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UEFA Champions LeagueUEFA Champions League· Kick-off : Tuesday, July 28, 2026, 20:00 (UK time)

Shamrock Rovers vs Ararat-Armenia: 2-1 result and AI prediction review

Shamrock RoversShamrock Rovers2 – 1Ararat-ArmeniaArarat-Armenia

Review: prediction vs result

1X2 outcome correctExact score missedMost likely score before kick-off : 1-1

Final score: Shamrock Rovers 2-1 Ararat-Armenia. The AI called the outcome correctly: it rated victory for Shamrock Rovers at 52%. The final score ranked 3rd among the most likely scorelines (9.6%), behind 1-1. On goals, the model expected both teams to score (52%): correct; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (50%): missed.

Match analysis

Shamrock Rovers and Ararat-Armenia met on Tuesday, July 28, 2026, a UEFA Champions League fixture. Venue: Tallaght Stadium, Dublin. Before kick-off, our model gave Shamrock Rovers a 52% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Ararat-Armenia 23%. On the correct score, 1-1 comes out on top (11.7%), followed by 1-0 (11.5%) and 2-1 (9.6%).

Over their last 5 matches, Shamrock Rovers have 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats, scoring 9 and conceding 5. Over their last 5 matches, Ararat-Armenia have 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat, scoring 8 and conceding 5. Both sides come in with similar form. On average Shamrock Rovers score 1.80 and concede 1.00 goals per game; Ararat-Armenia score 1.60 and concede 1.00.

In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Shamrock Rovers, 1 for Ararat-Armenia and 0 draws. The most recent ended Ararat-Armenia 2-0 Shamrock Rovers (Jul 21, 2026). In double chance terms, "Shamrock Rovers or draw" stands at 77%, "Ararat-Armenia or draw" at 48% and "no draw" at 75%.

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

52%
Shamrock Rovers (Win)
25%
Draw
23%
Ararat-Armenia (Win)

Double chance

77%
Shamrock Rovers or draw
48%
Ararat-Armenia or draw
75%
No draw

Most likely correct scores

Scores shown as Shamrock Rovers – Ararat-Armenia. 1-1 is the single most likely scoreline (11.7%); the 5 scores below add up to 49% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.

ScoreProbability
Shamrock Rovers 1-1 Ararat-Armenia11.7%
Shamrock Rovers 1-0 Ararat-Armenia11.5%
Shamrock Rovers 2-1 Ararat-Armenia9.6%
Shamrock Rovers 2-0 Ararat-Armenia9.4%
Shamrock Rovers 0-1 Ararat-Armenia7.1%

Goals: both teams to score, over/under

With 1.64 expected goals for Shamrock Rovers and 1.02 for Ararat-Armenia, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 50% and "both teams to score" at 52%. Shamrock Rovers keep a clean sheet in 36% of scenarios, Ararat-Armenia in 19%.

Probability
Shamrock Rovers expected goals1.64
Ararat-Armenia expected goals1.02
Both teams to score52%
Over 1.5 goals74%
Over 2.5 goals50%
Over 3.5 goals28%
Shamrock Rovers clean sheet36%
Ararat-Armenia clean sheet19%

Recent form

Latest matches played before this game in the competitions Elofoot covers.

Shamrock Rovers

DateOpponentScore
Jul 21, 2026Ararat-Armenia · UEFA Champions League0-2L
Jul 14, 2026Floriana · UEFA Champions League5-1W
Jul 7, 2026Floriana · UEFA Champions League0-2L
Jun 30, 2026Hibernian · Club Friendlies1-0W
Jan 24, 2026Treaty United · Club Friendlies3-0W

Ararat-Armenia

DateOpponentScore
Jul 21, 2026Shamrock Rovers · UEFA Champions League2-0W
Jul 14, 2026Riga · UEFA Champions League2-3L
Jul 7, 2026Riga · UEFA Champions League2-0W
Jun 27, 2026Vojvodina · Club Friendlies1-1D
Jun 20, 2026Mura · Club Friendlies1-1D

Head-to-head

DateScoreCompetition
Jul 21, 2026Ararat-Armenia 2-0 Shamrock RoversUEFA Champions League

Out and doubtful

Shamrock Rovers

No absences reported.

Ararat-Armenia

No absences reported.

Other matches in this competition

Frequently asked questions

What is the Shamrock Rovers vs Ararat-Armenia prediction?

Before the match, our AI gave Shamrock Rovers a 52% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Ararat-Armenia 23%. Shamrock Rovers are therefore favourites. Final score: 2-1.

What is the most likely correct score for Shamrock Rovers vs Ararat-Armenia?

1-1 (11.7%), followed by 1-0 (11.5%), 2-1 (9.6%), 2-0 (9.4%) and 0-1 (7.1%).

Will both teams score in Shamrock Rovers vs Ararat-Armenia?

The probability that both Shamrock Rovers and Ararat-Armenia score is 52%. Shamrock Rovers have a 36% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Ararat-Armenia 19%.

How many goals should we expect in Shamrock Rovers vs Ararat-Armenia?

The model expects 2.66 goals (1.64 for Shamrock Rovers, 1.02 for Ararat-Armenia). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 74%, over 2.5 goals 50%, over 3.5 goals 28%.

When and where is Shamrock Rovers vs Ararat-Armenia played?

Tuesday, July 28, 2026 at 20:00 (UK time), UEFA Champions League. Venue: Tallaght Stadium, Dublin.

What form are Shamrock Rovers and Ararat-Armenia in?

Shamrock Rovers: 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (9 scored, 5 conceded). Ararat-Armenia: 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (8 scored, 5 conceded).

What is the head-to-head record between Shamrock Rovers and Ararat-Armenia?

In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Shamrock Rovers, 1 for Ararat-Armenia and 0 draws. The most recent ended Ararat-Armenia 2-0 Shamrock Rovers (Jul 21, 2026).

What was the Shamrock Rovers vs Ararat-Armenia result, and was the prediction right?

Final score: Shamrock Rovers 2-1 Ararat-Armenia. The AI called the outcome correctly: it rated victory for Shamrock Rovers at 52%. The final score ranked 3rd among the most likely scorelines (9.6%), behind 1-1. On goals, the model expected both teams to score (52%): correct; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (50%): missed.

How is the Shamrock Rovers vs Ararat-Armenia prediction calculated?

The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.64 for Shamrock Rovers, 1.02 for Ararat-Armenia) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.

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Key terms explained