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ChampionshipChampionship· Kick-off : Wednesday, November 4, 2026, 20:00 (UK time)

Bristol City vs Wolves: 1-2 result and AI prediction review

Review: prediction vs result

1X2 outcome correctExact score missedMost likely score before kick-off : 1-1

Final score: Bristol City 1-2 Wolves. The 1X2 prediction came good: victory for Wolves was the model's favourite outcome (47%). The final score ranked 2nd among the most likely scorelines (9.0%), behind 1-1. On goals, the model expected both teams to score (67%): correct; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (67%): correct.

Match analysis

Bristol City vs Wolves was played on Wednesday, November 4, 2026 (Championship, matchday 14). Venue: Ashton Gate Stadium, Bristol. Before kick-off, our model gave Bristol City a 31% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Wolves 47%. The most likely correct score is 1-1 (9.4%), ahead of 1-2 (9.0%) and 2-1 (7.1%).

Bristol City have won just one of their last 5 matches (2 draws, 2 defeats), scoring 4 and conceding 5. Over their last 5 matches, Wolves have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat, scoring 8 and conceding 5. Recent momentum is clearly with Wolves. On average Bristol City score 0.80 and concede 1.00 goals per game; Wolves score 1.60 and concede 1.00. In the table, Bristol City sit 15th with 18 points from 13 games, Wolves 7th with 24 points from 13. 8 places separate the two sides. Over their recent games, Bristol City have averaged 1.65 xG (expected goals) per match, against 1.76 for Wolves.

In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Bristol City, 3 for Wolves and 1 draw. The most recent ended Bristol City 1-2 Wolves (Jan 11, 2025). Bristol City out or doubtful: E. Adebayo (doubtful), R. Dickie (doubtful) and N. Eile. In double chance terms, "Bristol City or draw" stands at 53%, "Wolves or draw" at 69% and "no draw" at 78%.

In short : Wolves are favourites for this Bristol City v Wolves, with a 47% win probability from our model. On recent form, Bristol City have 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses in 5 while Wolves have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss in 5. One to watch: Bristol City will be without E. Adebayo and R. Dickie.

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

31%
Bristol City (Win)
22%
Draw
47%
Wolves (Win)

Double chance

53%
Bristol City or draw
69%
Wolves or draw
78%
No draw

Most likely correct scores

Scores shown as Bristol City – Wolves. 1-1 is the single most likely scoreline (9.4%); the 5 scores below add up to 39% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.

ScoreProbability
Bristol City 1-1 Wolves9.4%
Bristol City 1-2 Wolves9.0%
Bristol City 2-1 Wolves7.1%
Bristol City 2-2 Wolves6.8%
Bristol City 0-1 Wolves6.2%

Goals: both teams to score, over/under

The model expects 3.43 goals in total (1.52 for Bristol City, 1.91 for Wolves): over 2.5 goals has a 67% probability and both teams to score 67%. Everything points to an open game. Bristol City keep a clean sheet in 15% of scenarios, Wolves in 22%.

Probability
Bristol City expected goals1.52
Wolves expected goals1.91
Both teams to score67%
Over 1.5 goals86%
Over 2.5 goals67%
Over 3.5 goals45%
Bristol City clean sheet15%
Wolves clean sheet22%

Recent form

Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.

Bristol City

DateOpponentScore
Oct 31, 2026Bolton · Championship3-2W
Oct 24, 2026Stoke City · Championship0-0D
Oct 17, 2026Sheffield Utd · Championship0-1L
Oct 13, 2026Blackburn · Championship0-1L
Oct 10, 2026Charlton · Championship1-1D

Wolves

DateOpponentScore
Oct 31, 2026Cardiff · Championship3-0W
Oct 24, 2026Watford · Championship1-0W
Oct 20, 2026Portsmouth · Championship1-1D
Oct 16, 2026Burnley · Championship2-1W
Oct 13, 2026Bolton · Championship1-3L

Standings before the match

Pos.PointsPlayed
Bristol City151813
Wolves72413

Head-to-head

DateScoreCompetition
Jan 11, 2025Bristol City 1-2 WolvesFA Cup
Feb 17, 2019Bristol City 0-1 WolvesFA Cup
Dec 30, 2017Bristol City 1-2 WolvesChampionship
Sep 12, 2017Wolves 3-3 Bristol CityChampionship
Apr 8, 2017Bristol City 3-1 WolvesChampionship

Out and doubtful

Bristol City

  • E. Adebayo (doubtful)
  • R. Dickie (doubtful)
  • N. Eile (out)

Wolves

No absences reported.

Most regular starters

Bristol City

Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).

  • D. Ballard5/5
  • G. Tanner5/5
  • J. Knight5/5
  • C. Pring4/5
  • L. McNally4/5
  • G. Yah3/5
  • L. Eissat3/5
  • R. Atkinson3/5
  • R. Cardines3/5
  • S. Tickle3/5
  • S. Twine3/5

Wolves

Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).

  • Andre4/5
  • J. Sa4/5
  • M. Munetsi4/5
  • A. Armstrong3/5
  • F. Lopez3/5
  • H. Bueno3/5
  • J. Bellegarde3/5
  • J. James3/5
  • K. Trippier3/5
  • L. Krejci3/5
  • N. Djiga3/5

Other matches in this competition

Frequently asked questions

What is the Bristol City vs Wolves prediction?

Before the match, our AI gave Bristol City a 31% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Wolves 47%. Wolves are therefore favourites. Final score: 1-2.

What is the most likely correct score for Bristol City vs Wolves?

1-1 (9.4%), followed by 1-2 (9.0%), 2-1 (7.1%), 2-2 (6.8%) and 0-1 (6.2%).

Will both teams score in Bristol City vs Wolves?

The probability that both Bristol City and Wolves score is 67%. Bristol City have a 15% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Wolves 22%.

How many goals should we expect in Bristol City vs Wolves?

The model expects 3.43 goals (1.52 for Bristol City, 1.91 for Wolves). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 86%, over 2.5 goals 67%, over 3.5 goals 45%.

When and where is Bristol City vs Wolves played?

Wednesday, November 4, 2026 at 20:00 (UK time), Championship, matchday 14. Venue: Ashton Gate Stadium, Bristol.

What form are Bristol City and Wolves in?

Bristol City: 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (4 scored, 5 conceded). Wolves: 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (8 scored, 5 conceded).

What is the head-to-head record between Bristol City and Wolves?

In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Bristol City, 3 for Wolves and 1 draw. The most recent ended Bristol City 1-2 Wolves (Jan 11, 2025).

What was the Bristol City vs Wolves result, and was the prediction right?

Final score: Bristol City 1-2 Wolves. The 1X2 prediction came good: victory for Wolves was the model's favourite outcome (47%). The final score ranked 2nd among the most likely scorelines (9.0%), behind 1-1. On goals, the model expected both teams to score (67%): correct; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (67%): correct.

How is the Bristol City vs Wolves prediction calculated?

The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.52 for Bristol City, 1.91 for Wolves) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.

Go further

Key terms explained