virtus | 17 | 9 | 10 |
| Cremonese | 13 | 12 | 10 |
Head-to-head
Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Vicenza Virtus and Cremonese: the prediction relies on each team's form and level.
Out and doubtful
Vicenza Virtus
No absences reported.
Cremonese
No absences reported.
Most regular starters
Vicenza Virtus
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- Giulio Pellizzari3/5
- Riccardo Gagno3/5
- Riccardo Marchizza3/5
- A. Bellemo2/5
- A. Papetti2/5
- Alessandro Bellemo2/5
- Andrea Papetti2/5
- Loris Zonta2/5
- M. Valoti2/5
- N. Brighenti2/5
- Nicolò Brighenti2/5
Cremonese
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- A. Fulignati3/5
- F. Baschirotto3/5
- J. Vandeputte3/5
- M. Thorsby3/5
- S. Elia3/5
- T. Berti3/5
- Alberto Grassi2/5
- Andrea Fulignati2/5
- F. Bonazzoli2/5
- Federico Baschirotto2/5
- G. Pezzella2/5
Other matches in this competition
- Ascoli 1-1 PalermoNov 6, 2026
- Padova 2-2 EmpoliNov 7, 2026
- Pisa 2-2 SudtirolNov 7, 2026
- Cesena 1-0 CatanzaroNov 7, 2026
- Juve Stabia 1-0 ArezzoNov 7, 2026
- Mantova 0-0 Hellas VeronaNov 7, 2026
- Benevento 1-1 AvellinoNov 7, 2026
- Virtus Entella 0-2 ModenaNov 8, 2026
- Carrarese 0-1 SampdoriaNov 8, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the Vicenza Virtus vs Cremonese prediction?
Before the match, our AI gave Vicenza Virtus a 30% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Cremonese 42%. Cremonese are therefore slight favourites. Final score: 1-4.
What is the most likely correct score for Vicenza Virtus vs Cremonese?
1-1 (13.1%), followed by 0-1 (13.0%), 1-0 (10.3%), 0-0 (10.2%) and 1-2 (8.3%).
Will both teams score in Vicenza Virtus vs Cremonese?
The probability that both Vicenza Virtus and Cremonese score is 46%. Vicenza Virtus have a 28% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Cremonese 36%.
How many goals should we expect in Vicenza Virtus vs Cremonese?
The model expects 2.28 goals (1.01 for Vicenza Virtus, 1.27 for Cremonese). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 67%, over 2.5 goals 40%, over 3.5 goals 20%.
When and where is Vicenza Virtus vs Cremonese played?
Sunday, November 8, 2026 at 18:30 (UK time), Serie B, matchday 11. Venue: Stadio Romeo Menti, Vicenza.
What form are Vicenza Virtus and Cremonese in?
Vicenza Virtus: 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches (6 scored, 10 conceded). Cremonese: 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (5 scored, 4 conceded).
What was the Vicenza Virtus vs Cremonese result, and was the prediction right?
Final score: Vicenza Virtus 1-4 Cremonese. The 1X2 prediction came good: victory for Cremonese was the model's favourite outcome (42%). The model considered this score unlikely (1.1%). On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (46%): missed; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (40%): missed.
How is the Vicenza Virtus vs Cremonese prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.01 for Vicenza Virtus, 1.27 for Cremonese) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All Vicenza Virtus predictions
- All Cremonese predictions
- Serie B predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology