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Brasileirão Série BBrasileirão Série B· Kick-off : Saturday, September 26, 2026, 00:30 (UK time)

Vila Nova vs Londrina prediction: correct score and AI tips

Vila NovaVila Nova–LondrinaLondrina

Match analysis

Brasileirão Série B, matchday 30: the Vila Nova vs Londrina match is scheduled on Saturday, September 26, 2026 at 00:30 (UK time). Venue: Estadio Onesio Brasileiro Alvarenga, Goiania. Our model makes Vila Nova clear favourites: a 60% chance of winning, against 25% for the draw and 15% for Londrina. On the correct score, 1-0 comes out on top (17.2%), followed by 2-0 (13.5%) and 1-1 (11.0%).

Over their last 5 matches, Vila Nova have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat, scoring 6 and conceding 6. Over their last 5 matches, Londrina have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats, scoring 10 and conceding 5. Vila Nova therefore arrive in far better shape than Londrina. On average Vila Nova score 1.20 and concede 1.20 goals per game; Londrina score 2.00 and concede 1.00. In the table, Vila Nova sit 1st with 51 points from 29 games, Londrina 18th with 28 points from 29. 17 places separate the two sides.

In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Vila Nova, 0 for Londrina and 0 draws. The most recent ended Londrina 0-1 Vila Nova (May 31, 2026). In double chance terms, "Vila Nova or draw" stands at 85%, "Londrina or draw" at 40% and "no draw" at 75%.

In short : Vila Nova are favourites for this Vila Nova v Londrina, with a 60% win probability from our model. In the table, Vila Nova (1st, 51 pts) host Londrina (18th, 28 pts). Our model's most likely scoreline: 1-0.

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

60%
Vila Nova (Win)
25%
Draw
15%
Londrina (Win)

Double chance

85%
Vila Nova or draw
40%
Londrina or draw
75%
No draw

Most likely correct scores

Scores shown as Vila Nova – Londrina. 1-0 is the single most likely scoreline (17.2%); the 5 scores below add up to 61% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.

ScoreProbability
Vila Nova 1-0 Londrina17.2%
Vila Nova 2-0 Londrina13.5%
Vila Nova 1-1 Londrina11.0%
Vila Nova 0-0 Londrina11.0%
Vila Nova 2-1 Londrina8.7%

Goals: both teams to score, over/under

With 1.57 expected goals for Vila Nova and 0.64 for Londrina, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 38% and "both teams to score" at 37%. Few goals are expected here. Vila Nova keep a clean sheet in 53% of scenarios, Londrina in 21%.

Probability
Vila Nova expected goals1.57
Londrina expected goals0.64
Both teams to score37%
Over 1.5 goals65%
Over 2.5 goals38%
Over 3.5 goals18%
Vila Nova clean sheet53%
Londrina clean sheet21%

Recent form

Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.

Vila Nova

DateOpponentScore
Sep 18, 2026America Mineiro · Brasileirão Série B1-0W
Sep 15, 2026Avai · Brasileirão Série B1-1D
Sep 10, 2026Goias · Brasileirão Série B2-0W
Sep 5, 2026Athletic Club · Brasileirão Série B0-5L
Aug 30, 2026Ceara · Brasileirão Série B2-0W

Londrina

DateOpponentScore
Sep 20, 2026Fortaleza EC · Brasileirão Série B1-2L
Sep 15, 2026Ponte Preta · Brasileirão Série B6-0W
Sep 10, 2026São Bernardo · Brasileirão Série B2-1W
Sep 6, 2026Operario-PR · Brasileirão Série B1-2L
Sep 1, 2026Juventude · Brasileirão Série B0-0D

Standings before the match

Pos.PointsPlayed
Vila Nova15129
Londrina182829

Head-to-head

DateScoreCompetition
May 31, 2026Londrina 0-1 Vila NovaBrasileirão Série B

Out and doubtful

Vila Nova

No absences reported.

Londrina

No absences reported.

Most regular starters

Vila Nova

Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).

  • Helton Leite5/5
  • Janderson5/5
  • Marquinhos Gabriel5/5
  • Dudu4/5
  • Everton Galdino4/5
  • Hayner4/5
  • André Luís3/5
  • Douglas Mendes3/5
  • João Vieira3/5
  • Jonathan Costa3/5
  • Willian Formiga3/5

Londrina

Starts over the last 4 matches (official line-ups).

  • Guilherme Dantas4/4
  • Wallace4/4
  • Caio Rodrigues3/4
  • Gabriel Lacerda3/4
  • Mauricio Kozlinski3/4
  • Gilberto2/4
  • Herbert2/4
  • Heron2/4
  • Igor Bahia2/4
  • João Coni2/4
  • João Vitor2/4

First detailed prediction free, no card required.

See the full prediction (scenario, scorers, half-time)

Other matches in this competition

Frequently asked questions

What is the Vila Nova vs Londrina prediction?

Our AI gives Vila Nova a 60% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Londrina 15%. Vila Nova are therefore favourites.

What is the most likely correct score for Vila Nova vs Londrina?

1-0 (17.2%), followed by 2-0 (13.5%), 1-1 (11.0%), 0-0 (11.0%) and 2-1 (8.7%).

Will both teams score in Vila Nova vs Londrina?

The probability that both Vila Nova and Londrina score is 37%. Vila Nova have a 53% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Londrina 21%.

How many goals should we expect in Vila Nova vs Londrina?

The model expects 2.21 goals (1.57 for Vila Nova, 0.64 for Londrina). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 65%, over 2.5 goals 38%, over 3.5 goals 18%.

When and where is Vila Nova vs Londrina played?

Saturday, September 26, 2026 at 00:30 (UK time), Brasileirão Série B, matchday 30. Venue: Estadio Onesio Brasileiro Alvarenga, Goiania.

What form are Vila Nova and Londrina in?

Vila Nova: 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (6 scored, 6 conceded). Londrina: 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (10 scored, 5 conceded).

What is the head-to-head record between Vila Nova and Londrina?

In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Vila Nova, 0 for Londrina and 0 draws. The most recent ended Londrina 0-1 Vila Nova (May 31, 2026).

How is the Vila Nova vs Londrina prediction calculated?

The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.57 for Vila Nova, 0.64 for Londrina) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.

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Key terms explained