Championship· Kick-off : Tuesday, November 3, 2026, 19:45 (UK time)
QPR vs Burnley: 1-1 result and AI prediction review
Review: prediction vs result
Final score: QPR 1-1 Burnley. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for QPR (76%), while a draw was rated at only 14%. The final score ranked 7th among the most likely scorelines (5.6%), behind 2-1. On goals, the model expected both teams to score (62%): correct; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (76%): missed.
Match analysis
QPR vs Burnley was played on Tuesday, November 3, 2026 (Championship, matchday 14). Venue: Loftus Road, London. Before kick-off, our model gave QPR a 76% chance of winning, the draw 14% and Burnley 10%. The most likely correct score is 2-1 (8.3%), ahead of 3-1 (8.2%) and 2-0 (7.9%).
Over their last 5 matches, QPR have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats, scoring 11 and conceding 9. Burnley have won just one of their last 5 matches (2 draws, 2 defeats), scoring 8 and conceding 8. On recent form, there is little to separate the two teams. On average QPR score 2.20 and concede 1.80 goals per game; Burnley score 1.60 and concede 1.60. In the table, QPR sit 9th with 20 points from 13 games, Burnley 22nd with 9 points from 13. 13 places separate the two sides. Over their recent games, QPR have averaged 1.83 xG (expected goals) per match, against 1.70 for Burnley.
In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for QPR, 3 for Burnley and 1 draw. The most recent ended QPR 0-5 Burnley (Apr 26, 2025). QPR out or doubtful: R. Burrell, T. Lamptey, N. Madsen, A. S. Mbengue and J. Clarke-Salter. Burnley: Z. Amdouni, B. Amos, J. Beyer, A. Broja, J. Bruun Larsen, B. Humphreys, H. Mejbri and M. Obafemi. In double chance terms, "QPR or draw" stands at 90%, "Burnley or draw" at 24% and "no draw" at 86%.
In short : Our model backs QPR to edge Burnley (76% probability). On recent form, QPR have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses in 5 while Burnley have 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses in 5. The model expects goals (over 2.5 at 76%).
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as QPR – Burnley. 2-1 is the single most likely scoreline (8.3%); the 5 scores below add up to 38% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| QPR 2-1 Burnley | 8.3% |
| QPR 3-1 Burnley | 8.2% |
| QPR 2-0 Burnley | 7.9% |
| QPR 3-0 Burnley | 7.8% |
| QPR 4-1 Burnley | 6.1% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
The model expects 4.01 goals in total (2.96 for QPR, 1.05 for Burnley): over 2.5 goals has a 76% probability and both teams to score 62%. Everything points to an open game. QPR keep a clean sheet in 35% of scenarios, Burnley in 5%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| QPR expected goals | 2.96 |
| Burnley expected goals | 1.05 |
| Both teams to score | 62% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 91% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 76% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 57% |
| QPR clean sheet | 35% |
| Burnley clean sheet | 5% |
Recent form
Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.
QPR
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Southampton · Championship | 1-4 | L |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Swansea · Championship | 5-0 | W |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Birmingham · Championship | 0-3 | L |
| Oct 14, 2026 | Derby · Championship | 4-1 | W |
| Oct 9, 2026 | West Ham · Championship | 1-1 | D |
Burnley
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Portsmouth · Championship | 0-0 | D |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Lincoln · Championship | 1-4 | L |
| Oct 16, 2026 | Wolves · Championship | 1-2 | L |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Charlton · Championship | 2-2 | D |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Watford · Championship | 4-0 | W |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| QPR | 9 | 20 | 13 |
| Burnley | 22 | 9 | 13 |
Head-to-head
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2025 | QPR 0-5 Burnley | Championship |
| Oct 26, 2024 | Burnley 0-0 QPR | Championship |
| Apr 22, 2023 | Burnley 1-2 QPR | Championship |
| Dec 11, 2022 | QPR 0-3 Burnley | Championship |
| May 2, 2016 | Burnley 1-0 QPR | Championship |
Out and doubtful
QPR
- R. Burrell (out)
- T. Lamptey (out)
- N. Madsen (out)
- A. S. Mbengue (out)
- J. Clarke-Salter (out)
Burnley
- Z. Amdouni (out)
- B. Amos (out)
- J. Beyer (out)
- A. Broja (out)
- J. Bruun Larsen (out)
- B. Humphreys (out)
- H. Mejbri (out)
- M. Obafemi (out)
Most regular starters
QPR
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- B. Kemper5/5
- G. Kamara5/5
- J. Dunne5/5
- K. Adamson5/5
- P. Charles5/5
- P. Smyth5/5
- R. Edwards5/5
- H. Vale4/5
- K. Poku4/5
- R. Kolli3/5
- J. Clarke-Salter2/5
Burnley
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- G. Coudert5/5
- Igor5/5
- J. Laurent5/5
- K. Walker5/5
- L. Ramazani5/5
- Lucas Pires5/5
- R. Hatate5/5
- M. Alleyne4/5
- H. Ekdal3/5
- J. Bruun Larsen3/5
- J. Vardy3/5
Other matches in this competition
- Derby 0-4 NorwichNov 3, 2026
- Portsmouth 3-1 SwanseaNov 3, 2026
- Watford 1-0 LincolnNov 3, 2026
- Preston 2-3 Sheffield UtdNov 3, 2026
- Blackburn 1-2 Stoke CityNov 3, 2026
- Charlton 0-1 BoltonNov 3, 2026
- Birmingham 3-0 MillwallNov 3, 2026
- West Brom 1-1 SouthamptonNov 3, 2026
- Wrexham 2-0 MiddlesbroughNov 4, 2026
- Cardiff 3-3 West HamNov 4, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the QPR vs Burnley prediction?
Before the match, our AI gave QPR a 76% chance of winning, the draw 14% and Burnley 10%. QPR are therefore favourites. Final score: 1-1.
What is the most likely correct score for QPR vs Burnley?
2-1 (8.3%), followed by 3-1 (8.2%), 2-0 (7.9%), 3-0 (7.8%) and 4-1 (6.1%).
Will both teams score in QPR vs Burnley?
The probability that both QPR and Burnley score is 62%. QPR have a 35% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Burnley 5%.
How many goals should we expect in QPR vs Burnley?
The model expects 4.01 goals (2.96 for QPR, 1.05 for Burnley). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 91%, over 2.5 goals 76%, over 3.5 goals 57%.
When and where is QPR vs Burnley played?
Tuesday, November 3, 2026 at 19:45 (UK time), Championship, matchday 14. Venue: Loftus Road, London.
What form are QPR and Burnley in?
QPR: 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (11 scored, 9 conceded). Burnley: 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (8 scored, 8 conceded).
What is the head-to-head record between QPR and Burnley?
In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for QPR, 3 for Burnley and 1 draw. The most recent ended QPR 0-5 Burnley (Apr 26, 2025).
What was the QPR vs Burnley result, and was the prediction right?
Final score: QPR 1-1 Burnley. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for QPR (76%), while a draw was rated at only 14%. The final score ranked 7th among the most likely scorelines (5.6%), behind 2-1. On goals, the model expected both teams to score (62%): correct; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (76%): missed.
How is the QPR vs Burnley prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (2.96 for QPR, 1.05 for Burnley) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All QPR predictions
- All Burnley predictions
- Championship predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology