Championship· Kick-off : Tuesday, November 3, 2026, 20:00 (UK time)
West Brom vs Southampton: 1-1 result and AI prediction review
Review: prediction vs result
Final score: West Brom 1-1 Southampton. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for West Brom (40%), while a draw was rated at only 29%. The exact score 1-1 was the most likely scoreline in our grid (13.3%). On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (45%): missed; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (39%): correct.
Match analysis
West Brom vs Southampton was played on Tuesday, November 3, 2026 (Championship, matchday 14). Venue: The Hawthorns, West Bromwich. Before kick-off, our model gave West Brom a 40% chance of winning, the draw 29% and Southampton 32%. The most likely correct score is 1-1 (13.3%), ahead of 1-0 (12.8%) and 0-1 (11.1%).
Over their last 5 matches, West Brom have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat, scoring 9 and conceding 6. Southampton are unbeaten in their last 5 matches (4 wins, 1 draw), scoring 9 and conceding 3. Recent momentum is clearly with Southampton. On average West Brom score 1.80 and concede 1.20 goals per game; Southampton score 1.80 and concede 0.60. In the table, West Brom sit 4th with 24 points from 13 games, Southampton 5th with 23 points from 13. The two teams are close in the standings. Over their recent games, West Brom have averaged 1.99 xG (expected goals) per match, against 1.63 for Southampton.
In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for West Brom, 3 for Southampton and 2 draws. The most recent ended West Brom 1-1 Southampton (Mar 11, 2026). West Brom out or doubtful: T. Collyer, N. Galves and M. Johnston. Southampton: C. Larin (doubtful), M. Roerslev Rasmussen and C. Jander (doubtful). In double chance terms, "West Brom or draw" stands at 68%, "Southampton or draw" at 60% and "no draw" at 71%.
In short : Our model backs West Brom to edge Southampton (40% probability). On recent form, West Brom have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss in 5 while Southampton are in good shape (4 wins in 5). The model leans towards a tight, low-scoring game.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as West Brom – Southampton. 1-1 is the single most likely scoreline (13.3%); the 5 scores below add up to 56% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| West Brom 1-1 Southampton | 13.3% |
| West Brom 1-0 Southampton | 12.8% |
| West Brom 0-1 Southampton | 11.1% |
| West Brom 0-0 Southampton | 10.6% |
| West Brom 2-1 Southampton | 8.0% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
The model expects 2.24 goals in total (1.20 for West Brom, 1.04 for Southampton): over 2.5 goals has a 39% probability and both teams to score 45%. A tight, low-scoring game is on the cards. West Brom keep a clean sheet in 35% of scenarios, Southampton in 30%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| West Brom expected goals | 1.20 |
| Southampton expected goals | 1.04 |
| Both teams to score | 45% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 66% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 39% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 19% |
| West Brom clean sheet | 35% |
| Southampton clean sheet | 30% |
Recent form
Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.
West Brom
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | West Ham · Championship | 3-1 | W |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Preston · Championship | 1-1 | D |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Blackburn · Championship | 3-2 | W |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Wrexham · Championship | 2-1 | W |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Birmingham · Championship | 0-1 | L |
Southampton
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | QPR · Championship | 4-1 | W |
| Oct 24, 2026 | West Ham · Championship | 3-2 | W |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Bolton · Championship | 0-0 | D |
| Oct 14, 2026 | Norwich · Championship | 1-0 | W |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Portsmouth · Championship | 1-0 | W |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| West Brom | 4 | 24 | 13 |
| Southampton | 5 | 23 | 13 |
Head-to-head
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 11, 2026 | West Brom 1-1 Southampton | Championship |
| Dec 9, 2025 | Southampton 3-2 West Brom | Championship |
| May 17, 2024 | Southampton 3-1 West Brom | Championship |
| May 12, 2024 | West Brom 0-0 Southampton | Championship |
| Feb 16, 2024 | West Brom 0-2 Southampton | Championship |
Out and doubtful
West Brom
- T. Collyer (out)
- N. Galves (out)
- M. Johnston (out)
Southampton
- C. Larin (doubtful)
- M. Roerslev Rasmussen (out)
- C. Jander (doubtful)
Most regular starters
West Brom
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- B. Pereira5/5
- C. Mepham5/5
- C. Styles5/5
- G. Campbell4/5
- I. Price4/5
- J. Molumby4/5
- M. O'Leary4/5
- R. Nzingoula4/5
- B. Stewart3/5
- F. Myhre3/5
- J. Morgan3/5
Southampton
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- F. Azaz5/5
- J. Stephens5/5
- J. Ward-Prowse5/5
- K. Schlotterbeck5/5
- D. Peretz4/5
- J. Bree4/5
- R. Manning4/5
- K. Matsuki3/5
- L. Dobbin3/5
- L. Scienza3/5
- C. Bragg2/5
Other matches in this competition
- Derby 0-4 NorwichNov 3, 2026
- QPR 1-1 BurnleyNov 3, 2026
- Portsmouth 3-1 SwanseaNov 3, 2026
- Watford 1-0 LincolnNov 3, 2026
- Preston 2-3 Sheffield UtdNov 3, 2026
- Blackburn 1-2 Stoke CityNov 3, 2026
- Charlton 0-1 BoltonNov 3, 2026
- Birmingham 3-0 MillwallNov 3, 2026
- Wrexham 2-0 MiddlesbroughNov 4, 2026
- Cardiff 3-3 West HamNov 4, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the West Brom vs Southampton prediction?
Before the match, our AI gave West Brom a 40% chance of winning, the draw 29% and Southampton 32%. West Brom are therefore slight favourites. Final score: 1-1.
What is the most likely correct score for West Brom vs Southampton?
1-1 (13.3%), followed by 1-0 (12.8%), 0-1 (11.1%), 0-0 (10.6%) and 2-1 (8.0%).
Will both teams score in West Brom vs Southampton?
The probability that both West Brom and Southampton score is 45%. West Brom have a 35% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Southampton 30%.
How many goals should we expect in West Brom vs Southampton?
The model expects 2.24 goals (1.20 for West Brom, 1.04 for Southampton). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 66%, over 2.5 goals 39%, over 3.5 goals 19%.
When and where is West Brom vs Southampton played?
Tuesday, November 3, 2026 at 20:00 (UK time), Championship, matchday 14. Venue: The Hawthorns, West Bromwich.
What form are West Brom and Southampton in?
West Brom: 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (9 scored, 6 conceded). Southampton: 4 wins, 1 draw and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches (9 scored, 3 conceded).
What is the head-to-head record between West Brom and Southampton?
In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for West Brom, 3 for Southampton and 2 draws. The most recent ended West Brom 1-1 Southampton (Mar 11, 2026).
What was the West Brom vs Southampton result, and was the prediction right?
Final score: West Brom 1-1 Southampton. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for West Brom (40%), while a draw was rated at only 29%. The exact score 1-1 was the most likely scoreline in our grid (13.3%). On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (45%): missed; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (39%): correct.
How is the West Brom vs Southampton prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.20 for West Brom, 1.04 for Southampton) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All West Brom predictions
- All Southampton predictions
- Championship predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology