Serie B· Kick-off : Saturday, November 7, 2026, 14:00 (UK time)
Cesena vs Catanzaro: 1-0 result and AI prediction review
Review: prediction vs result
Final score: Cesena 1-0 Catanzaro. The 1X2 prediction came good: victory for Cesena was the model's favourite outcome (64%). The final score ranked 2nd among the most likely scorelines (11.2%), behind 2-0. On goals, the model expected both teams to score (51%): missed; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (55%): missed.
Match analysis
Cesena vs Catanzaro was played on Saturday, November 7, 2026 (Serie B, matchday 11). Venue: Dino Manuzzi, Cesena. Before kick-off, our model gave Cesena a 64% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Catanzaro 15%. The most likely correct score is 2-0 (11.3%), ahead of 1-0 (11.2%) and 2-1 (9.9%).
Cesena have won just one of their last 5 matches (2 draws, 2 defeats), scoring 4 and conceding 8. Catanzaro have not won any of their last 5 matches (3 draws, 2 defeats), scoring 6 and conceding 13. On recent form, there is little to separate the two teams. On average Cesena score 0.80 and concede 1.60 goals per game; Catanzaro score 1.20 and concede 2.60. In the table, Cesena sit 12th with 12 points from 10 games, Catanzaro 20th with 6 points from 10. 8 places separate the two sides. Over their recent games, Cesena have averaged 1.42 xG (expected goals) per match, against 1.24 for Catanzaro.
In the last 2 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Cesena, 1 for Catanzaro and 0 draws. The most recent ended Cesena 3-1 Catanzaro (Mar 21, 2026). In double chance terms, "Cesena or draw" stands at 85%, "Catanzaro or draw" at 36% and "no draw" at 79%.
In short : Cesena are tipped by our AI model in this Cesena v Catanzaro (64%). On recent form, Cesena have 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses in 5 while Catanzaro have 0 win, 3 draws and 2 losses in 5. Our model's most likely scoreline: 2-0.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Cesena – Catanzaro. 2-0 is the single most likely scoreline (11.3%); the 5 scores below add up to 50% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Cesena 2-0 Catanzaro | 11.3% |
| Cesena 1-0 Catanzaro | 11.2% |
| Cesena 2-1 Catanzaro | 9.9% |
| Cesena 1-1 Catanzaro | 9.7% |
| Cesena 3-0 Catanzaro | 7.7% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
The model expects 2.90 goals in total (2.03 for Cesena, 0.87 for Catanzaro): over 2.5 goals has a 55% probability and both teams to score 51%. Cesena keep a clean sheet in 42% of scenarios, Catanzaro in 13%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Cesena expected goals | 2.03 |
| Catanzaro expected goals | 0.87 |
| Both teams to score | 51% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 79% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 55% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 33% |
| Cesena clean sheet | 42% |
| Catanzaro clean sheet | 13% |
Recent form
Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.
Cesena
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Sudtirol · Serie B | 1-1 | D |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Empoli · Serie B | 2-1 | W |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Modena · Serie B | 0-3 | L |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Avellino · Serie B | 1-1 | D |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Benevento · Serie B | 0-2 | L |
Catanzaro
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Padova · Serie B | 1-1 | D |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Benevento · Serie B | 1-1 | D |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Ascoli · Serie B | 1-6 | L |
| Oct 16, 2026 | Hellas Verona · Serie B | 2-2 | D |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Mantova · Serie B | 1-3 | L |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cesena | 12 | 12 | 10 |
| Catanzaro | 20 | 6 | 10 |
Head-to-head
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2026 | Cesena 3-1 Catanzaro | Serie B |
| Dec 27, 2025 | Catanzaro 2-0 Cesena | Serie B |
Out and doubtful
Cesena
No absences reported.
Catanzaro
No absences reported.
Most regular starters
Cesena
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- A. Siano3/5
- C. Shpendi3/5
- G. Frabotta3/5
- A. Ciofi2/5
- A. Fiori2/5
- Alessandro Siano2/5
- Andrea Ciofi2/5
- Cristian Shpendi2/5
- D. Bisoli2/5
- Dimitri Bisoli2/5
- E. Bohinen2/5
Catanzaro
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- Matias Antonini5/5
- Jacopo Petriccione3/5
- Marco Imperiale3/5
- Marco Ruggero3/5
- Mirko Pigliacelli3/5
- Pietro Iemmello3/5
- A. Candela2/5
- Antonio Candela2/5
- F. Tchaouna2/5
- Federico Di Francesco2/5
- G. Alesi2/5
Other matches in this competition
- Ascoli 1-1 PalermoNov 6, 2026
- Padova 2-2 EmpoliNov 7, 2026
- Pisa 2-2 SudtirolNov 7, 2026
- Juve Stabia 1-0 ArezzoNov 7, 2026
- Mantova 0-0 Hellas VeronaNov 7, 2026
- Benevento 1-1 AvellinoNov 7, 2026
- Virtus Entella 0-2 ModenaNov 8, 2026
- Carrarese 0-1 SampdoriaNov 8, 2026
- Vicenza Virtus 1-4 CremoneseNov 8, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the Cesena vs Catanzaro prediction?
Before the match, our AI gave Cesena a 64% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Catanzaro 15%. Cesena are therefore favourites. Final score: 1-0.
What is the most likely correct score for Cesena vs Catanzaro?
2-0 (11.3%), followed by 1-0 (11.2%), 2-1 (9.9%), 1-1 (9.7%) and 3-0 (7.7%).
Will both teams score in Cesena vs Catanzaro?
The probability that both Cesena and Catanzaro score is 51%. Cesena have a 42% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Catanzaro 13%.
How many goals should we expect in Cesena vs Catanzaro?
The model expects 2.90 goals (2.03 for Cesena, 0.87 for Catanzaro). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 79%, over 2.5 goals 55%, over 3.5 goals 33%.
When and where is Cesena vs Catanzaro played?
Saturday, November 7, 2026 at 14:00 (UK time), Serie B, matchday 11. Venue: Dino Manuzzi, Cesena.
What form are Cesena and Catanzaro in?
Cesena: 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (4 scored, 8 conceded). Catanzaro: 0 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (6 scored, 13 conceded).
What is the head-to-head record between Cesena and Catanzaro?
In the last 2 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Cesena, 1 for Catanzaro and 0 draws. The most recent ended Cesena 3-1 Catanzaro (Mar 21, 2026).
What was the Cesena vs Catanzaro result, and was the prediction right?
Final score: Cesena 1-0 Catanzaro. The 1X2 prediction came good: victory for Cesena was the model's favourite outcome (64%). The final score ranked 2nd among the most likely scorelines (11.2%), behind 2-0. On goals, the model expected both teams to score (51%): missed; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (55%): missed.
How is the Cesena vs Catanzaro prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (2.03 for Cesena, 0.87 for Catanzaro) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All Cesena predictions
- All Catanzaro predictions
- Serie B predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology