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UEFA Champions LeagueUEFA Champions League· Kick-off : Tuesday, September 8, 2026, 17:45 (UK time)

Club Brugge KV vs Aston Villa: 2-3 result and AI prediction review

Club Brugge KVClub Brugge KV2 – 3Aston VillaAston Villa

Review: prediction vs result

1X2 outcome correctExact score missedMost likely score before kick-off : 1-1

Final score: Club Brugge KV 2-3 Aston Villa. The AI called the outcome correctly: it rated victory for Aston Villa at 38%. The model considered this score unlikely (2.2%). On goals, the model expected both teams to score (52%): correct; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (47%): missed.

Match analysis

Club Brugge KV and Aston Villa met on Tuesday, September 8, 2026, a UEFA Champions League fixture. Venue: Jan Breydel Stadium, Bruges. Before kick-off, our model gave Club Brugge KV a 36% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Aston Villa 38%. On the correct score, 1-1 comes out on top (12.7%), followed by 0-1 (10.2%) and 1-0 (9.9%).

Over their last 5 matches, Club Brugge KV have 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat, scoring 9 and conceding 2. Aston Villa have not won any of their last 5 matches (1 draw, 4 defeats), scoring 2 and conceding 9. Club Brugge KV therefore arrive in far better shape than Aston Villa. On average Club Brugge KV score 1.80 and concede 0.40 goals per game; Aston Villa score 0.40 and concede 1.80. Over their recent games, Club Brugge KV have averaged 2.22 xG (expected goals) per match, against 0.85 for Aston Villa.

In the last 3 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Club Brugge KV, 2 for Aston Villa and 0 draws. Club Brugge KV out or doubtful: J. Ordonez. Aston Villa: Joao Gomes, B. Madjo, J. Manzambi, A. Onana and M. Cisse. In double chance terms, "Club Brugge KV or draw" stands at 62%, "Aston Villa or draw" at 64% and "no draw" at 73%.

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

36%
Club Brugge KV (Win)
27%
Draw
38%
Aston Villa (Win)

Double chance

62%
Club Brugge KV or draw
64%
Aston Villa or draw
73%
No draw

Most likely correct scores

Scores shown as Club Brugge KV – Aston Villa. 1-1 is the single most likely scoreline (12.7%); the 5 scores below add up to 49% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.

ScoreProbability
Club Brugge KV 1-1 Aston Villa12.7%
Club Brugge KV 0-1 Aston Villa10.2%
Club Brugge KV 1-0 Aston Villa9.9%
Club Brugge KV 1-2 Aston Villa8.2%
Club Brugge KV 2-1 Aston Villa7.9%

Goals: both teams to score, over/under

With 1.25 expected goals for Club Brugge KV and 1.29 for Aston Villa, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 47% and "both teams to score" at 52%. Club Brugge KV keep a clean sheet in 28% of scenarios, Aston Villa in 29%.

Probability
Club Brugge KV expected goals1.25
Aston Villa expected goals1.29
Both teams to score52%
Over 1.5 goals72%
Over 2.5 goals47%
Over 3.5 goals25%
Club Brugge KV clean sheet28%
Aston Villa clean sheet29%

Recent form

Latest matches played before this game in the competitions Elofoot covers.

Club Brugge KV

DateOpponentScore
Sep 4, 2026Lommel United · Jupiler Pro League1-0W
Aug 30, 2026Gent · Jupiler Pro League1-2L
Aug 23, 2026Cercle Brugge · Jupiler Pro League1-0W
Aug 15, 2026OH Leuven · Jupiler Pro League3-0W
Aug 7, 2026Kortrijk · Jupiler Pro League3-0W

Aston Villa

DateOpponentScore
Sep 5, 2026Hull City · Premier League0-0D
Aug 31, 2026Arsenal · Premier League0-1L
Aug 23, 2026Brighton · Premier League0-4L
Aug 15, 2026Borussia Mönchengladbach · Club Friendlies1-2L
Aug 12, 2026Paris Saint Germain · UEFA Super Cup1-2L

Standings before the match

Pos.PointsPlayed
Club Brugge KV900
Aston Villa300

Head-to-head

In the last 3 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Club Brugge KV, 2 for Aston Villa and 0 draws.

Out and doubtful

Club Brugge KV

  • J. Ordonez (out)

Aston Villa

  • Joao Gomes (out)
  • B. Madjo (out)
  • J. Manzambi (out)
  • A. Onana (out)
  • M. Cisse (out)

Other matches in this competition

Frequently asked questions

What is the Club Brugge KV vs Aston Villa prediction?

Before the match, our AI gave Club Brugge KV a 36% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Aston Villa 38%. Aston Villa are therefore slight favourites. Final score: 2-3.

What is the most likely correct score for Club Brugge KV vs Aston Villa?

1-1 (12.7%), followed by 0-1 (10.2%), 1-0 (9.9%), 1-2 (8.2%) and 2-1 (7.9%).

Will both teams score in Club Brugge KV vs Aston Villa?

The probability that both Club Brugge KV and Aston Villa score is 52%. Club Brugge KV have a 28% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Aston Villa 29%.

How many goals should we expect in Club Brugge KV vs Aston Villa?

The model expects 2.54 goals (1.25 for Club Brugge KV, 1.29 for Aston Villa). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 72%, over 2.5 goals 47%, over 3.5 goals 25%.

When and where is Club Brugge KV vs Aston Villa played?

Tuesday, September 8, 2026 at 17:45 (UK time), UEFA Champions League. Venue: Jan Breydel Stadium, Bruges.

What form are Club Brugge KV and Aston Villa in?

Club Brugge KV: 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (9 scored, 2 conceded). Aston Villa: 0 wins, 1 draw and 4 defeats in their last 5 matches (2 scored, 9 conceded).

What is the head-to-head record between Club Brugge KV and Aston Villa?

In the last 3 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Club Brugge KV, 2 for Aston Villa and 0 draws.

What was the Club Brugge KV vs Aston Villa result, and was the prediction right?

Final score: Club Brugge KV 2-3 Aston Villa. The AI called the outcome correctly: it rated victory for Aston Villa at 38%. The model considered this score unlikely (2.2%). On goals, the model expected both teams to score (52%): correct; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (47%): missed.

How is the Club Brugge KV vs Aston Villa prediction calculated?

The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.25 for Club Brugge KV, 1.29 for Aston Villa) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.

Go further

Key terms explained