Brasileirão Série B· Kick-off : Sunday, September 27, 2026, 20:00 (UK time)
CRB vs Cuiaba: 3-0 result and AI prediction review
Review: prediction vs result
Final score: CRB 3-0 Cuiaba. The AI called the outcome correctly: it rated victory for CRB at 52%. The final score ranked 9th among the most likely scorelines (5.2%), behind 1-1. On goals, the model expected both teams to score (51%): missed; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (50%): missed.
Match analysis
CRB and Cuiaba met on Sunday, September 27, 2026, a Brasileirão Série B, matchday 30 fixture. Venue: Estádio Rei Pelé, Maceio. Before kick-off, our model gave CRB a 52% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Cuiaba 23%. On the correct score, 1-1 comes out on top (11.7%), followed by 1-0 (11.5%) and 2-1 (9.6%).
Over their last 5 matches, CRB have 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats, scoring 7 and conceding 7. Over their last 5 matches, Cuiaba have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat, scoring 9 and conceding 4. Both sides come in with similar form. On average CRB score 1.40 and concede 1.40 goals per game; Cuiaba score 1.80 and concede 0.80. In the table, CRB sit 8th with 45 points from 29 games, Cuiaba 10th with 43 points from 29. The two teams are close in the standings.
In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for CRB, 3 for Cuiaba and 1 draw. The most recent ended Cuiaba 2-0 CRB (Jun 1, 2026). In double chance terms, "CRB or draw" stands at 77%, "Cuiaba or draw" at 48% and "no draw" at 75%.
In short : CRB are favourites for this CRB v Cuiaba, with a 52% win probability from our model. On recent form, CRB have 3 wins, 0 draw and 2 losses in 5 while Cuiaba have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss in 5. Our model's most likely scoreline: 1-1.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as CRB – Cuiaba. 1-1 is the single most likely scoreline (11.7%); the 5 scores below add up to 49% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| CRB 1-1 Cuiaba | 11.7% |
| CRB 1-0 Cuiaba | 11.5% |
| CRB 2-1 Cuiaba | 9.6% |
| CRB 2-0 Cuiaba | 9.5% |
| CRB 0-1 Cuiaba | 7.1% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
With 1.65 expected goals for CRB and 1.01 for Cuiaba, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 50% and "both teams to score" at 51%. CRB keep a clean sheet in 36% of scenarios, Cuiaba in 19%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| CRB expected goals | 1.65 |
| Cuiaba expected goals | 1.01 |
| Both teams to score | 51% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 74% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 28% |
| CRB clean sheet | 36% |
| Cuiaba clean sheet | 19% |
Recent form
Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.
CRB
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2026 | Ponte Preta · Brasileirão Série B | 0-1 | L |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Sport Recife · Brasileirão Série B | 2-1 | W |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Operario-PR · Brasileirão Série B | 0-3 | L |
| Sep 5, 2026 | America Mineiro · Brasileirão Série B | 3-1 | W |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Criciuma · Brasileirão Série B | 2-1 | W |
Cuiaba
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 22, 2026 | Nautico Recife · Brasileirão Série B | 3-0 | W |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Novorizontino · Brasileirão Série B | 1-1 | D |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Athletic Club · Brasileirão Série B | 3-0 | W |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Criciuma · Brasileirão Série B | 0-2 | L |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Botafogo SP · Brasileirão Série B | 2-1 | W |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| CRB | 8 | 45 | 29 |
| Cuiaba | 10 | 43 | 29 |
Head-to-head
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 1, 2026 | Cuiaba 2-0 CRB | Serie B |
| Sep 9, 2025 | Cuiaba 1-0 CRB | Serie B |
| May 6, 2025 | CRB 1-1 Cuiaba | Serie B |
| Jan 29, 2021 | CRB 4-1 Cuiaba | Serie B |
| Nov 1, 2020 | Cuiaba 3-0 CRB | Serie B |
Out and doubtful
CRB
No absences reported.
Cuiaba
No absences reported.
Most regular starters
CRB
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- Lyncon5/5
- Mikael5/5
- Pedro Castro5/5
- Vitor Caetano5/5
- Bressan4/5
- Kevin4/5
- Reverson4/5
- Crystopher3/5
- Dadá Belmonte3/5
- Daniel3/5
- Thiaguinho3/5
Cuiaba
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- Jean Dias5/5
- Lorenzo5/5
- Raul5/5
- David Miguel4/5
- Vitor Mendes4/5
- Fábio Gomes3/5
- Igor Inocêncio3/5
- João Basso3/5
- João Carlos3/5
- Kauan3/5
- Calebe2/5
Other matches in this competition
- Novorizontino 0-0 São BernardoSep 25, 2026
- Vila Nova 2-0 LondrinaSep 26, 2026
- Nautico Recife 3-1 Sport RecifeSep 26, 2026
- Operario-PR 2-2 CearaSep 26, 2026
- Goias 0-1 Atletico GoianienseSep 26, 2026
- Criciuma 3-0 AvaiSep 27, 2026
- Fortaleza EC 2-2 Athletic ClubSep 27, 2026
- America Mineiro 0-1 JuventudeSep 28, 2026
- Botafogo SP 2-0 Ponte PretaSep 29, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the CRB vs Cuiaba prediction?
Before the match, our AI gave CRB a 52% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Cuiaba 23%. CRB are therefore favourites. Final score: 3-0.
What is the most likely correct score for CRB vs Cuiaba?
1-1 (11.7%), followed by 1-0 (11.5%), 2-1 (9.6%), 2-0 (9.5%) and 0-1 (7.1%).
Will both teams score in CRB vs Cuiaba?
The probability that both CRB and Cuiaba score is 51%. CRB have a 36% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Cuiaba 19%.
How many goals should we expect in CRB vs Cuiaba?
The model expects 2.66 goals (1.65 for CRB, 1.01 for Cuiaba). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 74%, over 2.5 goals 50%, over 3.5 goals 28%.
When and where is CRB vs Cuiaba played?
Sunday, September 27, 2026 at 20:00 (UK time), Brasileirão Série B, matchday 30. Venue: Estádio Rei Pelé, Maceio.
What form are CRB and Cuiaba in?
CRB: 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (7 scored, 7 conceded). Cuiaba: 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (9 scored, 4 conceded).
What is the head-to-head record between CRB and Cuiaba?
In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for CRB, 3 for Cuiaba and 1 draw. The most recent ended Cuiaba 2-0 CRB (Jun 1, 2026).
What was the CRB vs Cuiaba result, and was the prediction right?
Final score: CRB 3-0 Cuiaba. The AI called the outcome correctly: it rated victory for CRB at 52%. The final score ranked 9th among the most likely scorelines (5.2%), behind 1-1. On goals, the model expected both teams to score (51%): missed; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (50%): missed.
How is the CRB vs Cuiaba prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.65 for CRB, 1.01 for Cuiaba) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All CRB predictions
- All Cuiaba predictions
- Brasileirão Série B predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology