Brasileirão Série B· Kick-off : Sunday, September 27, 2026, 15:00 (UK time)
Criciuma vs Avai prediction: correct score and AI tips
Match analysis
Brasileirão Série B, matchday 30: Criciuma vs Avai kicks off on Sunday, September 27, 2026 at 15:00 (UK time). Venue: Estadio Heriberto Hülse, Chrissyuma. Our model makes Criciuma clear favourites: a 67% chance of winning, against 20% for the draw and 13% for Avai. On the correct score, 2-0 comes out on top (12.1%), followed by 1-0 (11.7%) and 2-1 (9.7%).
Criciuma have won just one of their last 5 matches (0 draws, 4 defeats), scoring 3 and conceding 10. Avai have not won any of their last 5 matches (1 draw, 4 defeats), scoring 3 and conceding 8. Both sides come in with similar form. On average Criciuma score 0.60 and concede 2.00 goals per game; Avai score 0.60 and concede 1.60. In the table, Criciuma sit 6th with 47 points from 29 games, Avai 17th with 30 points from 29. 11 places separate the two sides.
In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Criciuma, 0 for Avai and 0 draws. The most recent ended Avai 1-2 Criciuma (May 30, 2026). In double chance terms, "Criciuma or draw" stands at 87%, "Avai or draw" at 33% and "no draw" at 80%.
In short : Our model backs Criciuma to edge Avai (67% probability). In the table, Criciuma (6th, 47 pts) host Avai (17th, 30 pts). Both teams could find the net (BTTS at 48%).
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Criciuma – Avai. 2-0 is the single most likely scoreline (12.1%); the 5 scores below add up to 51% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Criciuma 2-0 Avai | 12.1% |
| Criciuma 1-0 Avai | 11.7% |
| Criciuma 2-1 Avai | 9.7% |
| Criciuma 1-1 Avai | 9.3% |
| Criciuma 3-0 Avai | 8.4% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
With 2.08 expected goals for Criciuma and 0.80 for Avai, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 55% and "both teams to score" at 48%. Criciuma keep a clean sheet in 45% of scenarios, Avai in 13%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Criciuma expected goals | 2.08 |
| Avai expected goals | 0.80 |
| Both teams to score | 48% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 78% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 55% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 33% |
| Criciuma clean sheet | 45% |
| Avai clean sheet | 13% |
Recent form
Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.
Criciuma
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 22, 2026 | Operario-PR · Brasileirão Série B | 0-2 | L |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Atletico Goianiense · Brasileirão Série B | 0-4 | L |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Juventude · Brasileirão Série B | 0-2 | L |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Cuiaba · Brasileirão Série B | 2-0 | W |
| Aug 30, 2026 | CRB · Brasileirão Série B | 1-2 | L |
Avai
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2026 | Goias · Brasileirão Série B | 1-2 | L |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Vila Nova · Brasileirão Série B | 1-1 | D |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Fortaleza EC · Brasileirão Série B | 0-1 | L |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Novorizontino · Brasileirão Série B | 1-3 | L |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Atletico Goianiense · Brasileirão Série B | 0-1 | L |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Criciuma | 6 | 47 | 29 |
| Avai | 17 | 30 | 29 |
Head-to-head
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 30, 2026 | Avai 1-2 Criciuma | Brasileirão Série B |
Out and doubtful
Criciuma
No absences reported.
Avai
No absences reported.
Most regular starters
Criciuma
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- Airton5/5
- Marcelo Hermes5/5
- Rodrigo5/5
- Waguininho5/5
- R. Otero4/5
- César Martins3/5
- Luciano Castán3/5
- Ronald3/5
- Willean Lepo3/5
- Bruno Alves2/5
- Cesar Martins2/5
Avai
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- Allyson5/5
- Jean Lucas5/5
- Paulo Vitor5/5
- Reynaldo5/5
- Bruno Ferreira4/5
- Zé Ricardo3/5
- Caio Suassuna Gonçalves Ferreira2/5
- Daniel Penha2/5
- DG2/5
- Douglas Teixeira2/5
- F. Vizeu2/5
First detailed prediction free, no card required.
See the full prediction (scenario, scorers, half-time)Other matches in this competition
- Novorizontino – São BernardoSep 25, 2026
- Vila Nova – LondrinaSep 26, 2026
- Nautico Recife – Sport RecifeSep 26, 2026
- Operario-PR – CearaSep 26, 2026
- Goias – Atletico GoianienseSep 26, 2026
- CRB – CuiabaSep 27, 2026
- Botafogo SP – Ponte PretaSep 29, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the Criciuma vs Avai prediction?
Our AI gives Criciuma a 67% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Avai 13%. Criciuma are therefore favourites.
What is the most likely correct score for Criciuma vs Avai?
2-0 (12.1%), followed by 1-0 (11.7%), 2-1 (9.7%), 1-1 (9.3%) and 3-0 (8.4%).
Will both teams score in Criciuma vs Avai?
The probability that both Criciuma and Avai score is 48%. Criciuma have a 45% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Avai 13%.
How many goals should we expect in Criciuma vs Avai?
The model expects 2.88 goals (2.08 for Criciuma, 0.80 for Avai). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 78%, over 2.5 goals 55%, over 3.5 goals 33%.
When and where is Criciuma vs Avai played?
Sunday, September 27, 2026 at 15:00 (UK time), Brasileirão Série B, matchday 30. Venue: Estadio Heriberto Hülse, Chrissyuma.
What form are Criciuma and Avai in?
Criciuma: 1 win, 0 draws and 4 defeats in their last 5 matches (3 scored, 10 conceded). Avai: 0 wins, 1 draw and 4 defeats in their last 5 matches (3 scored, 8 conceded).
What is the head-to-head record between Criciuma and Avai?
In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Criciuma, 0 for Avai and 0 draws. The most recent ended Avai 1-2 Criciuma (May 30, 2026).
How is the Criciuma vs Avai prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (2.08 for Criciuma, 0.80 for Avai) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All Criciuma predictions
- All Avai predictions
- Brasileirão Série B predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology