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Brasileirão Série BBrasileirão Série B· Kick-off : Monday, September 28, 2026, 23:30 (UK time)

America Mineiro vs Juventude prediction: correct score and AI tips

Match analysis

Brasileirão Série B, matchday 30: America Mineiro vs Juventude kicks off on Monday, September 28, 2026 at 23:30 (UK time). The edge goes to Juventude (49%), ahead of the draw (25%) and a America Mineiro win (26%). The most likely correct score is 1-1 (12.1%), ahead of 0-1 (11.3%) and 1-2 (9.4%).

Over their last 5 matches, America Mineiro have 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats, scoring 5 and conceding 7. Over their last 5 matches, Juventude have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats, scoring 5 and conceding 5. On recent form, there is little to separate the two teams. On average America Mineiro score 1.00 and concede 1.40 goals per game; Juventude score 1.00 and concede 1.00. In the table, America Mineiro sit 19th with 17 points from 29 games, Juventude 4th with 50 points from 29. 15 places separate the two sides.

In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for America Mineiro, 1 for Juventude and 0 draws. The most recent ended Juventude 3-0 America Mineiro (May 30, 2026). In double chance terms, "America Mineiro or draw" stands at 51%, "Juventude or draw" at 74% and "no draw" at 75%.

In short : Our model backs Juventude to edge America Mineiro (49% probability). In the table, America Mineiro (19th, 17 pts) host Juventude (4th, 50 pts). Both teams could find the net (BTTS at 52%).

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

26%
America Mineiro (Win)
25%
Draw
49%
Juventude (Win)

Double chance

51%
America Mineiro or draw
74%
Juventude or draw
75%
No draw

Most likely correct scores

Scores shown as America Mineiro – Juventude. 1-1 is the single most likely scoreline (12.1%); the 5 scores below add up to 49% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.

ScoreProbability
America Mineiro 1-1 Juventude12.1%
America Mineiro 0-1 Juventude11.3%
America Mineiro 1-2 Juventude9.4%
America Mineiro 0-2 Juventude8.7%
America Mineiro 1-0 Juventude7.8%

Goals: both teams to score, over/under

The model expects 2.62 goals in total (1.07 for America Mineiro, 1.55 for Juventude): over 2.5 goals has a 49% probability and both teams to score 52%. America Mineiro keep a clean sheet in 21% of scenarios, Juventude in 34%.

Probability
America Mineiro expected goals1.07
Juventude expected goals1.55
Both teams to score52%
Over 1.5 goals74%
Over 2.5 goals49%
Over 3.5 goals27%
America Mineiro clean sheet21%
Juventude clean sheet34%

Recent form

Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.

America Mineiro

DateOpponentScore
Sep 18, 2026Vila Nova · Brasileirão Série B0-1L
Sep 14, 2026São Bernardo · Brasileirão Série B0-2L
Sep 10, 2026Nautico Recife · Brasileirão Série B2-1W
Sep 5, 2026CRB · Brasileirão Série B1-3L
Aug 30, 2026Ponte Preta · Brasileirão Série B2-0W

Juventude

DateOpponentScore
Aug 4, 2026Atletico-MG · Copa do Brasil0-1L
Aug 1, 2026Atletico-MG · Copa do Brasil0-0D
Jul 28, 2026Avai · Brasileirão Série B1-0W
Jul 24, 2026Botafogo SP · Brasileirão Série B2-4L
Jul 17, 2026Cuiaba · Brasileirão Série B2-0W

Standings before the match

Pos.PointsPlayed
America Mineiro191729
Juventude45029

Head-to-head

DateScoreCompetition
May 30, 2026Juventude 3-0 America MineiroBrasileirão Série B

Out and doubtful

America Mineiro

No absences reported.

Juventude

No absences reported.

Most regular starters

America Mineiro

Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).

  • Guilherme Parede5/5
  • Otavio Goncalves5/5
  • Paulo Victor5/5
  • T. Ostchega5/5
  • Ricardo Silva4/5
  • Bruno Brígido3/5
  • Cesar Leme Do Nascimento Julio3/5
  • Fábio Almeida3/5
  • Rafael Barcelos3/5
  • Willian3/5
  • Alex Silva2/5

Juventude

Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).

  • Marcos Paulo6/5
  • Alisson Safira5/5
  • Jandrei5/5
  • Patryck5/5
  • Fabio Lima4/5
  • Lucas Mineiro4/5
  • MP4/5
  • Rai Silva3/5
  • Rodrigo Sam3/5
  • Aderlan2/5
  • Gabriel Pinheiro2/5

First detailed prediction free, no card required.

See the full prediction (scenario, scorers, half-time)

Other matches in this competition

Frequently asked questions

What is the America Mineiro vs Juventude prediction?

Our AI gives America Mineiro a 26% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Juventude 49%. Juventude are therefore favourites.

What is the most likely correct score for America Mineiro vs Juventude?

1-1 (12.1%), followed by 0-1 (11.3%), 1-2 (9.4%), 0-2 (8.7%) and 1-0 (7.8%).

Will both teams score in America Mineiro vs Juventude?

The probability that both America Mineiro and Juventude score is 52%. America Mineiro have a 21% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Juventude 34%.

How many goals should we expect in America Mineiro vs Juventude?

The model expects 2.62 goals (1.07 for America Mineiro, 1.55 for Juventude). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 74%, over 2.5 goals 49%, over 3.5 goals 27%.

When and where is America Mineiro vs Juventude played?

Monday, September 28, 2026 at 23:30 (UK time), Brasileirão Série B, matchday 30.

What form are America Mineiro and Juventude in?

America Mineiro: 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches (5 scored, 7 conceded). Juventude: 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (5 scored, 5 conceded).

What is the head-to-head record between America Mineiro and Juventude?

In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for America Mineiro, 1 for Juventude and 0 draws. The most recent ended Juventude 3-0 America Mineiro (May 30, 2026).

How is the America Mineiro vs Juventude prediction calculated?

The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.07 for America Mineiro, 1.55 for Juventude) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.

Go further

Key terms explained