Championship· Kick-off : Tuesday, November 3, 2026, 19:45 (UK time)
Charlton vs Bolton: 0-1 result and AI prediction review
Review: prediction vs result
Final score: Charlton 0-1 Bolton. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Charlton (44%), while victory for Bolton was rated at only 29%. The final score ranked 3rd among the most likely scorelines (9.3%), behind 1-1. On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (49%): correct; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (44%): correct.
Match analysis
Charlton and Bolton met on Tuesday, November 3, 2026, a Championship, matchday 14 fixture. Venue: The Valley, London. Before kick-off, our model gave Charlton a 44% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Bolton 29%. On the correct score, 1-1 comes out on top (12.8%), followed by 1-0 (12.1%) and 0-1 (9.3%).
Charlton have not won any of their last 5 matches (2 draws, 3 defeats), scoring 4 and conceding 11. Bolton have won just one of their last 5 matches (1 draw, 3 defeats), scoring 7 and conceding 11. Both sides come in with similar form. On average Charlton score 0.80 and concede 2.20 goals per game; Bolton score 1.40 and concede 2.20. In the table, Charlton sit 20th with 14 points from 13 games, Bolton 19th with 14 points from 13. The two teams are close in the standings. Over their recent games, Charlton have averaged 1.27 xG (expected goals) per match, against 1.66 for Bolton.
In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 2 wins for Charlton, 2 for Bolton and 1 draw. The most recent ended Bolton 1-2 Charlton (Jan 21, 2025). Charlton out or doubtful: R. Apter, M. Godden (doubtful) and C. Sichenje. Bolton: E. Erhahon, R. Hardie, J. McAtee, J. Nelson, E. Toal and G. Bazunu (doubtful). In double chance terms, "Charlton or draw" stands at 71%, "Bolton or draw" at 56% and "no draw" at 73%.
In short : Charlton are tipped by our AI model in this Charlton v Bolton (44%). In the table, Charlton (20th, 14 pts) host Bolton (19th, 14 pts). Our model's most likely scoreline: 1-1.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Charlton – Bolton. 1-1 is the single most likely scoreline (12.8%); the 5 scores below add up to 52% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Charlton 1-1 Bolton | 12.8% |
| Charlton 1-0 Bolton | 12.1% |
| Charlton 0-1 Bolton | 9.3% |
| Charlton 0-0 Bolton | 8.8% |
| Charlton 2-1 Bolton | 8.8% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
With 1.37 expected goals for Charlton and 1.06 for Bolton, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 44% and "both teams to score" at 49%. Charlton keep a clean sheet in 35% of scenarios, Bolton in 25%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Charlton expected goals | 1.37 |
| Bolton expected goals | 1.06 |
| Both teams to score | 49% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 70% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 44% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 23% |
| Charlton clean sheet | 35% |
| Bolton clean sheet | 25% |
Recent form
Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.
Charlton
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Middlesbrough · Championship | 0-3 | L |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Norwich · Championship | 1-3 | L |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Watford · Championship | 0-2 | L |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Burnley · Championship | 2-2 | D |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Bristol City · Championship | 1-1 | D |
Bolton
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Bristol City · Championship | 2-3 | L |
| Oct 23, 2026 | Middlesbrough · Championship | 1-5 | L |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Southampton · Championship | 0-0 | D |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Wolves · Championship | 3-1 | W |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Stoke City · Championship | 1-2 | L |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Charlton | 20 | 14 | 13 |
| Bolton | 19 | 14 | 13 |
Head-to-head
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 21, 2025 | Bolton 1-2 Charlton | League One |
| Aug 24, 2024 | Charlton 2-0 Bolton | League One |
| Feb 17, 2024 | Bolton 3-3 Charlton | League One |
| Oct 28, 2023 | Charlton 0-2 Bolton | League One |
| Jan 28, 2023 | Charlton 1-2 Bolton | League One |
Out and doubtful
Charlton
- R. Apter (out)
- M. Godden (doubtful)
- C. Sichenje (out)
Bolton
- E. Erhahon (out)
- R. Hardie (out)
- J. McAtee (out)
- J. Nelson (out)
- E. Toal (out)
- G. Bazunu (doubtful)
Most regular starters
Charlton
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- A. Okonkwo5/5
- L. Jones5/5
- B. Koumetio4/5
- C. Coventry4/5
- K. Grant4/5
- K. Ramsay4/5
- M. Leaburn4/5
- O. Skipp4/5
- T. Campbell4/5
- D. McNamara3/5
- A. Bell2/5
Bolton
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- J. Sheehan5/5
- T. Gale5/5
- E. Toal4/5
- G. Bazunu4/5
- G. Larrazabal4/5
- A. Famewo3/5
- A. Ito3/5
- E. Erhahon3/5
- L. Brunt3/5
- S. Dalby3/5
- B. Davies2/5
Other matches in this competition
- Derby 0-4 NorwichNov 3, 2026
- QPR 1-1 BurnleyNov 3, 2026
- Portsmouth 3-1 SwanseaNov 3, 2026
- Watford 1-0 LincolnNov 3, 2026
- Preston 2-3 Sheffield UtdNov 3, 2026
- Blackburn 1-2 Stoke CityNov 3, 2026
- Birmingham 3-0 MillwallNov 3, 2026
- West Brom 1-1 SouthamptonNov 3, 2026
- Wrexham 2-0 MiddlesbroughNov 4, 2026
- Cardiff 3-3 West HamNov 4, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the Charlton vs Bolton prediction?
Before the match, our AI gave Charlton a 44% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Bolton 29%. Charlton are therefore slight favourites. Final score: 0-1.
What is the most likely correct score for Charlton vs Bolton?
1-1 (12.8%), followed by 1-0 (12.1%), 0-1 (9.3%), 0-0 (8.8%) and 2-1 (8.8%).
Will both teams score in Charlton vs Bolton?
The probability that both Charlton and Bolton score is 49%. Charlton have a 35% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Bolton 25%.
How many goals should we expect in Charlton vs Bolton?
The model expects 2.43 goals (1.37 for Charlton, 1.06 for Bolton). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 70%, over 2.5 goals 44%, over 3.5 goals 23%.
When and where is Charlton vs Bolton played?
Tuesday, November 3, 2026 at 19:45 (UK time), Championship, matchday 14. Venue: The Valley, London.
What form are Charlton and Bolton in?
Charlton: 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches (4 scored, 11 conceded). Bolton: 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches (7 scored, 11 conceded).
What is the head-to-head record between Charlton and Bolton?
In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 2 wins for Charlton, 2 for Bolton and 1 draw. The most recent ended Bolton 1-2 Charlton (Jan 21, 2025).
What was the Charlton vs Bolton result, and was the prediction right?
Final score: Charlton 0-1 Bolton. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Charlton (44%), while victory for Bolton was rated at only 29%. The final score ranked 3rd among the most likely scorelines (9.3%), behind 1-1. On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (49%): correct; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (44%): correct.
How is the Charlton vs Bolton prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.37 for Charlton, 1.06 for Bolton) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All Charlton predictions
- All Bolton predictions
- Championship predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology