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Brasileirão Série BBrasileirão Série B· Kick-off : Saturday, September 26, 2026, 20:30 (UK time)

Operario-PR vs Ceara prediction: correct score and AI tips

Operario-PROperario-PR–CearaCeara

Match analysis

Brasileirão Série B, matchday 30: Operario-PR vs Ceara kicks off on Saturday, September 26, 2026 at 20:30 (UK time). Venue: Estadio Germano Kruger, Punta Grossa. With a 63% win probability, Operario-PR go in as strong favourites against Ceara (16%), with the draw rated at 21%. The most likely correct score is 1-0 (11.8%), ahead of 2-0 (11.6%) and 1-1 (10.0%).

Operario-PR are unbeaten in their last 5 matches (3 wins, 2 draws), scoring 11 and conceding 5. Over their last 5 matches, Ceara have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats, scoring 6 and conceding 7. Recent momentum is clearly with Operario-PR. On average Operario-PR score 2.20 and concede 1.00 goals per game; Ceara score 1.20 and concede 1.40. In the table, Operario-PR sit 5th with 47 points from 29 games, Ceara 15th with 35 points from 29. 10 places separate the two sides.

In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Operario-PR, 0 for Ceara and 0 draws. The most recent ended Ceara 1-2 Operario-PR (May 31, 2026). In double chance terms, "Operario-PR or draw" stands at 84%, "Ceara or draw" at 37% and "no draw" at 79%.

In short : Operario-PR are tipped by our AI model in this Operario-PR v Ceara (63%). On recent form, Operario-PR have 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses in 5 while Ceara have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses in 5. Our model's most likely scoreline: 1-0.

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

63%
Operario-PR (Win)
21%
Draw
16%
Ceara (Win)

Double chance

84%
Operario-PR or draw
37%
Ceara or draw
79%
No draw

Most likely correct scores

Scores shown as Operario-PR – Ceara. 1-0 is the single most likely scoreline (11.8%); the 5 scores below add up to 51% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.

ScoreProbability
Operario-PR 1-0 Ceara11.8%
Operario-PR 2-0 Ceara11.6%
Operario-PR 1-1 Ceara10.0%
Operario-PR 2-1 Ceara9.8%
Operario-PR 3-0 Ceara7.6%

Goals: both teams to score, over/under

The model expects 2.81 goals in total (1.96 for Operario-PR, 0.85 for Ceara): over 2.5 goals has a 53% probability and both teams to score 49%. Operario-PR keep a clean sheet in 43% of scenarios, Ceara in 14%.

Probability
Operario-PR expected goals1.96
Ceara expected goals0.85
Both teams to score49%
Over 1.5 goals77%
Over 2.5 goals53%
Over 3.5 goals31%
Operario-PR clean sheet43%
Ceara clean sheet14%

Recent form

Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.

Operario-PR

DateOpponentScore
Sep 22, 2026Criciuma · Brasileirão Série B2-0W
Sep 15, 2026Nautico Recife · Brasileirão Série B3-3D
Sep 10, 2026CRB · Brasileirão Série B3-0W
Sep 6, 2026Londrina · Brasileirão Série B2-1W
Aug 31, 2026Fortaleza EC · Brasileirão Série B1-1D

Ceara

DateOpponentScore
Sep 19, 2026Novorizontino · Brasileirão Série B2-1W
Sep 13, 2026Fortaleza EC · Brasileirão Série B1-1D
Sep 10, 2026Atletico Goianiense · Brasileirão Série B1-2L
Sep 5, 2026Sport Recife · Brasileirão Série B2-1W
Aug 30, 2026Vila Nova · Brasileirão Série B0-2L

Standings before the match

Pos.PointsPlayed
Operario-PR54729
Ceara153529

Head-to-head

DateScoreCompetition
May 31, 2026Ceara 1-2 Operario-PRBrasileirão Série B

Out and doubtful

Operario-PR

No absences reported.

Ceara

No absences reported.

Most regular starters

Operario-PR

Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).

  • Boschilia5/5
  • Joseph5/5
  • Vagner5/5
  • Matheus Trindade4/5
  • Moraes4/5
  • Á. Quiñones3/5
  • J. Cuenú3/5
  • Mikael Doka3/5
  • Vinícius Diniz3/5
  • A. Torres2/5
  • Caio Dantas2/5

Ceara

Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).

  • Richard8/5
  • Joao Gabriel5/5
  • Luiz Otávio5/5
  • Júlio3/5
  • Sanchez3/5
  • Vinicius Zanocelo3/5
  • Bryan2/5
  • Enzo2/5
  • Gabriel Rocha2/5
  • Julio Cesar2/5
  • Luiz Otavio2/5

First detailed prediction free, no card required.

See the full prediction (scenario, scorers, half-time)

Other matches in this competition

Frequently asked questions

What is the Operario-PR vs Ceara prediction?

Our AI gives Operario-PR a 63% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Ceara 16%. Operario-PR are therefore favourites.

What is the most likely correct score for Operario-PR vs Ceara?

1-0 (11.8%), followed by 2-0 (11.6%), 1-1 (10.0%), 2-1 (9.8%) and 3-0 (7.6%).

Will both teams score in Operario-PR vs Ceara?

The probability that both Operario-PR and Ceara score is 49%. Operario-PR have a 43% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Ceara 14%.

How many goals should we expect in Operario-PR vs Ceara?

The model expects 2.81 goals (1.96 for Operario-PR, 0.85 for Ceara). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 77%, over 2.5 goals 53%, over 3.5 goals 31%.

When and where is Operario-PR vs Ceara played?

Saturday, September 26, 2026 at 20:30 (UK time), Brasileirão Série B, matchday 30. Venue: Estadio Germano Kruger, Punta Grossa.

What form are Operario-PR and Ceara in?

Operario-PR: 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches (11 scored, 5 conceded). Ceara: 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (6 scored, 7 conceded).

What is the head-to-head record between Operario-PR and Ceara?

In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Operario-PR, 0 for Ceara and 0 draws. The most recent ended Ceara 1-2 Operario-PR (May 31, 2026).

How is the Operario-PR vs Ceara prediction calculated?

The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.96 for Operario-PR, 0.85 for Ceara) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.

Go further

Key terms explained