Brasileirão Série B· Kick-off : Saturday, September 26, 2026, 22:30 (UK time)
Goias vs Atletico Goianiense prediction: correct score and AI tips
Match analysis
Brasileirão Série B, matchday 30: Goias vs Atletico Goianiense kicks off on Saturday, September 26, 2026 at 22:30 (UK time). Venue: Estádio da Serrinha, Goiania. Goias start as favourites with a 48% chance of victory; Atletico Goianiense are given 27% and the draw 25%. On the correct score, 1-1 comes out on top (12.1%), followed by 1-0 (11.2%) and 2-1 (9.3%).
Over their last 5 matches, Goias have 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats, scoring 7 and conceding 6. Over their last 5 matches, Atletico Goianiense have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat, scoring 9 and conceding 4. Both sides come in with similar form. On average Goias score 1.40 and concede 1.20 goals per game; Atletico Goianiense score 1.80 and concede 0.80. In the table, Goias sit 11th with 42 points from 29 games, Atletico Goianiense 7th with 46 points from 29. The two teams are close in the standings.
In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Goias, 0 for Atletico Goianiense and 1 draw. The most recent ended Atletico Goianiense 1-1 Goias (May 30, 2026). In double chance terms, "Goias or draw" stands at 73%, "Atletico Goianiense or draw" at 52% and "no draw" at 75%.
In short : Our model backs Goias to edge Atletico Goianiense (48% probability). In the table, Goias (11th, 42 pts) host Atletico Goianiense (7th, 46 pts). Both teams could find the net (BTTS at 52%).
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Goias – Atletico Goianiense. 1-1 is the single most likely scoreline (12.1%); the 5 scores below add up to 49% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Goias 1-1 Atletico Goianiense | 12.1% |
| Goias 1-0 Atletico Goianiense | 11.2% |
| Goias 2-1 Atletico Goianiense | 9.3% |
| Goias 2-0 Atletico Goianiense | 8.6% |
| Goias 0-1 Atletico Goianiense | 7.9% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
With 1.54 expected goals for Goias and 1.08 for Atletico Goianiense, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 49% and "both teams to score" at 52%. Goias keep a clean sheet in 34% of scenarios, Atletico Goianiense in 21%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Goias expected goals | 1.54 |
| Atletico Goianiense expected goals | 1.08 |
| Both teams to score | 52% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 74% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 49% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 27% |
| Goias clean sheet | 34% |
| Atletico Goianiense clean sheet | 21% |
Recent form
Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.
Goias
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2026 | Avai · Brasileirão Série B | 2-1 | W |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Botafogo SP · Brasileirão Série B | 3-1 | W |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Vila Nova · Brasileirão Série B | 0-2 | L |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Fortaleza EC · Brasileirão Série B | 0-1 | L |
| Aug 28, 2026 | São Bernardo · Brasileirão Série B | 2-1 | W |
Atletico Goianiense
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 2026 | São Bernardo · Brasileirão Série B | 0-1 | L |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Criciuma · Brasileirão Série B | 4-0 | W |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Ceara · Brasileirão Série B | 2-1 | W |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Juventude · Brasileirão Série B | 2-2 | D |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Avai · Brasileirão Série B | 1-0 | W |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goias | 11 | 42 | 29 |
| Atletico Goianiense | 7 | 46 | 29 |
Head-to-head
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 30, 2026 | Atletico Goianiense 1-1 Goias | Brasileirão Série B |
Out and doubtful
Goias
No absences reported.
Atletico Goianiense
No absences reported.
Most regular starters
Goias
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- Djalma Silva5/5
- Kadu5/5
- Lucas Ribeiro5/5
- Luquinhas5/5
- Tadeu5/5
- Filipe Machado4/5
- Luiz Felipe4/5
- Felipe Clemente3/5
- Lourenço3/5
- Luis Fellipe3/5
- Jean Carlos2/5
Atletico Goianiense
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- Adriano Martins5/5
- Peixoto5/5
- Warley5/5
- Gustavo Coutinho4/5
- Guilherme Lopes3/5
- Gustavo Maia3/5
- J. Barreto3/5
- Leandro Vilela3/5
- Paulo Vítor3/5
- Soares Geovany3/5
- Geovany Soares2/5
First detailed prediction free, no card required.
See the full prediction (scenario, scorers, half-time)Other matches in this competition
- Novorizontino – São BernardoSep 25, 2026
- Vila Nova – LondrinaSep 26, 2026
- Nautico Recife – Sport RecifeSep 26, 2026
- Operario-PR – CearaSep 26, 2026
- Criciuma – AvaiSep 27, 2026
- CRB – CuiabaSep 27, 2026
- Botafogo SP – Ponte PretaSep 29, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the Goias vs Atletico Goianiense prediction?
Our AI gives Goias a 48% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Atletico Goianiense 27%. Goias are therefore favourites.
What is the most likely correct score for Goias vs Atletico Goianiense?
1-1 (12.1%), followed by 1-0 (11.2%), 2-1 (9.3%), 2-0 (8.6%) and 0-1 (7.9%).
Will both teams score in Goias vs Atletico Goianiense?
The probability that both Goias and Atletico Goianiense score is 52%. Goias have a 34% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Atletico Goianiense 21%.
How many goals should we expect in Goias vs Atletico Goianiense?
The model expects 2.62 goals (1.54 for Goias, 1.08 for Atletico Goianiense). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 74%, over 2.5 goals 49%, over 3.5 goals 27%.
When and where is Goias vs Atletico Goianiense played?
Saturday, September 26, 2026 at 22:30 (UK time), Brasileirão Série B, matchday 30. Venue: Estádio da Serrinha, Goiania.
What form are Goias and Atletico Goianiense in?
Goias: 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (7 scored, 6 conceded). Atletico Goianiense: 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (9 scored, 4 conceded).
What is the head-to-head record between Goias and Atletico Goianiense?
In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Goias, 0 for Atletico Goianiense and 1 draw. The most recent ended Atletico Goianiense 1-1 Goias (May 30, 2026).
How is the Goias vs Atletico Goianiense prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.54 for Goias, 1.08 for Atletico Goianiense) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All Goias predictions
- All Atletico Goianiense predictions
- Brasileirão Série B predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology