Serie B· Kick-off : Sunday, November 8, 2026, 14:00 (UK time)
Virtus Entella vs Modena: 0-2 result and AI prediction review
Review: prediction vs result
Final score: Virtus Entella 0-2 Modena. The 1X2 prediction came good: victory for Modena was the model's favourite outcome (40%). The final score ranked 5th among the most likely scorelines (8.5%), behind 0-1. On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (38%): correct; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (30%): correct.
Match analysis
Virtus Entella vs Modena was played on Sunday, November 8, 2026 (Serie B, matchday 11). Venue: Stadio Comunale, Chiavari. Before kick-off, our model gave Virtus Entella a 28% chance of winning, the draw 31% and Modena 40%. The most likely correct score is 0-1 (15.7%), ahead of 0-0 (14.5%) and 1-1 (13.3%).
Virtus Entella have won just one of their last 5 matches (2 draws, 2 defeats), scoring 4 and conceding 6. Over their last 5 matches, Modena have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat, scoring 10 and conceding 6. Recent momentum is clearly with Modena. On average Virtus Entella score 0.80 and concede 1.20 goals per game; Modena score 2.00 and concede 1.20. In the table, Virtus Entella sit 15th with 10 points from 10 games, Modena 3rd with 20 points from 10. 12 places separate the two sides. Over their recent games, Virtus Entella have averaged 1.12 xG (expected goals) per match, against 1.61 for Modena.
In the last 4 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 2 wins for Virtus Entella, 2 for Modena and 0 draws. The most recent ended Virtus Entella 2-1 Modena (Mar 3, 2026). In double chance terms, "Virtus Entella or draw" stands at 60%, "Modena or draw" at 72% and "no draw" at 69%.
In short : Modena are tipped by our AI model in this Virtus Entella v Modena (40%). In the table, Virtus Entella (15th, 10 pts) host Modena (3rd, 20 pts). Our model's most likely scoreline: 0-1.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Virtus Entella – Modena. 0-1 is the single most likely scoreline (15.7%); the 5 scores below add up to 64% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Virtus Entella 0-1 Modena | 15.7% |
| Virtus Entella 0-0 Modena | 14.5% |
| Virtus Entella 1-1 Modena | 13.3% |
| Virtus Entella 1-0 Modena | 12.3% |
| Virtus Entella 0-2 Modena | 8.5% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
The model expects 1.93 goals in total (0.85 for Virtus Entella, 1.08 for Modena): over 2.5 goals has a 30% probability and both teams to score 38%. A tight, low-scoring game is on the cards. Virtus Entella keep a clean sheet in 34% of scenarios, Modena in 43%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Virtus Entella expected goals | 0.85 |
| Modena expected goals | 1.08 |
| Both teams to score | 38% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 58% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 30% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 13% |
| Virtus Entella clean sheet | 34% |
| Modena clean sheet | 43% |
Recent form
Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.
Virtus Entella
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Sampdoria · Serie B | 0-2 | L |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Avellino · Serie B | 1-1 | D |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Mantova · Serie B | 0-1 | L |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Padova · Serie B | 2-1 | W |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Juve Stabia · Serie B | 1-1 | D |
Modena
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Mantova · Serie B | 1-1 | D |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Vicenza Virtus · Serie B | 2-1 | W |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Cesena · Serie B | 3-0 | W |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Carrarese · Serie B | 1-2 | L |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Hellas Verona · Serie B | 3-2 | W |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Virtus Entella | 15 | 10 | 10 |
| Modena | 3 | 20 | 10 |
Head-to-head
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2026 | Virtus Entella 2-1 Modena | Serie B |
| Oct 5, 2025 | Modena 2-0 Virtus Entella | Serie B |
| Jan 30, 2022 | Virtus Entella 0-2 Modena | Serie C - Girone B |
| Sep 25, 2021 | Modena 1-2 Virtus Entella | Serie C - Girone B |
Out and doubtful
Virtus Entella
No absences reported.
Modena
No absences reported.
Most regular starters
Virtus Entella
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- Stefano Di Mario5/5
- A. Franzoni3/5
- A. Tiritiello3/5
- Bernat Guiu3/5
- M. Alborghetti3/5
- N. Squizzato3/5
- Andrea Franzoni2/5
- Andrea Tiritiello2/5
- F. Del Frate2/5
- F. Mezzoni2/5
- Federico Del Frate2/5
Modena
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- Paulo Azzi4/5
- A. Belotti3/5
- A. Bianco3/5
- B. Nieling3/5
- F. Folino3/5
- G. Ambrosino3/5
- L. Chichizola3/5
- S. Nador3/5
- Alessandro Bianco2/5
- Bryant Nieling2/5
- Daniel Tonoli2/5
Other matches in this competition
- Ascoli 1-1 PalermoNov 6, 2026
- Padova 2-2 EmpoliNov 7, 2026
- Pisa 2-2 SudtirolNov 7, 2026
- Cesena 1-0 CatanzaroNov 7, 2026
- Juve Stabia 1-0 ArezzoNov 7, 2026
- Mantova 0-0 Hellas VeronaNov 7, 2026
- Benevento 1-1 AvellinoNov 7, 2026
- Carrarese 0-1 SampdoriaNov 8, 2026
- Vicenza Virtus 1-4 CremoneseNov 8, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the Virtus Entella vs Modena prediction?
Before the match, our AI gave Virtus Entella a 28% chance of winning, the draw 31% and Modena 40%. Modena are therefore slight favourites. Final score: 0-2.
What is the most likely correct score for Virtus Entella vs Modena?
0-1 (15.7%), followed by 0-0 (14.5%), 1-1 (13.3%), 1-0 (12.3%) and 0-2 (8.5%).
Will both teams score in Virtus Entella vs Modena?
The probability that both Virtus Entella and Modena score is 38%. Virtus Entella have a 34% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Modena 43%.
How many goals should we expect in Virtus Entella vs Modena?
The model expects 1.93 goals (0.85 for Virtus Entella, 1.08 for Modena). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 58%, over 2.5 goals 30%, over 3.5 goals 13%.
When and where is Virtus Entella vs Modena played?
Sunday, November 8, 2026 at 14:00 (UK time), Serie B, matchday 11. Venue: Stadio Comunale, Chiavari.
What form are Virtus Entella and Modena in?
Virtus Entella: 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (4 scored, 6 conceded). Modena: 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (10 scored, 6 conceded).
What is the head-to-head record between Virtus Entella and Modena?
In the last 4 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 2 wins for Virtus Entella, 2 for Modena and 0 draws. The most recent ended Virtus Entella 2-1 Modena (Mar 3, 2026).
What was the Virtus Entella vs Modena result, and was the prediction right?
Final score: Virtus Entella 0-2 Modena. The 1X2 prediction came good: victory for Modena was the model's favourite outcome (40%). The final score ranked 5th among the most likely scorelines (8.5%), behind 0-1. On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (38%): correct; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (30%): correct.
How is the Virtus Entella vs Modena prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (0.85 for Virtus Entella, 1.08 for Modena) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All Virtus Entella predictions
- All Modena predictions
- Serie B predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology