Championship· Kick-off : Wednesday, November 4, 2026, 19:45 (UK time)
Cardiff vs West Ham: 3-3 result and AI prediction review
Review: prediction vs result
Final score: Cardiff 3-3 West Ham. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for West Ham (42%), while a draw was rated at only 22%. The model considered this score unlikely (2.5%). On goals, the model expected both teams to score (69%): correct; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (69%): correct.
Match analysis
Cardiff vs West Ham was played on Wednesday, November 4, 2026 (Championship, matchday 14). Venue: Cardiff City Stadium, Cardiff. Before kick-off, our model gave Cardiff a 36% chance of winning, the draw 22% and West Ham 42%. The most likely correct score is 1-1 (9.0%), ahead of 1-2 (8.3%) and 2-1 (7.7%).
Over their last 5 matches, Cardiff have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats, scoring 9 and conceding 8. Over their last 5 matches, West Ham have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats, scoring 11 and conceding 7. On recent form, there is little to separate the two teams. On average Cardiff score 1.80 and concede 1.60 goals per game; West Ham score 2.20 and concede 1.40. In the table, Cardiff sit 18th with 14 points from 13 games, West Ham 8th with 22 points from 13. 10 places separate the two sides. Over their recent games, Cardiff have averaged 1.91 xG (expected goals) per match, against 1.66 for West Ham.
In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Cardiff, 4 for West Ham and 0 draws. The most recent ended Cardiff 2-0 West Ham (Mar 9, 2019). Cardiff out or doubtful: K. Bielik (doubtful), C. Chambers, D. Lawlor, G. Osho (suspended) and C. Robinson (doubtful). West Ham: K. Lamadrid (doubtful) and K. Mavropanos. In double chance terms, "Cardiff or draw" stands at 58%, "West Ham or draw" at 64% and "no draw" at 78%.
In short : Cardiff host West Ham in a tight contest where a draw stays on the table (22%). In the table, Cardiff (18th, 14 pts) host West Ham (8th, 22 pts). Our model's most likely scoreline: 1-1.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Cardiff – West Ham. 1-1 is the single most likely scoreline (9.0%); the 5 scores below add up to 37% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Cardiff 1-1 West Ham | 9.0% |
| Cardiff 1-2 West Ham | 8.3% |
| Cardiff 2-1 West Ham | 7.7% |
| Cardiff 2-2 West Ham | 7.1% |
| Cardiff 0-1 West Ham | 5.2% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
The model expects 3.57 goals in total (1.71 for Cardiff, 1.86 for West Ham): over 2.5 goals has a 69% probability and both teams to score 69%. Everything points to an open game. Cardiff keep a clean sheet in 16% of scenarios, West Ham in 18%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Cardiff expected goals | 1.71 |
| West Ham expected goals | 1.86 |
| Both teams to score | 69% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 87% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 69% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 48% |
| Cardiff clean sheet | 16% |
| West Ham clean sheet | 18% |
Recent form
Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.
Cardiff
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Wolves · Championship | 0-3 | L |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Birmingham · Championship | 1-0 | W |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Middlesbrough · Championship | 2-2 | D |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Watford · Championship | 5-1 | W |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Blackburn · Championship | 1-2 | L |
West Ham
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | West Brom · Championship | 1-3 | L |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Southampton · Championship | 2-3 | L |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Swansea · Championship | 1-0 | W |
| Oct 14, 2026 | Lincoln · Championship | 6-0 | W |
| Oct 9, 2026 | QPR · Championship | 1-1 | D |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cardiff | 18 | 14 | 13 |
| West Ham | 8 | 22 | 13 |
Head-to-head
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2019 | Cardiff 2-0 West Ham | Premier League |
| Dec 4, 2018 | West Ham 3-1 Cardiff | Premier League |
| Jan 11, 2014 | Cardiff 0-2 West Ham | Premier League |
| Sep 24, 2013 | West Ham 3-2 Cardiff | EFL Cup |
| Aug 17, 2013 | West Ham 2-0 Cardiff | Premier League |
Out and doubtful
Cardiff
- K. Bielik (doubtful)
- C. Chambers (out)
- D. Lawlor (out)
- G. Osho (suspended)
- C. Robinson (doubtful)
West Ham
- K. Lamadrid (doubtful)
- K. Mavropanos (out)
Most regular starters
Cardiff
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- A. Robertson5/5
- J. Bagan5/5
- J. Colwill5/5
- J. Moylan5/5
- N. Trott5/5
- O. Tanner5/5
- C. Ashford4/5
- P. Ng4/5
- C. Willock3/5
- G. Osho3/5
- C. Scanlon2/5
West Ham
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- A. Engels5/5
- J. Bowen5/5
- M. Hermansen5/5
- M. Kilman5/5
- Morato5/5
- D. Mukasa4/5
- K. Mavropanos4/5
- M. Solomon4/5
- K. Walker-Peters3/5
- M. Kante3/5
- Pablo3/5
Other matches in this competition
- Derby 0-4 NorwichNov 3, 2026
- QPR 1-1 BurnleyNov 3, 2026
- Portsmouth 3-1 SwanseaNov 3, 2026
- Watford 1-0 LincolnNov 3, 2026
- Preston 2-3 Sheffield UtdNov 3, 2026
- Blackburn 1-2 Stoke CityNov 3, 2026
- Birmingham 3-0 MillwallNov 3, 2026
- West Brom 1-1 SouthamptonNov 3, 2026
- Wrexham 2-0 MiddlesbroughNov 4, 2026
- Bristol City 1-2 WolvesNov 4, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the Cardiff vs West Ham prediction?
Before the match, our AI gave Cardiff a 36% chance of winning, the draw 22% and West Ham 42%. West Ham are therefore slight favourites. Final score: 3-3.
What is the most likely correct score for Cardiff vs West Ham?
1-1 (9.0%), followed by 1-2 (8.3%), 2-1 (7.7%), 2-2 (7.1%) and 0-1 (5.2%).
Will both teams score in Cardiff vs West Ham?
The probability that both Cardiff and West Ham score is 69%. Cardiff have a 16% chance of keeping a clean sheet, West Ham 18%.
How many goals should we expect in Cardiff vs West Ham?
The model expects 3.57 goals (1.71 for Cardiff, 1.86 for West Ham). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 87%, over 2.5 goals 69%, over 3.5 goals 48%.
When and where is Cardiff vs West Ham played?
Wednesday, November 4, 2026 at 19:45 (UK time), Championship, matchday 14. Venue: Cardiff City Stadium, Cardiff.
What form are Cardiff and West Ham in?
Cardiff: 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (9 scored, 8 conceded). West Ham: 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (11 scored, 7 conceded).
What is the head-to-head record between Cardiff and West Ham?
In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Cardiff, 4 for West Ham and 0 draws. The most recent ended Cardiff 2-0 West Ham (Mar 9, 2019).
What was the Cardiff vs West Ham result, and was the prediction right?
Final score: Cardiff 3-3 West Ham. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for West Ham (42%), while a draw was rated at only 22%. The model considered this score unlikely (2.5%). On goals, the model expected both teams to score (69%): correct; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (69%): correct.
How is the Cardiff vs West Ham prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.71 for Cardiff, 1.86 for West Ham) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All Cardiff predictions
- All West Ham predictions
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- Today’s predictions
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