Serie B· Kick-off : Saturday, November 7, 2026, 16:15 (UK time)
Mantova vs Hellas Verona: 0-0 result and AI prediction review
Review: prediction vs result
Final score: Mantova 0-0 Hellas Verona. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Mantova (56%), while a draw was rated at only 22%. The final score ranked 10th among the most likely scorelines (4.2%), behind 1-1. On goals, the model expected both teams to score (60%): missed; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (61%): missed.
Match analysis
Mantova and Hellas Verona met on Saturday, November 7, 2026, a Serie B, matchday 11 fixture. Venue: Stadio Danilo Martelli, Mantova. Before kick-off, our model gave Mantova a 56% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Hellas Verona 22%. On the correct score, 1-1 comes out on top (9.9%), followed by 2-1 (9.8%) and 1-0 (8.4%).
Over their last 5 matches, Mantova have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats, scoring 5 and conceding 6. Over their last 5 matches, Hellas Verona have 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat, scoring 9 and conceding 6. Both sides come in with similar form. On average Mantova score 1.00 and concede 1.20 goals per game; Hellas Verona score 1.80 and concede 1.20. In the table, Mantova sit 4th with 18 points from 10 games, Hellas Verona 7th with 15 points from 10. The two teams are close in the standings. Over their recent games, Mantova have averaged 1.64 xG (expected goals) per match, against 1.42 for Hellas Verona.
Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Mantova and Hellas Verona: the prediction relies on each team's form and level. In double chance terms, "Mantova or draw" stands at 78%, "Hellas Verona or draw" at 44% and "no draw" at 78%.
In short : Mantova are favourites for this Mantova v Hellas Verona, with a 56% win probability from our model. On recent form, Mantova have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses in 5 while Hellas Verona have 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss in 5. Our model's most likely scoreline: 1-1.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Mantova – Hellas Verona. 1-1 is the single most likely scoreline (9.9%); the 5 scores below add up to 43% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Mantova 1-1 Hellas Verona | 9.9% |
| Mantova 2-1 Hellas Verona | 9.8% |
| Mantova 1-0 Hellas Verona | 8.4% |
| Mantova 2-0 Hellas Verona | 8.4% |
| Mantova 3-1 Hellas Verona | 6.5% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
With 1.99 expected goals for Mantova and 1.17 for Hellas Verona, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 61% and "both teams to score" at 60%. Goals look likely in this one. Mantova keep a clean sheet in 31% of scenarios, Hellas Verona in 14%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Mantova expected goals | 1.99 |
| Hellas Verona expected goals | 1.17 |
| Both teams to score | 60% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 82% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 61% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 39% |
| Mantova clean sheet | 31% |
| Hellas Verona clean sheet | 14% |
Recent form
Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.
Mantova
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Modena · Serie B | 1-1 | D |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Cremonese · Serie B | 0-2 | L |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Virtus Entella · Serie B | 1-0 | W |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Palermo · Serie B | 0-2 | L |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Catanzaro · Serie B | 3-1 | W |
Hellas Verona
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Carrarese · Serie B | 3-0 | W |
| Oct 28, 2026 | Juve Stabia · Serie B | 1-0 | W |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Pisa · Serie B | 1-1 | D |
| Oct 16, 2026 | Catanzaro · Serie B | 2-2 | D |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Modena · Serie B | 2-3 | L |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mantova | 4 | 18 | 10 |
| Hellas Verona | 7 | 15 | 10 |
Head-to-head
Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Mantova and Hellas Verona: the prediction relies on each team's form and level.
Out and doubtful
Mantova
No absences reported.
Hellas Verona
No absences reported.
Most regular starters
Mantova
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- A. Castellini3/5
- B. Tomašević3/5
- E. Gliozzi3/5
- F. Bardi3/5
- F. Benaissa-Yahia3/5
- F. Ruocco3/5
- S. Cella3/5
- S. Trimboli3/5
- Tommaso Del Lungo3/5
- Alessio Castellini2/5
- Bodin Tomašević2/5
Hellas Verona
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- Amin Sarr3/5
- Andrea Le Borgne3/5
- Dailon Rocha Livramento3/5
- Daniel Mosquera3/5
- Davide De Battisti3/5
- Edoardo Iannoni3/5
- Gabriele Zappa3/5
- Simone Perilli3/5
- A. Bernede2/5
- A. Edmundsson2/5
- Andrias Edmundsson2/5
Other matches in this competition
- Ascoli 1-1 PalermoNov 6, 2026
- Padova 2-2 EmpoliNov 7, 2026
- Pisa 2-2 SudtirolNov 7, 2026
- Cesena 1-0 CatanzaroNov 7, 2026
- Juve Stabia 1-0 ArezzoNov 7, 2026
- Benevento 1-1 AvellinoNov 7, 2026
- Virtus Entella 0-2 ModenaNov 8, 2026
- Carrarese 0-1 SampdoriaNov 8, 2026
- Vicenza Virtus 1-4 CremoneseNov 8, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the Mantova vs Hellas Verona prediction?
Before the match, our AI gave Mantova a 56% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Hellas Verona 22%. Mantova are therefore favourites. Final score: 0-0.
What is the most likely correct score for Mantova vs Hellas Verona?
1-1 (9.9%), followed by 2-1 (9.8%), 1-0 (8.4%), 2-0 (8.4%) and 3-1 (6.5%).
Will both teams score in Mantova vs Hellas Verona?
The probability that both Mantova and Hellas Verona score is 60%. Mantova have a 31% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Hellas Verona 14%.
How many goals should we expect in Mantova vs Hellas Verona?
The model expects 3.16 goals (1.99 for Mantova, 1.17 for Hellas Verona). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 82%, over 2.5 goals 61%, over 3.5 goals 39%.
When and where is Mantova vs Hellas Verona played?
Saturday, November 7, 2026 at 16:15 (UK time), Serie B, matchday 11. Venue: Stadio Danilo Martelli, Mantova.
What form are Mantova and Hellas Verona in?
Mantova: 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (5 scored, 6 conceded). Hellas Verona: 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (9 scored, 6 conceded).
What was the Mantova vs Hellas Verona result, and was the prediction right?
Final score: Mantova 0-0 Hellas Verona. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Mantova (56%), while a draw was rated at only 22%. The final score ranked 10th among the most likely scorelines (4.2%), behind 1-1. On goals, the model expected both teams to score (60%): missed; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (61%): missed.
How is the Mantova vs Hellas Verona prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.99 for Mantova, 1.17 for Hellas Verona) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All Mantova predictions
- All Hellas Verona predictions
- Serie B predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology