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Brasileirão Série BBrasileirão Série B· Kick-off : Saturday, September 26, 2026, 20:30 (UK time)

Nautico Recife vs Sport Recife prediction: correct score and AI tips

Nautico RecifeNautico Recife–Sport RecifeSport Recife

Match analysis

Brasileirão Série B, matchday 30: Nautico Recife vs Sport Recife kicks off on Saturday, September 26, 2026 at 20:30 (UK time). Venue: Estadio dos Aflitos, Recife. Nautico Recife start as favourites with a 47% chance of victory; Sport Recife are given 27% and the draw 26%. On the correct score, 1-1 comes out on top (12.2%), followed by 1-0 (11.2%) and 2-1 (9.3%).

Over their last 5 matches, Nautico Recife have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats, scoring 7 and conceding 9. Over their last 5 matches, Sport Recife have 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats, scoring 7 and conceding 7. Both sides come in with similar form. On average Nautico Recife score 1.40 and concede 1.80 goals per game; Sport Recife score 1.40 and concede 1.40. In the table, Nautico Recife sit 14th with 38 points from 29 games, Sport Recife 9th with 44 points from 29. The two teams are close in the standings.

In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Nautico Recife, 1 for Sport Recife and 0 draws. The most recent ended Sport Recife 2-0 Nautico Recife (May 31, 2026). In double chance terms, "Nautico Recife or draw" stands at 73%, "Sport Recife or draw" at 53% and "no draw" at 74%.

In short : Nautico Recife are tipped by our AI model in this Nautico Recife v Sport Recife (47%). In the table, Nautico Recife (14th, 38 pts) host Sport Recife (9th, 44 pts). Our model's most likely scoreline: 1-1.

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

47%
Nautico Recife (Win)
26%
Draw
27%
Sport Recife (Win)

Double chance

73%
Nautico Recife or draw
53%
Sport Recife or draw
74%
No draw

Most likely correct scores

Scores shown as Nautico Recife – Sport Recife. 1-1 is the single most likely scoreline (12.2%); the 5 scores below add up to 49% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.

ScoreProbability
Nautico Recife 1-1 Sport Recife12.2%
Nautico Recife 1-0 Sport Recife11.2%
Nautico Recife 2-1 Sport Recife9.3%
Nautico Recife 2-0 Sport Recife8.5%
Nautico Recife 0-1 Sport Recife8.0%

Goals: both teams to score, over/under

With 1.52 expected goals for Nautico Recife and 1.09 for Sport Recife, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 48% and "both teams to score" at 52%. Nautico Recife keep a clean sheet in 34% of scenarios, Sport Recife in 22%.

Probability
Nautico Recife expected goals1.52
Sport Recife expected goals1.09
Both teams to score52%
Over 1.5 goals74%
Over 2.5 goals48%
Over 3.5 goals27%
Nautico Recife clean sheet34%
Sport Recife clean sheet22%

Recent form

Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.

Nautico Recife

DateOpponentScore
Sep 22, 2026Cuiaba · Brasileirão Série B0-3L
Sep 15, 2026Operario-PR · Brasileirão Série B3-3D
Sep 10, 2026America Mineiro · Brasileirão Série B1-2L
Sep 4, 2026Botafogo SP · Brasileirão Série B1-0W
Aug 29, 2026Athletic Club · Brasileirão Série B2-1W

Sport Recife

DateOpponentScore
Sep 19, 2026Juventude · Brasileirão Série B2-1W
Sep 16, 2026CRB · Brasileirão Série B1-2L
Sep 11, 2026Ponte Preta · Brasileirão Série B2-0W
Sep 5, 2026Ceara · Brasileirão Série B1-2L
Aug 29, 2026Novorizontino · Brasileirão Série B1-2L

Standings before the match

Pos.PointsPlayed
Nautico Recife143829
Sport Recife94429

Head-to-head

DateScoreCompetition
May 31, 2026Sport Recife 2-0 Nautico RecifeBrasileirão Série B

Out and doubtful

Nautico Recife

No absences reported.

Sport Recife

No absences reported.

Most regular starters

Nautico Recife

Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).

  • Igor Fernandes5/5
  • Jean Carlos5/5
  • Wenderson5/5
  • B. Borasi4/5
  • Alberto3/5
  • Arnaldo3/5
  • Derek3/5
  • Kaua Almeida da Costa3/5
  • Muriel3/5
  • Vinícius3/5
  • Leo Indio2/5

Sport Recife

Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).

  • Marcelo Ajul5/5
  • Thiago Couto5/5
  • Chrystian Barletta4/5
  • Kayky Almeida4/5
  • D. Hernández3/5
  • Juan Alano3/5
  • Marcelo Benevenuto3/5
  • Perotti3/5
  • Willian Oliveira3/5
  • Biel2/5
  • Diego Hernandez2/5

First detailed prediction free, no card required.

See the full prediction (scenario, scorers, half-time)

Other matches in this competition

Frequently asked questions

What is the Nautico Recife vs Sport Recife prediction?

Our AI gives Nautico Recife a 47% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Sport Recife 27%. Nautico Recife are therefore favourites.

What is the most likely correct score for Nautico Recife vs Sport Recife?

1-1 (12.2%), followed by 1-0 (11.2%), 2-1 (9.3%), 2-0 (8.5%) and 0-1 (8.0%).

Will both teams score in Nautico Recife vs Sport Recife?

The probability that both Nautico Recife and Sport Recife score is 52%. Nautico Recife have a 34% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Sport Recife 22%.

How many goals should we expect in Nautico Recife vs Sport Recife?

The model expects 2.61 goals (1.52 for Nautico Recife, 1.09 for Sport Recife). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 74%, over 2.5 goals 48%, over 3.5 goals 27%.

When and where is Nautico Recife vs Sport Recife played?

Saturday, September 26, 2026 at 20:30 (UK time), Brasileirão Série B, matchday 30. Venue: Estadio dos Aflitos, Recife.

What form are Nautico Recife and Sport Recife in?

Nautico Recife: 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (7 scored, 9 conceded). Sport Recife: 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches (7 scored, 7 conceded).

What is the head-to-head record between Nautico Recife and Sport Recife?

In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Nautico Recife, 1 for Sport Recife and 0 draws. The most recent ended Sport Recife 2-0 Nautico Recife (May 31, 2026).

How is the Nautico Recife vs Sport Recife prediction calculated?

The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.52 for Nautico Recife, 1.09 for Sport Recife) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.

Go further

Key terms explained