Championship· Kick-off : Tuesday, November 3, 2026, 19:45 (UK time)
Blackburn vs Stoke City: 1-2 result and AI prediction review
Review: prediction vs result
Final score: Blackburn 1-2 Stoke City. The 1X2 prediction came good: victory for Stoke City was the model's favourite outcome (38%). The final score ranked 6th among the most likely scorelines (7.2%), behind 0-1. On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (40%): missed; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (32%): missed.
Match analysis
Blackburn vs Stoke City was played on Tuesday, November 3, 2026 (Championship, matchday 14). Venue: Ewood Park, Blackburn. Before kick-off, our model gave Blackburn a 31% chance of winning, the draw 31% and Stoke City 38%. The most likely correct score is 0-1 (14.6%), ahead of 0-0 (13.7%) and 1-1 (13.5%).
Over their last 5 matches, Blackburn have 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats, scoring 7 and conceding 8. Over their last 5 matches, Stoke City have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat, scoring 7 and conceding 4. On recent form, there is little to separate the two teams. On average Blackburn score 1.40 and concede 1.60 goals per game; Stoke City score 1.40 and concede 0.80. In the table, Blackburn sit 13th with 18 points from 13 games, Stoke City 7th with 23 points from 13. 6 places separate the two sides. Over their recent games, Blackburn have averaged 0.94 xG (expected goals) per match, against 1.05 for Stoke City.
In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Blackburn, 2 for Stoke City and 2 draws. The most recent ended Stoke City 1-1 Blackburn (Apr 11, 2026). Blackburn out or doubtful: A. Forshaw, M. Litherland, L. Miller, R. Morishita (doubtful) and S. Morsy (suspended). Stoke City: A. Ampah, E. Bocat, A. Cresswell, S. Gallagher and E. Galbraith (suspended). In double chance terms, "Blackburn or draw" stands at 62%, "Stoke City or draw" at 69% and "no draw" at 69%.
In short : Blackburn and Stoke City meet in a wide-open clash with no clear favourite (draw at 31%). In the table, Blackburn (13th, 18 pts) host Stoke City (7th, 23 pts). One to watch: Blackburn will be without A. Forshaw and M. Litherland.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Blackburn – Stoke City. 0-1 is the single most likely scoreline (14.6%); the 5 scores below add up to 62% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Blackburn 0-1 Stoke City | 14.6% |
| Blackburn 0-0 Stoke City | 13.7% |
| Blackburn 1-1 Stoke City | 13.5% |
| Blackburn 1-0 Stoke City | 12.6% |
| Blackburn 0-2 Stoke City | 7.8% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
The model expects 1.99 goals in total (0.92 for Blackburn, 1.07 for Stoke City): over 2.5 goals has a 32% probability and both teams to score 40%. A tight, low-scoring game is on the cards. Blackburn keep a clean sheet in 34% of scenarios, Stoke City in 40%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Blackburn expected goals | 0.92 |
| Stoke City expected goals | 1.07 |
| Both teams to score | 40% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 59% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 32% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 14% |
| Blackburn clean sheet | 34% |
| Stoke City clean sheet | 40% |
Recent form
Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.
Blackburn
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Swansea · Championship | 0-4 | L |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Wrexham · Championship | 2-0 | W |
| Oct 17, 2026 | West Brom · Championship | 2-3 | L |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Bristol City · Championship | 1-0 | W |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Cardiff · Championship | 2-1 | W |
Stoke City
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Preston · Championship | 2-0 | W |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Bristol City · Championship | 0-0 | D |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Derby · Championship | 1-0 | W |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Middlesbrough · Championship | 2-3 | L |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Bolton · Championship | 2-1 | W |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Blackburn | 13 | 18 | 13 |
| Stoke City | 7 | 23 | 13 |
Head-to-head
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2026 | Stoke City 1-1 Blackburn | Championship |
| Oct 4, 2025 | Blackburn 1-1 Stoke City | Championship |
| Mar 12, 2025 | Stoke City 1-0 Blackburn | Championship |
| Nov 6, 2024 | Blackburn 0-2 Stoke City | Championship |
| Feb 10, 2024 | Blackburn 3-1 Stoke City | Championship |
Out and doubtful
Blackburn
- A. Forshaw (out)
- M. Litherland (out)
- L. Miller (out)
- R. Morishita (doubtful)
- S. Morsy (suspended)
Stoke City
- A. Ampah (out)
- E. Bocat (out)
- A. Cresswell (out)
- S. Gallagher (out)
- E. Galbraith (suspended)
Most regular starters
Blackburn
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- H. Pickering5/5
- O. Afolayan5/5
- R. Alebiosu5/5
- S. McLoughlin5/5
- T. Cantwell5/5
- B. Toth4/5
- S. Morsy4/5
- A. Gudjohnsen3/5
- H. Carter3/5
- K. Montgomery3/5
- R. Morishita3/5
Stoke City
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- B. Johnson5/5
- B. Wilmot5/5
- E. Galbraith5/5
- J. McGlynn5/5
- L. Graham5/5
- V. Johansson5/5
- D. Soumare4/5
- J. Devenny4/5
- L. Cisse4/5
- B. Lawal3/5
- E. Bocat3/5
Other matches in this competition
- Derby 0-4 NorwichNov 3, 2026
- QPR 1-1 BurnleyNov 3, 2026
- Portsmouth 3-1 SwanseaNov 3, 2026
- Watford 1-0 LincolnNov 3, 2026
- Preston 2-3 Sheffield UtdNov 3, 2026
- Charlton 0-1 BoltonNov 3, 2026
- Birmingham 3-0 MillwallNov 3, 2026
- West Brom 1-1 SouthamptonNov 3, 2026
- Wrexham 2-0 MiddlesbroughNov 4, 2026
- Cardiff 3-3 West HamNov 4, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the Blackburn vs Stoke City prediction?
Before the match, our AI gave Blackburn a 31% chance of winning, the draw 31% and Stoke City 38%. Stoke City are therefore slight favourites. Final score: 1-2.
What is the most likely correct score for Blackburn vs Stoke City?
0-1 (14.6%), followed by 0-0 (13.7%), 1-1 (13.5%), 1-0 (12.6%) and 0-2 (7.8%).
Will both teams score in Blackburn vs Stoke City?
The probability that both Blackburn and Stoke City score is 40%. Blackburn have a 34% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Stoke City 40%.
How many goals should we expect in Blackburn vs Stoke City?
The model expects 1.99 goals (0.92 for Blackburn, 1.07 for Stoke City). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 59%, over 2.5 goals 32%, over 3.5 goals 14%.
When and where is Blackburn vs Stoke City played?
Tuesday, November 3, 2026 at 19:45 (UK time), Championship, matchday 14. Venue: Ewood Park, Blackburn.
What form are Blackburn and Stoke City in?
Blackburn: 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (7 scored, 8 conceded). Stoke City: 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (7 scored, 4 conceded).
What is the head-to-head record between Blackburn and Stoke City?
In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Blackburn, 2 for Stoke City and 2 draws. The most recent ended Stoke City 1-1 Blackburn (Apr 11, 2026).
What was the Blackburn vs Stoke City result, and was the prediction right?
Final score: Blackburn 1-2 Stoke City. The 1X2 prediction came good: victory for Stoke City was the model's favourite outcome (38%). The final score ranked 6th among the most likely scorelines (7.2%), behind 0-1. On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (40%): missed; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (32%): missed.
How is the Blackburn vs Stoke City prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (0.92 for Blackburn, 1.07 for Stoke City) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All Blackburn predictions
- All Stoke City predictions
- Championship predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology