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Brasileirão Série BBrasileirão Série B· Kick-off : Sunday, September 27, 2026, 20:00 (UK time)

CRB vs Cuiaba prediction: correct score and AI tips

Match analysis

Brasileirão Série B, matchday 30: the CRB vs Cuiaba match is scheduled on Sunday, September 27, 2026 at 20:00 (UK time). Venue: Estádio Rei Pelé, Maceio. CRB start as favourites with a 52% chance of victory; Cuiaba are given 23% and the draw 25%. On the correct score, 1-1 comes out on top (11.7%), followed by 1-0 (11.5%) and 2-1 (9.6%).

Over their last 5 matches, CRB have 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats, scoring 7 and conceding 7. Over their last 5 matches, Cuiaba have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat, scoring 9 and conceding 4. Both sides come in with similar form. On average CRB score 1.40 and concede 1.40 goals per game; Cuiaba score 1.80 and concede 0.80. In the table, CRB sit 8th with 45 points from 29 games, Cuiaba 10th with 43 points from 29. The two teams are close in the standings.

In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for CRB, 1 for Cuiaba and 0 draws. The most recent ended Cuiaba 2-0 CRB (Jun 1, 2026). In double chance terms, "CRB or draw" stands at 77%, "Cuiaba or draw" at 48% and "no draw" at 75%.

In short : CRB are favourites for this CRB v Cuiaba, with a 52% win probability from our model. On recent form, CRB have 3 wins, 0 draw and 2 losses in 5 while Cuiaba have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss in 5. Our model's most likely scoreline: 1-1.

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

52%
CRB (Win)
25%
Draw
23%
Cuiaba (Win)

Double chance

77%
CRB or draw
48%
Cuiaba or draw
75%
No draw

Most likely correct scores

Scores shown as CRB – Cuiaba. 1-1 is the single most likely scoreline (11.7%); the 5 scores below add up to 49% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.

ScoreProbability
CRB 1-1 Cuiaba11.7%
CRB 1-0 Cuiaba11.5%
CRB 2-1 Cuiaba9.6%
CRB 2-0 Cuiaba9.5%
CRB 0-1 Cuiaba7.1%

Goals: both teams to score, over/under

With 1.65 expected goals for CRB and 1.01 for Cuiaba, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 50% and "both teams to score" at 51%. CRB keep a clean sheet in 36% of scenarios, Cuiaba in 19%.

Probability
CRB expected goals1.65
Cuiaba expected goals1.01
Both teams to score51%
Over 1.5 goals74%
Over 2.5 goals50%
Over 3.5 goals28%
CRB clean sheet36%
Cuiaba clean sheet19%

Recent form

Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.

CRB

DateOpponentScore
Sep 20, 2026Ponte Preta · Brasileirão Série B0-1L
Sep 16, 2026Sport Recife · Brasileirão Série B2-1W
Sep 10, 2026Operario-PR · Brasileirão Série B0-3L
Sep 5, 2026America Mineiro · Brasileirão Série B3-1W
Aug 30, 2026Criciuma · Brasileirão Série B2-1W

Cuiaba

DateOpponentScore
Sep 22, 2026Nautico Recife · Brasileirão Série B3-0W
Sep 13, 2026Novorizontino · Brasileirão Série B1-1D
Sep 9, 2026Athletic Club · Brasileirão Série B3-0W
Sep 4, 2026Criciuma · Brasileirão Série B0-2L
Aug 29, 2026Botafogo SP · Brasileirão Série B2-1W

Standings before the match

Pos.PointsPlayed
CRB84529
Cuiaba104329

Head-to-head

DateScoreCompetition
Jun 1, 2026Cuiaba 2-0 CRBBrasileirão Série B

Out and doubtful

CRB

No absences reported.

Cuiaba

No absences reported.

Most regular starters

CRB

Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).

  • Lyncon5/5
  • Mikael5/5
  • Pedro Castro5/5
  • Vitor Caetano5/5
  • Bressan4/5
  • Kevin4/5
  • Reverson4/5
  • Crystopher3/5
  • Dadá Belmonte3/5
  • Daniel3/5
  • Thiaguinho3/5

Cuiaba

Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).

  • Jean Dias5/5
  • Lorenzo5/5
  • Raul5/5
  • David Miguel4/5
  • Vitor Mendes4/5
  • Fábio Gomes3/5
  • Igor Inocêncio3/5
  • João Basso3/5
  • João Carlos3/5
  • Kauan3/5
  • Calebe2/5

First detailed prediction free, no card required.

See the full prediction (scenario, scorers, half-time)

Other matches in this competition

Frequently asked questions

What is the CRB vs Cuiaba prediction?

Our AI gives CRB a 52% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Cuiaba 23%. CRB are therefore favourites.

What is the most likely correct score for CRB vs Cuiaba?

1-1 (11.7%), followed by 1-0 (11.5%), 2-1 (9.6%), 2-0 (9.5%) and 0-1 (7.1%).

Will both teams score in CRB vs Cuiaba?

The probability that both CRB and Cuiaba score is 51%. CRB have a 36% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Cuiaba 19%.

How many goals should we expect in CRB vs Cuiaba?

The model expects 2.66 goals (1.65 for CRB, 1.01 for Cuiaba). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 74%, over 2.5 goals 50%, over 3.5 goals 28%.

When and where is CRB vs Cuiaba played?

Sunday, September 27, 2026 at 20:00 (UK time), Brasileirão Série B, matchday 30. Venue: Estádio Rei Pelé, Maceio.

What form are CRB and Cuiaba in?

CRB: 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (7 scored, 7 conceded). Cuiaba: 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (9 scored, 4 conceded).

What is the head-to-head record between CRB and Cuiaba?

In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for CRB, 1 for Cuiaba and 0 draws. The most recent ended Cuiaba 2-0 CRB (Jun 1, 2026).

How is the CRB vs Cuiaba prediction calculated?

The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.65 for CRB, 1.01 for Cuiaba) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.

Go further

Key terms explained