Brasileirão Série B· Kick-off : Monday, September 28, 2026, 23:30 (UK time)
America Mineiro vs Juventude prediction: correct score and AI tips
Match analysis
Brasileirão Série B, matchday 30: America Mineiro vs Juventude kicks off on Monday, September 28, 2026 at 23:30 (UK time). The edge goes to Juventude (49%), ahead of the draw (25%) and a America Mineiro win (26%). The most likely correct score is 1-1 (12.1%), ahead of 0-1 (11.3%) and 1-2 (9.4%).
Over their last 5 matches, America Mineiro have 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats, scoring 5 and conceding 7. Over their last 5 matches, Juventude have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats, scoring 5 and conceding 5. On recent form, there is little to separate the two teams. On average America Mineiro score 1.00 and concede 1.40 goals per game; Juventude score 1.00 and concede 1.00. In the table, America Mineiro sit 19th with 17 points from 29 games, Juventude 4th with 50 points from 29. 15 places separate the two sides.
In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for America Mineiro, 1 for Juventude and 0 draws. The most recent ended Juventude 3-0 America Mineiro (May 30, 2026). In double chance terms, "America Mineiro or draw" stands at 51%, "Juventude or draw" at 74% and "no draw" at 75%.
In short : Our model backs Juventude to edge America Mineiro (49% probability). In the table, America Mineiro (19th, 17 pts) host Juventude (4th, 50 pts). Both teams could find the net (BTTS at 52%).
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as America Mineiro – Juventude. 1-1 is the single most likely scoreline (12.1%); the 5 scores below add up to 49% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| America Mineiro 1-1 Juventude | 12.1% |
| America Mineiro 0-1 Juventude | 11.3% |
| America Mineiro 1-2 Juventude | 9.4% |
| America Mineiro 0-2 Juventude | 8.7% |
| America Mineiro 1-0 Juventude | 7.8% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
The model expects 2.62 goals in total (1.07 for America Mineiro, 1.55 for Juventude): over 2.5 goals has a 49% probability and both teams to score 52%. America Mineiro keep a clean sheet in 21% of scenarios, Juventude in 34%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| America Mineiro expected goals | 1.07 |
| Juventude expected goals | 1.55 |
| Both teams to score | 52% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 74% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 49% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 27% |
| America Mineiro clean sheet | 21% |
| Juventude clean sheet | 34% |
Recent form
Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.
America Mineiro
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 18, 2026 | Vila Nova · Brasileirão Série B | 0-1 | L |
| Sep 14, 2026 | São Bernardo · Brasileirão Série B | 0-2 | L |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Nautico Recife · Brasileirão Série B | 2-1 | W |
| Sep 5, 2026 | CRB · Brasileirão Série B | 1-3 | L |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Ponte Preta · Brasileirão Série B | 2-0 | W |
Juventude
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 4, 2026 | Atletico-MG · Copa do Brasil | 0-1 | L |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Atletico-MG · Copa do Brasil | 0-0 | D |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Avai · Brasileirão Série B | 1-0 | W |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Botafogo SP · Brasileirão Série B | 2-4 | L |
| Jul 17, 2026 | Cuiaba · Brasileirão Série B | 2-0 | W |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| America Mineiro | 19 | 17 | 29 |
| Juventude | 4 | 50 | 29 |
Head-to-head
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 30, 2026 | Juventude 3-0 America Mineiro | Brasileirão Série B |
Out and doubtful
America Mineiro
No absences reported.
Juventude
No absences reported.
Most regular starters
America Mineiro
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- Guilherme Parede5/5
- Otavio Goncalves5/5
- Paulo Victor5/5
- T. Ostchega5/5
- Ricardo Silva4/5
- Bruno Brígido3/5
- Cesar Leme Do Nascimento Julio3/5
- Fábio Almeida3/5
- Rafael Barcelos3/5
- Willian3/5
- Alex Silva2/5
Juventude
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- Marcos Paulo6/5
- Alisson Safira5/5
- Jandrei5/5
- Patryck5/5
- Fabio Lima4/5
- Lucas Mineiro4/5
- MP4/5
- Rai Silva3/5
- Rodrigo Sam3/5
- Aderlan2/5
- Gabriel Pinheiro2/5
First detailed prediction free, no card required.
See the full prediction (scenario, scorers, half-time)Other matches in this competition
- Novorizontino – São BernardoSep 25, 2026
- Vila Nova – LondrinaSep 26, 2026
- Nautico Recife – Sport RecifeSep 26, 2026
- Operario-PR – CearaSep 26, 2026
- Goias – Atletico GoianienseSep 26, 2026
- Criciuma – AvaiSep 27, 2026
- CRB – CuiabaSep 27, 2026
- Fortaleza EC – Athletic ClubSep 27, 2026
- Botafogo SP – Ponte PretaSep 29, 2026
- Athletic Club – Sport RecifeOct 2, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the America Mineiro vs Juventude prediction?
Our AI gives America Mineiro a 26% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Juventude 49%. Juventude are therefore favourites.
What is the most likely correct score for America Mineiro vs Juventude?
1-1 (12.1%), followed by 0-1 (11.3%), 1-2 (9.4%), 0-2 (8.7%) and 1-0 (7.8%).
Will both teams score in America Mineiro vs Juventude?
The probability that both America Mineiro and Juventude score is 52%. America Mineiro have a 21% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Juventude 34%.
How many goals should we expect in America Mineiro vs Juventude?
The model expects 2.62 goals (1.07 for America Mineiro, 1.55 for Juventude). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 74%, over 2.5 goals 49%, over 3.5 goals 27%.
When and where is America Mineiro vs Juventude played?
Monday, September 28, 2026 at 23:30 (UK time), Brasileirão Série B, matchday 30.
What form are America Mineiro and Juventude in?
America Mineiro: 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches (5 scored, 7 conceded). Juventude: 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (5 scored, 5 conceded).
What is the head-to-head record between America Mineiro and Juventude?
In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for America Mineiro, 1 for Juventude and 0 draws. The most recent ended Juventude 3-0 America Mineiro (May 30, 2026).
How is the America Mineiro vs Juventude prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.07 for America Mineiro, 1.55 for Juventude) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All America Mineiro predictions
- All Juventude predictions
- Brasileirão Série B predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology

